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Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Berrettini Odds & Prediction – Erste Bank Open Quarterfinals

Hayley Graham

by Hayley Graham in Tennis

Updated Oct 27, 2021 · 9:15 PM PDT

Matteo Berrettini serving the ball during a tennis match.
Matteo Berrettini, of Italy, serves to Alejandro Tabilo, of Chile, at the BNP Paribas Open tennis tournament Sunday, Oct. 10, 2021, in Indian Wells, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • Carlos Alcaraz Garfia and Matteo Berrettini will face each other in the Erste Bank Open quarterfinals on Friday, October 29th
  • This will be the first meeting between the two players
  • Continue below for odds, preview, and our best bet analysis

Men’s singles play at the Erste Bank Open, also known as the Vienna Open will begin the quarterfinals on Friday, October 29th. The round of 16 will finish up on Thursday with an additional six matches to round out the quarterfinals. Carlos Alcaraz Garfia and Matteo Berrettini are schedule to take to the court Friday, October 29th, with time TBD.

World No. 7, Berrettini enters the match as the favorite to move onto the semifinals with -320 to Alcaraz Garfia’s +230. But where’s the best bet going into the match?

Take a look below for the match odds, and our best bet analysis ahead of Friday morning’s quarterfinal match.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Berrettini Erste Bank Open Quarterfinals Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
Carlos Alcaraz Garfia +3.5 (-125) +230 Ov 22.5 (-115)
[3] Matteo Berrettini -3.5 (-115) -320 Un 22.5 (-170)

Odds as of October 27th at DraftKings.

Alcaraz Garfia defeats Murray

18-year old Alcaraz Garfia is coming off a win against former Wimbledon champion Andy Murray. The teenager defeated the former Grand Slam champion in straight sets, winning 5-7, 6-3, 6-2.

The two had just recently faced each other in Indian Wells, where Murray managed to take the match. The young Spaniard managed to bounce back from that loss, and find a way to win in Vienna.

Murray couldn’t catch a break in the match, as Alcaraz Garfia came out strong. The 18-year old broke Murray’s serve pretty early in the first set, to set a tone.

In the second set, it was Murray who came out strong, but that didn’t last long, as Alcaraz Garfia managed to take control, and minimize any momentum that Murray was able to find.

The young superstar has another big task in front of him with Berrettini. This will be his toughest match of the tournament, and will be looking to take it point by point against the Top 10 player

Berrettini’s Comeback

The 25-year old Italian had to figure out a way to comeback when he found himself quickly down a set against Nikoloz Basilashvili in the round of 16. It took three sets, but Berrettini managed to book his spot in the quarterfinals with a 6(5)-7(7), 6-2, 6-3 win over the Georgian tennis player, in a match that lasted just over two hours.

YouTube video

Berrettini’s serve was on fire, as he recorded 22 aces to just one double fault in the round of 16 match. His opponent only managed five aces to four double faults. This was quite the increase from his five aces he recorded in his previous match.

The Italian not only fired off 22 aces, but he went on to win 82 percent of the time when he landed his first serve, and followed it up with 58 percent on his second.

He held a 3-2 head-to-head record against Basilashvili heading into the match and manage to further the lead to 4-2 with the win.

He’ll now face Alcaraz Garfia in the quarterfinals, who he’s never seen before on tour.

Head-to-Head

This will be the first meeting between these two players as their head-to-head record currently stands at 0-0.

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia vs Matteo Berrettini Head-to-Head Stats

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
VS
Matteo Berrettini
42 ATP Standing 7
18 Age 25
1 Career Titles 5
23/16 Career W/L 110/61
1 YTD Titles 2
22/15 YTD W/L 39/10
0 Head-to-Head Wins 0

Best Bet

The teenage Alcaraz Garfia entered this tournament with a 22-15 record on the year, and a 22-16 record for his career. Berrettini on the other hand entered this tournament with a 39-10 record for 2021, and a 110-61 record on his career. It’s safe to say the Italian will be entering this match with a bit more experience than the 18-year old.

It’s not just the experience that is giving Berrettini the edge, the 25-year old has also managed to earn himself a ranking within the top 10, at No. 7. Alcaraz Garfia is on his way there with a World No. 42 ranking at just 18-years old.

Along with the experience that  Berrettini has on Alcaraz Garfia, his will most likely overpower the 18-year old. If he can even do half of his 22 aces in this quarterfinal match, it will be a tough task for the Spaniard to fight. Look to Berrettini to earn a spot in the semifinal.

Best Bet: Berrettini 2-0 (-130)

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