The Miami Dolphins (5-4) will head to Lambeau Field to take on the Green Bay Packers (3-4-1) in Week 10 (November 11, 2018 at 4:25pm EST). The Packers opened as 9.5-point favorites.
Miami’s offense has been a major issue for the team this season. They struggle throwing the ball, averaging just 212.7 passing yards per game (26th), and handing the ball off hasn’t been kind either, managing just 103.1 rushing yards per game (21st). As you may have assumed, the result has been a meager 20.8 points per game (24th).
After Ryan Tannehill was lost to a shoulder injury, Brock Osweiler was forced into the starter role. After a decent first start, he simply hasn’t played at the level Miami needs. He is completing 63.8% of his passes, but has not been able to push the football down the field. Much of the success he found in his first start against Chicago (a 31-28 OT win) was a result of Albert Wilson (26 receptions for 391 yards) making plays after the catch.
With Wilson out injured the last three games, Osweiler has regressed, as most expected.
If the Miami offense is going to get going again, it will need a little help from Frank Gore (438 rushing yards on 104 carries; 4.2 YPC) and Kenyan Drake (349 rushing yards on 73 carries; 4.8 YPC) on the ground.
Saying Miami’s defense is built to defend the pass is a bit hyperbolic. They are better against the pass than run, but they’re not really good at stopping either method of attack. The Dolphins are allowing 257.9 yards per game through the air (22nd), and 135.3 on the ground (28th). Unsurprisingly, the consequence is opponents scoring 25.0 points per game, which is 19th in the league.
The offense Miami will face in Week 10 has been decent, on the whole, but not what you’d expect from an Aaron Rodgers-led attack. Green Bay is scoring 24.0 points per game (14th).
Rodgers has the team sitting sixth in passing. The QB has totaled 2,542 yards through the air with a 15:1 TD to INT ratio (98.9 passer rating).
Davante Adams has played the part of Rodgers’s go-to target, hauling in 58 passes for 730 yards and seven TDs.
But this offense won’t take that step towards greatness until they get more from their 19th-ranked rushing attack. Facing a Dolphins defense this week that allows 135.3 yards per game on the ground (28th), it might be a good time to get Aaron Jones (350 rushing yards) rumbling.
Defensively, the Packers are a mediocre unit. They allow 25.5 points per game, ranking 21st in the league. They’ve been poor against the run, surrendering 119.6 rushing yards per game (22nd). They haven’t had nearly as much trouble defending the pass, though. Green Bay is only allowing 232.8 yards per game through the air (10th).