Online sports betting sites are suggesting this is going to be a good one, as the New York Jets opened as slight 2.5-point favorites over the Indianapolis Colts in their Week 6 matchup at MetLife Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1:00pm EST on October 14th.
The Colts are averaging a mediocre 23.6 points per game (15th). But they could very easily enter the upper tier by just cutting back on the turnovers. Indianapolis has committed nine turnovers this season (23rd), which includes three last week against the Patriots.
Errant Andrew Luck passes have been the source of five of those giveaways, while the pivot has fumbled one ball away this season. It’s hard to put too much blame on Luck, though, as he has no semblance of a running game to help him out.
The Colts rank 29th in rushing, only managing 74.4 rushing yards per game. With no threat of a running game, Luck has still been able to move the ball through the air, throwing for 1,491 yards and 12 TDs.
Indianapolis is going to need every point they can manage in Week 6, as their defense has been pathetic this year.
The Colts are letting teams score 27.6 points per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL. Their defense is getting destroyed through the air, allowing a humiliating 282.6 passing yards per game (28th). This was the case last week when the Patriots threw for 341 yards against them.
The offense Indianapolis will see this week is best described as decent, but not great. Thanks to Isaiah Crowell and their powerful offensive line, New York is scoring 24.6 PPG (14th). Crowell leads the Jets’ sixth-ranked ground game, which is largely to thank for the points they are scoring.
The back has rushed for 390 yards (fourth-most in the league) with five rushing touchdowns. As a team, New York averages an impressive 135 rushing yards per game.
But until Sam Darnold and the passing attack (26th) can provide a better complement, this offense will remain just “decent”. Darnold did look good last week against the Broncos, though, and has a golden opportunity to really start meshing with his receivers this week, facing a Colts defense that ranks 28th against the pass.
Flipping to the other side of the ball, New York’s defense has been stingy. They’re giving up just 21 points per game, ranking eighth in the league.
Turnovers have been their calling card. The Jets have taken the ball away 11 times this season, the third-most in the league. And they’ve even contributed to the scoreboard themselves, finding the end zone once.
Andrew Luck and company will need to protect the football to give themselves any chance in Week 6.
Indianapolis crushed New York, 41-10, the last time these two teams met, which was December 5th, 2016. The Jets served as the favorite in that game, too, laying 1 point.