Gear up for a tight one, as the Seattle Seahawks opened as slight 2.5-point favorites over the Green Bay Packers in their Week 11 TNF matchup at CenturyLink Field.
Kickoff is set for 8:20pm EST on November 15th.
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay’s offense is grounded on Aaron Rodgers putting the ball in the air. But if Week 10 showed us anything, it’s that it doesn’t need to be.
Their sixth-ranked passing attack has been great this season and has been largely responsible for the 24.8 PPG they post (13th). However, Mike McCarthy’s refusal to give Aaron Jones the ball needs to come to an end.
The back rushed for 145 yards on a season-high 15 carries, adding 27 receiving yards and two TDs.
172 yards from scrimmage on 18 touches.
And two @packers touchdowns!
— NFL (@NFL) November 12, 2018
As a team, the Packers average a whopping 5.2 yards per carry, which is the most in the NFL. Aaron Jones averages 6.8 yards per carry, though, which is also a league-high. No other RB who has carried the ball for GB this season averages over four yards per carry.
So while I do understand wanting to keep the ball in the hands of Aaron Rodgers, who has a 100.0 passer rating this season, I doubt you’d hear any complaints from him if McCarthy put the ball in Jones’ hands a little more often going forward.
Aaron Jones needs to average 72.3 rushing yards per game over the final seven games to get to 1,000 yards. For him, that’ll only require about 11 carries a game
— Zach Kruse (@zachkruse2) November 13, 2018
In turn, it will only make the connection between Rodgers and Davante Adams all the more dangerous. The two connected for 57 yards and two touchdown against the Dolphins last week, moving Adams’ total up to 787 receiving yards and nine touchdowns this season.
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) November 11, 2018
Green Bay’s defense prides themselves on defending the pass.
They only spot their opponent 225 passing yards per game (5th), compared to 120.9 on the ground (22nd). The Packers’ strength against the pass has led to them allowing a respectable 24 points per game (16th).
Packers vs Seahawks Statistical Comparison
|24.8 (13th)||PPG||24.3 (15th)|
|403.2 (7th)||YPG||348.1 (22nd)|
|115.5 (14th)||Rushing YPG||152.2 (1st)|
|287.7 (6th)||Passing YPG||195.9 (27th)|
|24 (16th)||PPG Allowed||21.3 (9th)|
|345.9 (11th)||YPG Allowed||346.9 (12th)|
|120.9 (22nd)||Rushing YPG Allowed||118.6 (18th)|
|225 (5th)||Passing YPG Allowed||228.3 (7th)|
|0 (T17th)||Turnover Differential||+8 (T4th)|
Surprisingly, ordinary is the best way to describe the offense Green Bay will see this week.
And what’s even more shocking than an underwhelming offense with Russell Wilson at the helm is the fact that Seattle leads the league in rushing yards.
Whether it’s been Chris Carson, Mike Davis, Rashaad Penny, or even Wilson himself carrying the rock, the Seahawks have had success. They average 152.2 yards per game on the ground, and a very efficient 4.8 yards per carry (9th).
.@pennyhendrixx lost the game. But he found his groove.
— NFL (@NFL) November 12, 2018
But until Wilson can start moving the ball with his arm, Seattle won’t manage much more than the 24.3 points per game (15th) they are currently posting.
The four-time Pro Bowl QB is only averaging 218.6 passing yards per game, and he has been sacked 29 times in just nine games. As a result, Seattle averages just 195.9 net passing yards per game, which ranks 27th in the NFL.
That Aaron Donald guy is pretty strong… Just wrecks J.R. Sweezy backwards. #Rams
— Samuel Gold (@SamuelRGold) November 11, 2018
Flipping to the other side of the ball, Seattle’s defense has been playing at a very high level. They’re permitting just 21.3 PPG, ranking ninth in the NFL.
Turnovers have been their calling card. The Seahawks have generated 15 turnovers this season, ranking 7th in the NFL. Aaron Rodgers and company will need to protect the football to give themselves any chance in Week 11.
The last time these two teams met was September 10th, 2017, when Green Bay overpowered Seattle 17-9. The Packers were 2.5-point favorites in that game.