Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alexander Zverev Odds & Prediction – Erste Bank Open Semifinals
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia and Alexander Zverev will face each other in the semifinals of the Erste Bank Open on Saturday, October 30th
- This will be the second meeting between these two players, and the second meeting this year
- Continue below for the match odds, preview, and our best bet analysis
We are down to the final four players for men’s singles play at the Erste Bank Open, also known as the Vienna Open. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will take on second seed Alexander Zverev in the first of two semifinal matches happening on Saturday.
The two men are set to take the court on Saturday, October 30th at 8:00 am ET. It’s no surprise that Zverev will be entering the match as the heavy favorite to move onto the finals. The World No. 4, has had himself a very impressive year, collecting 47 wins heading into this tournament. He’s coming off a three-set thriller against Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime. Alcaraz Garfia also fought his way to be here in a three-set battle, as he took down third seed Matteo Berrettini.
Take a look below for odds, our best bet prediction, and a breakdown of how each player got to this point in the tournament.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alexander Zverev Erste Bank Open Semifinal Odds
| Player | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz Garfia | +4.5 (-115) | +300 | Ov 21.5 (-110) |
| [2] Alexander Zverev | -4.5 (-105) | -400 | Un 21.5 (-110) |
Odds as of October 29th at DraftKings.
Alcaraz Garfia Upsets Berrettini
Earlier Friday, Alcaraz Garfia notched his second career Top 10 win, as he defeated World No. 7, Matteo Berrettini in under three hours. The 18-year old Spaniard went on to defeat Berrettini 6-1, 6(2)-7(7). 7(7)-6(5), to earn his spot in the semifinals of the Erste Bank Open.
The young star came out strong, and stunned Berrettini in the first set, only allowing him to win one game. The Italian caught on quick, as he had to make up ground going down a set, and managed to take the second to force a decider.
18 years old Carlos Alcaraz plays another incredible match, beats Matteo Berrettini 6-1, 6-7(2), 7-6(5) in 2h40 to reach the semifinals in Vienna.
2nd career top 10 win, after Tsitsipas at the US Open.
Kid is very likely to be seeded at the AusOpen.
[getty] pic.twitter.com/0RCJfdysdM— José Morgado (@josemorgado) October 29, 2021
Berrettini’s serve is always a huge weapon for the Italian, and it once again was, as he recorded 12 aces to just one double fault. But it was actually Alcaraz Garfia’s consistency on serve that overtook that edge that Berrettini usually carries. Alcaraz Garfia managed to land 66 percent of his first serves, and when landed, convert 80 percent of them into a point. He then followed up with a 75 win percentage on his second serve.
In comparison, Berrettini, only managed to land 61 percent of his first serves, 77 win percentage on those first serves, and a 46 win percentage on the second serves.
The tough competition doesn’t stop there for the young Spaniard. He’ll now look towards another Top 10 player in Zverev, as he fights for a spot in the finals.
Zverev Takes Down Auger-Aliassime
The 24-year old German has had an impressive week in Vienna already. The World No. 4 collected his 300th career win against Alex de Minaur in the round of 16, and is coming off a tough three-set win over sixth seed Auger-Aliassime.
Zverev and the young Canadian battled it out from the start. Auger-Aliassime was coming off a strong three-set win that saw him come back after dropping the first set. He came out strong, but Zverev managed to take control in the first set winning 6-4. Auger-Aliassime overpowered Zverev on his serve, recording 12 aces, to the German’s four. But the Canadian also went on to record four double faults, whereas Zverev managed none.
The conclusion of a high-quality encounter…@AlexZverev gets the better of Auger-Aliassime 6-4 3-6 6-3 – which included a mammoth 16-minute game in the decider – to book his spot in the last 4 ✅#ErsteBankOpenl pic.twitter.com/vWSlt33tNk
— Tennis TV (@TennisTV) October 29, 2021
It was a very typical back-and-forth game, with long rallies and high intensity, that just saw Zverev have the upperhand. He ended up winning 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, to continue his strong week in Vienna.
He’ll now face another young star in Alcaraz Garfia, who he defeated just a few months ago in Mexico.
Head-to-Head
Alcaraz Garfia and Zverev have met once before, earlier this year in Mexico. The match took place on an outdoor hard court, and Zverev managed to win in straight sets, winning 6-3, 6-1.
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Alexander Zverev Head-to-Head Stats
| 42 | ATP Standing | 4 |
| 18 | Age | 24 |
| 1 | Career Titles | 17 |
| 23/16 | Career W/L | 298/138 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 4 |
| 22/15 | YTD W/L | 47/13 |
| 0 | Head-to-Head Wins | 1 |
Best Bet
As much as Alcaraz Garfia has shown that he belongs this week in Vienna, it’s tough to find a reason to bet against Zverev in this match.
The 18-year old Spaniard has had a breakout season, for sure, as he had only collected one win and one loss prior to 2021, but Zverev will be entering the match with much more experience, and success. And that’s just come with time.
Don’t be surprised if the young star is able to steal a set, but look to Zverev to earn his spot in the final match at the Erste Bank Open.
Best Bet: Zverev (-400)
A graduate of Sport Media at Ryerson University, Hayley is the ultimate student of sports. Whether she is playing it, watching it, debating it, or writing it, it's safe to assume sport consumes the majority of her life. She has worked both internationally and with the NBA.
