Prepare yourself for a shootout, as the Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) take their 2nd-ranked offense to Gillette Stadium to do battle with the New England Patriots (3-2) 9th-ranked offense on Sunday Night Football (October 14th at 8:20pm EST).
Online sports betting sites have us excited for this one, as they’ve set the game total at a healthy 59.5, with the Patriots opening as 3-point favorites.
Kansas City Chiefs
Unstoppable. It might be a little hyperbolic, but it’s probably the best way to describe the Kansas City Chiefs offense this season.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 9, 2018
They average 297.4 passing yards per game (11th), and 115.6 on the ground (11th). The Chiefs balanced attack has led to a lot of points, as they are scoring 35 points per game (2nd).
Patrick Mahomes has been phenomenal under center for Kansas City this year. He’s completing 63.6% of his passes while totaling 1,513 yards and 16 TDs, with only 2 INTs – a 112.7 passer rating.
Here’s a completely unedited mashup of throws Mahomes has made this year that are borderline impossible. It’s been 5 games (plus 1 preseason throw).
Keep in mind these aren’t all his great throws. Just the impossible ones. He’s a human cheat code. pic.twitter.com/I8LFazARDH
— Seth Keysor (@RealMNchiefsfan) October 10, 2018
Mahomes is fresh off another solid performance against the Jaguars, lighting them up for 313 passing yards. Meanwhile, Kareem Hunt has led the way in the backfield, racking up 376 yards and four TDs on the ground.
Saying Kansas City’s defense is built to stop the run is a bit hyperbolic. They are better against the run than pass, but they’re not really good at stopping either.
Dee Ford leads all edge defenders with 30 total pressures so far this season. pic.twitter.com/jFq09NV6vF
— Pro Football Focus (@PFF) October 10, 2018
The Chiefs are giving up 118.8 yards per game on the ground (24th), and 343 passing (31st). Predictably, the consequence is teams scoring 25.8 points per game against them, which is 20th in the NFL.
Their one saving grace is their ability to rush the passer, which could be crucial in Week 6.
Chiefs vs Patriots Statistical Comparison
|35 (2nd)||PPG||26.6 (9th)|
|413 (5th)||YPG||357.4 (22nd)|
|115.6 (11th)||Rushing YPG||113 (13th)|
|297.4 (11th)||Passing YPG||244.4 (21st)|
|25.8 (20th)||PPG Allowed||21.6 (9th)|
|461.8 (32nd)||YPG Allowed||366 (16th)|
|118.8 (24th)||Rushing YPG Allowed||114 (21st)|
|343 (31st)||Passing YPG Allowed||252 (14th)|
|+5 (T4th)||Turnover Differential||+1 (T10th)|
New England Patriots
Kansas City’s defense is in tough this week against a New England offense that looks to be hitting their stride.
The driving force behind the Patriots back-to-back 38-point games has been their ground game. New England averaged just 19 points per game through their first three, but Michel’s 210 rushing yards over the last two weeks has really unlocked this offense.
— NFL (@NFL) October 5, 2018
This isn’t to suggest Tom Brady has been bad, though.
In fact, he’s been great. Brady has thrown for 1,259 yards with a 12 TDs to 6 INTs. And it’s no coincidence that Brady threw for a season-high 341 yards in Julian Edelman’s return against the Colts last Thursday night.
With Edelman back and Josh Gordon starting to get comfortable, the Pats offense could be lethal the rest of the season.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) October 5, 2018
On the other side of the ball, New England’s defense has been playing at a pretty high level.
They’re allowing just 21.6 points per game, ranking ninth in the league. Teams have had enough trouble protecting the football, let alone putting it in the endzone against this defense.
The Patriots have generated 10 turnovers this season, ranking 6th in the league. Patrick Mahomes and company will need to protect the football to give themselves any chance in Week 6.
There’s no forgetting this one.
The last meeting between these two came on September 7th, 2017 (the 2017 season-opener), when Kansas City manhandled New England 42-27. The Patriots were also 8-point favorites in that game.