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Grigor Dimitrov vs Hubert Hurkacz Odds & Prediction – Indian Wells Quarterfinals

Stephanie Myles

by Stephanie Myles in Tennis

Updated Oct 28, 2021 · 8:43 AM PDT

Grigor Dimitrov vs Hubert Hurkacz
Grigor Dimitrov, of Bulgaria, celebrates after defeating Daniil Medvedev, of Russia, at the BNP Paribas Open tennis tournament Wednesday, Oct. 13, 2021, in Indian Wells, Calif. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill)
  • After knocking off No. 1 seed Daniil Medvedev, Grigor Dimitrov is in the BNP Paribas Open quarterfinals
  • The No. 23 seed will face No. 8 seed and Miami Open champion Hubert Hurkacz, about 4:00 pm ET Thursday
  • Scroll down for our analysis of how they got there, who’s in form, and who’s likely to win

The resurgent Grigor Dimitrov upset the No. 1 seed, US Open champion and pre-tournament favorite Daniil Medvedev in the fourth round on Wednesday.

And yet, he still finds himself the underdog against Poland’s Hubert Hurkacz in Thursday’s BNP Paribas Open quarterfinal at 4:00 pm EST.

Grigor Dimitrov vs Hubert Hurkacz Odds

Player Spread Moneyline Total
[23] Grigor Dimitrov (BUL) +2.5 (-140) +140 O 22.5 (-110)
[8] Hubert Hurkacz (POL) -2.5 (+110) -185 U 22.5 (-130)

Odds as of Oct. 13 at DraftKings

After a Tough Year, Dimitrov Revives at 30

The former world No. 3 wasn’t anywhere near the top half of the list of odds to win at Indian Wells. And he didn’t deserve to be, based on the last 12 months of his career.

Dimitrov was one of the first players to contract COVID-19, all the way back in June 2020.

And he admits that he felt the effects for a significant period of time. While he wasn’t playing his best tennis, he had begun 2020 in good form, only to first be slowed when tennis shut down in March 2020. And then with the virus.

YouTube video

He began 2021 fairly well, then lost his opening match in six of nine tournaments. At the French Open he led two sets and 5-1 – only have to retire in the end with a back injury. The same issue helped take him out at the Australian Open in February.

At the US Open, a foot injury forced him to retire against Alexei Popyrin.

But at San Diego the week before Indian Wells, Dimitrov toughed through a pair of three-set wins en route to a semifinal defeat to eventual champion Casper Ruud.

It turned out it was no one-shot deal. Straight sets over No. 16 seed Reilly Opelka in the desert. A win over the world No. 2. He’s ending the season in style.

Grigor Dimitrov vs Hubert Hurkacz Head-to-Head

Grigor Dimitrov
VS
Hubert Hurkacz
30 (May 16, 1991) Age 24 (Feb. 11, 1997)
Haskovo, Bulgaria Birthplace Wroclaw, Poland
6-3 Height 6-5
8 Career ATP Singles Titles 4
No. 3 (Nov. 20, 2017) Career High Ranking No. 11 (July 12, 2021)
No. 28 Current Ranking No. 12
$19,981,702 Career Prize Money $4,259,893
21-15 2021 Won/Loss record 33-17
5 Career Head to Head 0

Hurkacz Looking for the Pandemic “Sunshine Double”

Coming into Indian Wells, Hurkacz’s season has been feast or famine.

He was the shock winner in Miami in early April. And then both he and coach Craig Boynton, based in Florida, contracted COVID-19.

He had five straight opening-round losses going into Wimbledon – and then reached the semifinals.

Hurkacz didn’t go deep in the US summer – losing seven consecutive tiebreaks didn’t help Then he returned to Europe and won an indoor event in Metz, France (winning all his tiebreaks, and winning the doubles, too).

He got a few matches in San Diego to readjust to outdoors. And now he’s in the final eight without dropping a set.

Hurkacz Likes the Desert

This is Dimitrov’s first Masters 1000 quarterfinal first since the Rome fall edition a year ago, and only his second in the last two years.

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It’s only the third for Hurkacz. his first came at the last edition of Indian Wells in 2019, in his only appearance in the desert before this year.

Patient Hurkacz Looking Good

The two are meeting for the first time. But it’s already clear that Hurkacz loves the desert conditions. The lighter air gives his shots some speed, and he’s pretty consistent anyway. The slower pace allows him time to defend, and time to set up. He’s equipped for whatever Dimitrov may throw at him.

He’s facing a man in Dimitrov who is coming off the best win in his career since … well, arguably since he beat Federer (then No. 3) in five sets at the US Open in 2019.

By ranking, it’s his best since he beat then-No. 2 Andy Murray in Miami, 5 1/2 years ago.

To have to turn it around and come back the next day and keep that level up is tough, when you’re out of practice. Especially when you came from a set and 1-4 down to do it.

And Hurkacz, when he’s gotten this far in events this year, has shown it takes a whole lot to beat him.

Best Bet: Hurkacz in two sets (+120)

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