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Kickoff: Sat. Jan 12th @ 4:35 pm EST

Consensus Picks

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Displays which side the public is betting
IND
85%
Picks
15%
KC
+4.5
85%
ATS
15%
-4.5
U
22%
54.0
78%
O

SBD Predicted Score

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A statistically-based calculation predicting how many points each team will score
30.8 - 29.1

Current Colts vs Chiefs Odds

Odds History
Moneyline Spread Total
+165 2.65 33/20 0.38 +4.5 -115 1.87 20/23 0.53 O 53.5 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
-190 1.53 10/19 0.66 -4.5 -105 1.95 20/21 0.51 U 53.5 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
Moneyline Spread Total
+175 2.75 7/4 0.36 +4.5 -107 1.93 100/107 0.52 O 53.5 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
-205 1.49 20/41 0.67 -4.5 -113 1.88 100/113 0.53 U 53.5 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
Moneyline Spread Total
+175 2.75 7/4 0.36 +4.5 -107 1.93 100/107 0.52 O 53.5 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
-205 1.49 20/41 0.67 -4.5 -113 1.88 100/113 0.53 U 53.5 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
Moneyline Spread Total
+165 2.65 33/20 0.38 +4.5 -115 1.87 20/23 0.53 O 54 -105 1.95 20/21 0.51
-195 1.51 20/39 0.66 -4.5 -105 1.95 20/21 0.51 U 54 -115 1.87 20/23 0.53

Matchup Overview

After a dominant Wild Card win in Houston, the Indianapolis Colts will travel to Arrowhead Stadium to battle the conference’s top seed, the Kansas City Chiefs, in the Divisional Round playoff.

The winner punches their ticket to the AFC Championship game, the final frontier before Super Bowl 53.

Kickoff is scheduled for Saturday, January 12th at 4:35pm EST.

Indianapolis Colts

The lowest seeded team left in the AFC bracket sure didn’t look the part in Houston, as the Colts systematically picked apart the Texans in a 21-7 win.

The most encouraging sign was Indy’s ability to run the football, racking up 200 yards on the ground – the only team to crack that threshold over the weekend.

Marlon Mack had a franchise record single-game high of 148 yards, shredding the NFL’s third-ranked unit against the run.

Keep that up against KC, and that keeps Patrick Mahomes off the field. The Chiefs are a woeful 27th in rush yards allowed.

Of course, Indy’s main attraction is Andrew Luck, and he delivered early, before safely landing the plane to a victory with little turbulence.

The Colts ninth-ranked defense limited Deshaun Watson to just 235 yards passing on a whopping 49 attempts, a meager 4.8 yard average. They also phased out key cogs DeAndre Hopkins (5 rec, 37 yards) and Lamar Miller (5 rush, 18 yards).

Perhaps their biggest edge is that they’re the hottest thing going in the NFL. Since starting out 1-5, Indianapolis has now gone 10-1 and are on the cusp of the AFC title game.

Colts vs Chiefs Statistical Comparison

Colts
VS
Chiefs

10-6 Record 12-4
27.1 (4th) PPG 35.3 (1st)
386.2 (7th) YPG 425.6 (1st)
107.4 (20th) Rushing YPG 115.9 (16th)
278.8 (6th) Passing YPG 309.7 (3rd)
21.5 (10th) PPG Allowed 26.3 (24th)
339.4 (11th) YPG Allowed 405.5 (31st)
101.6 (8th) Rushing YPG Allowed 132.1 (27th)
237.8 (16th) Passing YPG Allowed 273.4 (31st)
+2 (13th) Turnover Differential +9 (6th)

*Stats are from the 2018 NFL regular season

Kansas City Chiefs

After starting the year at 9-1 and scorching the earth with a historic-level offense, the Chiefs limped home, going 3-3 to close out the year.

Part of that had to do with the retooling of the backfield, after Kareem Hunt got released.

Still, they’re led by likely MVP-winner Mahomes, who became just the second QB in NFL history to toss 50 TDs and throw for 5,000+ yards in a season, joining Peyton Manning.

Every week, it seemed Mahomes had a ‘did you see that?’ moment.

KC moves the ball down the field in chunks, with Tyreek Hill popping the top off the defense, and tight end Travis Kelce working the middle of the field.

The two combined for over 2,500 receiving yards, the top tandem in the NFL.

But they are woeful on defense, sitting next to last in both yards allowed overall and passing yards per game.

What has helped them out are their 52 sacks on the season – tied for the league lead – but that will be put to the test in this one.

The Colts have allowed a league-low 18 sacks in 17 games this year, helping an upright Andrew Luck finish second to just Mahomes with 39 TD passes.

KC and head coach Andy Reid are trying to shake off previous playoff failures. This is a unit that crashed out of the playoffs last year, blowing an 18-point lead to the Titans at home.

Reid, for all his brilliance, is just 11-13 in his postseason career. It’s a large enough sample that it has to play a factor.

Colts and Chiefs Betting Trends

Colts Betting Trends Chiefs Betting Trends
IND was 6-3 ATS on the road in 2018 KC was 4-4 ATS at home in 2018
IND was 3-5 SU as underdog in 2018 KC was 10-2 SU as favorite in 2018
IND was 3-3 SU as road underdog in 2018 KC was 7-1 SU as home favorite in 2018
IND was 8-5 SU in conference games in 2018 KC was 10-2 SU in conference games in 2018
IND is 6-3-1 ATS following a win in 2018 KC is 6-4-1 ATS following a win in 2018