Sportsbooks are saying this one is going to come down to the wire, as the Chicago Bears opened as slight 3-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins in their Week 6 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1:00pm EST on October 14th.
Chicago’s offense relies on their ability to run the ball. They average 27.8 points per game (7th), primarily thanks to their ninth-ranked rushing attack. The Bears total 121.5 rushing yards per game, led by Jordan Howard.
Mitchell Trubisky hasn’t been bad for Chicago, throwing for 945 yards and 9 touchdowns, but the offense is most lethal when the ball is kept on the ground. Howard has rushed for 203 yards (54th) and one touchdowns this season, while Tarik Cohen has added 139. Even Trubisky has gotten in on the action with 117 of his own rushing yards.
But the Bears will have to get back to feeding Howard after he totaled 25 yards on a measly 11 carries. Getting Howard going early will be pivotal in Week 6.
A ton of points isn’t something Chicago has needed very often this season, though, thanks to their brick wall of a defense. The Bears surrender just 16.3 PPG, good for second-best in the league.
This defense has been so good due to their ability to stuff the run. Chicago only cedes 64 yards per game on the ground (1st). But putting the ball in the air hasn’t been much easier for opposing teams, as the Bears rank ninth against the pass.
Khalil Mack has been world class. He has five sacks this season with four forced fumbles. This man deserves a lot of extra attention.
Chicago’s defense avoids any sort of offensive powerhouse this week, when they take the field against the Dolphins. Miami is scoring just 19.8 PPG (28th).
Ryan Tannehill and company are learning that points are hard to come by when you can’t move the ball. They rank 28th in passing, only throwing for 192.2 yards per game, and 22nd in rushing, managing a meager 96.0 yards per game on the ground.
Tannehill must step up for his team. He only has 972 yards through the air with an 8:5 touchdown to interception ratio. Tannehill would benefit from a little help from Frank Gore (202 rushing yards this season) and the Dolphins’ running game that has been extremely ineffective, though. In order for Miami to hang around this game, at least one of these two will need to do something special.
Or hey, maybe they could try out this Kenyan Drake fella.
Defensively, the Dolphins are a pretty average unit. They allow 23.4 points per game, which ranks 16th in the league. They’ve been decent against the run, surrendering 109.0 yards per game on the ground (20th). It’s been the same story vs the pass, too. Miami is surrendering 273.6 yards per game through the air (20th). That’s a whole lot of mediocrity.