Unless you’re a die hard fan of the New York Jets (3-6) or Buffalo Bills (2-7), you might want to be on their Week 10 game at Metlife Stadium (November 11th, 1:00 PM ET). Otherwise, it’s going to be very hard to find any entertainment value in this matchup between struggling teams, which sees the Jets favored by a healthy 7.5 points.
Buffalo’s offense has been the root of its problems this year. This is one of the worst offenses the NFL has ever seen, and that’s not an overstatement. They struggle to move the ball through the air, averaging just 151.1 passing yards per game (32nd), and they haven’t had much success on the ground either, totaling 97.2 rushing yards per game (23rd). As you may have suspected, the result has been a paltry 10.7 points per game (32nd).
The problems for Buffalo start at QB. Before he got injured, Josh Allen compiled just 832 passing yards, 2 TDs, 5 INTs with a 54.0% completion percentage. He was at least a threat in the running game, though (155 yards and 3 TDs on 35 carries). His replacement, Nathan Peterman, can’t run or pass, completing just 54.3% of his throws while tossing 7 picks.
With Allen still on the sideline, it will be either Peterman or Derek Anderson (42-70, 465 yards, 0 TD, 4 INT, 56.0 passer rating) starting this week.
Neither bodes well.
The Bills will need the running game to get going if they’re going to crack ten points for the first time since Week 6. But that’s not likely, since Chris Ivory is averaging 3.5 yards per carry on the ground, and he’s been the bright spot compared to LeSean McCoy (267 yards, 3.1 YPC).
The Bills’ defense is giving up 26.8 points per game, which ranks 26th in the league, but the scoring average has been killed by costly turnovers on offense. The Buffalo D is not as bad as the bare numbers suggest.
And if the QBs can stop turning the ball over, the unit will have a chance to get right against the Jets. With rookie Sam Darnold at the helm, New York is scoring just 22.0 points per game (22nd) and is trending in the wrong direction, averaging just 11.0 PPG in the last three.
They would have a much easier time finding the endzone if they’d stop turning the ball over. New York has already committed 20 turnovers this season, which is the third-most in the NFL. This kind of careless play is a recipe for disaster, as the Jets are currently learning.
Errant Darnold passes have accounted for 14 of those giveaways, while the rest have come from the team not being able to hang onto the ball through contact. The coaching staff needs to drill ball security into their players to start having any success on offense, especially this week against a Bills’ defense that ranks 14th in takeaways.
Defensively, the Jets are a pretty average unit. They allow 23.7 points per game, ranking 17th in the league. They’ve been mid-pack against the run, surrendering 109.2 yards per game on the ground (18th). They’ve also been just average defending the pass, allowing 242.4 yards per game through the air (13th). That’s a whole lot of mediocrity..
New York routed Buffalo, 34-21, the last time these two teams met (November 2nd, 2017). The Bills were 3.0-point favorites in that game.