Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin Odds & Prediction – Madrid Open Quarterfinals
- Italy’s Matteo Berrettini is the -177 favorite over Chile’s Cristian Garin in their ATP Madrid Open quarterfinal on Friday, May 7th
- They’ve split two career matches against each other, with Garin winning their only previous meeting on clay
- Garin owns a 52-25 lifetime mark on clay, while Berrettini is 34-15
He might not be on a level of Rafael Nadal, but when it comes to clay courts, Cristian Garin is a completely different player. Matteo Berrettini, on the other hand, is a solid performer on all surfaces.
The 16th-seeded Garin of Chile, who stunned world #3 Daniil Medvedev of Russia 6-4, 6-7(2-7) 6-1 to reach the quarterfinals of the ATP Madrid Open, is a +140 underdog against Italy’s Berrettini. The Italian is the -177 chalk.
Garin has picked up all nine of his 2021 match victories on clay. He’s winless on all other surfaces.
Italian Berrettini, the #8 seed, overcame early struggles to get past qualifier Federico Delbonis of Argentina in their round of 16 match, winning 7-6(7-4), 6-4. He’s 7-1 on clay this year.
Their quarterfinal match is slated for Friday, May 7th at 2:20 pm ET at Manolo Santana Stadium. Tennis TV will carry the broadcast.
Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin Odds
| Player | Moneyline | Spread | Total at DraftKings |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | -177 | -1.5 (+102) | O 19.5 (-360) |
| Cristian Garin | +140 | +1.5 (-230) | U 19.5 (+260) |
Odds as of May 6th
|
Promo: Bet $5, Get $200 in Bonus Bets + NBA No Sweat SGP | Learn More |
|
Promo: Bet $5 Get $150 in Bonus Bets | Learn More |
|
Promo: Up To $1,500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back | Learn More |
Garin Gets It Going
It’s been an up-and-down season so far for Chilean Garin. He was just 6-6 on the year upon arriving in Spain.
Garin was 1-3 over his previous four matches. That came after a 4-1 start to the year in which he captured the title in his homeland of Chile at Santiago, an ATP 250 event played on clay.
He appears to have again found his game on the clay courts of Madrid. Garin won his first two matches of the tournament in straight sets.
What a great win for 🇨🇱 @Garin_Cris!
He knocks out Medvedev 6-4, 6-7, 6-1 to make the quarters of the #MMOPEN 👏 pic.twitter.com/2VRgCNAUEo
— ATP Tour (@atptour) May 6, 2021
In taking out Medvedev, Garin broke the Russian’s service twice in the deciding set. Garin was a winner on 75-percent of his service points. He smashed six aces and dealt with just one break point the entire match, successfully fending it off.
This is the second time in his career that Garin has ousted the world’s #3 player and last time, the outcome was ominous for him. Garin beat then-world #3 Alexander Zverev at the 2019 BMW Open. That victory was also earned in three sets and was captured by Garin en route to winning the title.
This is Garin’s second trip to the quarterfinals in an ATP 1000 event. He’s never reached the semifinal stage of one of these tournaments.
Berrettini Bashes It
World #10 Berrettini used his powerful serve to take control of the match against Delbonis. The Italian slammed seven aces.
He won a whopping 83-percent of his first service points, continuing his dominance in that department. Berrettini won 85-percent of his first-serve points in his previous match against fellow Italian Fabio Fognini.
Berrettini takes the last spot in Madrid quarter-finals
Matteo Berrettini beats Federico Delbonis 7-6 6-4 to advance in the last 8 pic.twitter.com/2tcCYjsKIu
— We Are Tennis (@WeAreTennis) May 6, 2021
Since coming back from a rib injury that forced him to withdraw from his Australian Open fourth-round match against Stefanos Tsitsipas, Berrettini has won six of his last seven matches. All were played on clay courts.
It’s the first time Berrettini has been part of the main draw at Madrid. He’s 12-2 in his last 14 sets played on clay surfaces.
Garin a Clay Court Specialist
Overall in his career, Garin is 52-25 when playing on a clay court. That’s a .675 winning percentage.
He’s 6-4 this season (.600). All five of his career ATP tournament victories were won on clay surfaces.
Berrettini and Garin are 1-1 in head-to-head meetings. The victory for Garin came on clay. He beat Berrettini 6-1, 3-6, 7-6(7-1) in the final at Munich in 2019.
Matteo Berrettini vs Cristian Garin Stats
| 10 | ATP Ranking | 25 |
| 4 | ATP Titles | 5 |
| 5 | ATP Final Appearances | 6 |
| 15-3 | W-L (2021) | 9-6 |
| 80 | Service Games Won | 77 |
| 26 | Return Games Won | 29 |
| 74 | Break Points Saved | 67 |
| 134 | Aces | 52 |
Berrettini also has a tournament victory this year on clay at the Belgrade Open. He’s a stellar 34-15 all-time on clay. That’s an impressive .694 winning percentage. At the same, Berrettini is also 8-2 in 2021 on hard court surfaces.
🇨🇱 @Garin_Cris equals biggest win of his career by beating World No. 3.
🎥 @TennisTV pic.twitter.com/3CdQn1u9ca
— #MMOPEN (@MutuaMadridOpen) May 6, 2021
Getting off to a fast start will be vital for both players. Berrettini is 14-0 this season when he wins the first set, while Garin is 9-2. However, both Berrettini (0-3) and Garin (0-4) are winless in matches when they drop the first set.
Garin is 1-5 in tiebreakers this year. Berrettini has won six of seven tiebreakers.
Pick: Matteo Berrettini (-177), Berrettini 2-1 (+310)
This article contains links to external sports betting services. SBD may receive advertising revenue from these links, however editorial has hand-picked each individual link based on relevance to the article, without influence on the coverage.
An industry veteran, Bob literally taught the course on the history of sports at Elder College. He has worked as a Sports Columnist for Postmedia, appeared as a guest on several radio stations, was the Vice President of the Society For International Hockey Research in Ontario, and written 25 books.
