Gear up for a tight one, as the San Francisco 49ers opened as slight 3.0-point favorites over the New York Giants in their Week 10 Monday Night Football matchup at Levi’s Stadium. Kickoff is set for 8:15 PM EST on November 12th.
New York Giants
With a subpar o-line that is failing to open holes in the running game, New York’s offense remains reliant on Eli Manning’s aging throwing arm and the occasional huge run from Saquon Barkley. Predictably, that has led to poor results, with the G-Men averaging just 18.8 points per game (27th).
Odell Beckham Jr leads the team with 785 receiving yards, but he and Manning have not produced to the level they had hoped for.
Manning has thrown for 2,377 yards and 8 touchdowns with 6 INTs. His 90.9 passer rating is just 22nd among qualified QBs, and 23rd if you count the 49ers’ Nick Mullens, who had a 151.9 rating in his first career start last Thursday.
On the ground, New York is averaging just 4.2 YPC (20th) despite Barkley busting loose for multiple 50-plus-yard runs this year. The Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite was held to just 38 yards on 13 carries in the Giants last game before their Week 9 bye (a 20-13 loss vs Washington).
For the love of everything holy, please get this guy an Offensive Line to run behind. Such a special talent on and off the field. Barkley has never had a good OL to run behind in college or in the NFL. Give him that, and the rest is history.https://t.co/LQFBcSPjXd
— Mr. Glass-Half-Full (@nyspawtsguy_spi) November 1, 2018
Not only does New York struggle to score points this season, but they can’t keep their opponent out of the endzone, either. The Giants give up 25.6 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league. They’ve been particularly bad against the run, surrendering 122.4 YPG at 4.5 YPC (22nd).
First-year coach Pat Shurmur will need one of his units to overachieve a little to get the win in Week 10.
Giants vs 49ers Statistical Comparison
|18.8 (27th)||PPG||23.0 (18th)|
|353.3 (20th)||YPG||354.6 (18th)|
|77.9 (31st)||Rushing YPG||134.7 (4th)|
|275.4 (9th)||Passing YPG||219.9 (25th)|
|25.6 (22nd)||PPG Allowed||26.6 (24th)|
|366.4 (21st)||YPG Allowed||351.7 (T14th)|
|122.4 (23rd)||Rushing YPG Allowed||102.8 (12th)|
|244.0 (16th)||Passing YPG Allowed||248.9 (17th)|
|-4 (T23rd)||Turnover Differential||-13 (31st)|
San Francisco 49ers
The Giants will be facing something of an unknown on Monday night as the 49ers will give Nick Mullens his second career start. Mullens had one of the best first starts ever for an NFL quarterback, throwing for 262 yards and 3 TDs while completing 72.7% of his passes (16-22) in a 34-3 demolition of the Oakland Raiders. Of course, the Raiders might be the worst team in the league, so that’s not necessarily a portent of success going forward.
#49ers Film: Mullens played well but he was a facilitator in a masterfully designed offense against a bad Raiders D. Jury has barely even begun deliberating on him.
— Andy Benoit (@Andy_Benoit) November 5, 2018
Mullens was also helped out by a potent ground game which racked up 143 yards at 4.5 YPC in Week 9. Unfortunately, the Niners lost Raheem Mostert (261 yards on 34 carries) to a broken arm in that game, though they still have leading rusher Matt Breida (531 yards on 96 carries) to lean on.
Breida has powered San Francisco to the fourth-ranked ground game, which is largely to thank for the 23.0 points per game (18th) they are averaging.
The 49ers’ defense has not had much luck keeping teams out of the endzone this season. They’re giving up an unsettling 26.6 points per game (24th), but that’s partly because the offense has put the unit it bad spots with turnovers. The 49ers are second-last in the NFL with a -13 turnover differential. The defense is mid-pack in terms of yards allowed at 351.7 YPG (14th).
The last meeting between these two came on November 12th, 2017, when San Francisco upset New York, 31-21. The Giants were 3.0-point favorites in that game.