Gear up for a tight one as the Indianapolis Colts welcome the Jacksonville Jaguars to Lucas Oil Stadium in Week 10 with the spread opening at Colts -3.0. Kickoff is set for 1:00pm EST on November 11th.
The Jaguars are scoring a lackluster 16.8 points per game (30th). But they could easily improve this by cutting back on the turnovers. Jacksonville has committed 18 turnovers this season (29th), which includes one in Week 8 against the Eagles in London, a game they lost 24-18.
Errant Blake Bortles passes have been the source of an intolerable eight of those giveaways. The rest have come from Jacksonville putting the ball on the dirt. Protecting the football will be vital for Bortles and the Jaguars over the remainder of the year if they have any hope of climbing back into the AFC South race.
Jacksonville’s defense hasn’t been the dominant unit it was last year, but it has still been good, especially against the pass. The secondary is only ceding 190.0 yards per game through the air (1st). However, the front seven isn’t doing nearly as well against the run, allowing 123.3 yards on the ground (24th).
The Jaguars’ strength against the pass has led to them allowing only 21.3 points per game (8th).
Jacksonville’s defense is in tough this week against an Indianapolis offense that’s as balanced as it has ever been in the Andrew Luck era. Led by Marlon Mack, the Colts’ rushing attack averages 117.6 yards per game on the ground (12th). This isn’t to suggest Luck has been lousy. He’s been anything but, throwing for 2,187 yards with a 23:8 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
The balanced offense has the Colts averaging 28.9 points per game (6th) in their first year under Frank Reich.
A strong start for the Indy defense has given way to a bad stretch. The team has given up 28 or more points in four of its last five games. The only team it’s held under that mark in that span is the lowly Buffalo Bills (37-5).
For the year, the defense is now averaging 26.6 points against per game, which is 25th in the league.
The unit doesn’t possess any true strength, surrendering 109.9 yards per game on the ground (19th) and 261.5 through the air (23rd).
Jacksonville walked all over the Colts, 30-10, the last time these two teams met, which was December 3rd, 2017. The Jaguars were 10.0-point favorites in that game. Of course, that was back when Luck was still recovering from the shoulder injury that cost him an entire season.