Gear up for a tight one, as the Buffalo Bills opened as slight 3.5-point favorites over the New York Jets in their Week 14 matchup at New Era Field. Kickoff is set for 1:00pm EST on December 9th.
The Jets are averaging just 20.3 points per game (26th). But they could easily solve this by simply cutting back on the turnovers. New York has committed 24 turnovers this season (29th), which includes one last week against the Titans.
Misguided Sam Darnold passes have caused an intolerable 14 of those giveaways. The rest have come from the team fumbling the ball away. Protecting the ball will be vital for Darnold, who should be back under center after missing the last two games, and the Jets moving forward.
Not only does New York struggle to score points this season, but they can’t keep their opponent out of the endzone, either. The Jets give up 25.6 points per game, ranking 22nd in the league. They’ll need one of these units to overachieve a little to get the win on Sunday.
Fortunately, New York’s defense avoids any sort of offensive powerhouse this week, when they take the field against the Bills. Buffalo is scoring just 14.8 points per game, which is the second-fewest in the league.
They would have a much easier time finding the endzone, though, if they’d just quit handing the ball over to the other team. Buffalo has already committed 25 turnovers this season, which is the third-most in the league. As the Bills are discovering, you cannot consistently win football games with such careless play.
Errant Josh Allen passes have accounted for seven of those giveaways, while the rest have come from the team fumbling the ball away. The coaching staff is going to have to preach increased ball security to get this offense rolling, especially this week against a Jets’ defense that ranks 16th in takeaways.
Defensively, the Bills are a pretty mediocre unit. They allow 24.4 points per game, which ranks 18th in the NFL. They’ve been ok against the run, giving up 107.0 rushing yards per game (14th). Buffalo has enjoyed much more success defending the pass, though, only ceding 187.2 yards per game through the air (the fewest in the NFL).
The last meeting between these two came just two week ago (November 11th, 2018) when Buffalo destroyed New York, 41-10. The Jets were 7.0-point favorites in that game.