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Rams
vs
Saints

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Kickoff: Sun. Jan 20th @ 3:05 pm EST

Consensus Picks

?
Displays which side the public is betting
LAR
80%
Picks
20%
NO
+3
15%
ATS
85%
-3
U
85%
56.5
15%
O

SBD Predicted Score

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A statistically-based calculation predicting how many points each team will score
N/A

Current Rams vs Saints Odds

Odds History
Moneyline Spread Total
+150 2.50 3/2 0.40 +3 +100 2.00 1/1 0.50 O 56.0 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
-170 1.59 10/17 0.63 -3 -120 1.83 5/6 0.55 U 56.0 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
Moneyline Spread Total
+148 2.48 37/25 0.40 +3 -104 1.96 25/26 0.51 O 55.5 -109 1.92 100/109 0.52
-168 1.60 25/42 0.63 -3 -114 1.88 50/57 0.53 U 55.5 -109 1.92 100/109 0.52
Moneyline Spread Total
+144 2.44 36/25 0.41 +3 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52 O 55.5 -105 1.95 20/21 0.51
-164 1.61 25/41 0.62 -3 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52 U 55.5 -115 1.87 20/23 0.53
Moneyline Spread Total
+145 2.45 29/20 0.41 +3 -105 1.95 20/21 0.51 O 56 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52
-175 1.57 4/7 0.64 -3 -115 1.87 20/23 0.53 U 56 -110 1.91 10/11 0.52

Matchup Overview

After a pair of dominating wins in the divisional round, it’s fitting that the two teams that set the pace all season for the NFC will clash for the right to represent the conference in Super Bowl 53, as the Los Angeles Rams head to New Orleans to battle the Saints.

The Saints are favoured by 3.5 points.

Kickoff is set for 3:05pm EST this Sunday at the Mercedez-Benz Superdome.

Los Angeles Rams

The Rams perhaps showed their best playoff selves in a 30-22 divisional playoff demolition of the Cowboys.

The rediscovery of their ground game has Los Angeles able to grind teams like they hadn’t all season, and it began with a CJ Anderson swipe off the scrap heap.

The Panthers castoff has now had better than 20 carries and 120 yards in all three games with the Rams.

With Todd Gurley back to full force after battling a knee injury, the Rams don’t have to rely on that (currently stalled) supercharged passing attack, as they can eat up opponents with some variety.

Defensively, LA’s front four, led by shoo-in Defensive Player of the Year Aaron Donald, held the NFL’s leading rusher Zeke Elliott to just 47 yards on 15 totes last week. That will be a key again as they face a lethal tandem of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram, but that’s just one issue.

In Week 9, Drew Brees ripped them apart for 346 yards and 4 TD passes, while Michael Thomas went berserk, racking up 211 receiving yards and a major in a 45-35 loss. Star CB Aqib Talib wasn’t in that game, but even with Talib back, it’s hard to imagine completely stopping Thomas.

That means they will have to score, and QB Jared Goff will need to make plays. He’s easily the shakiest of the four pivots left standing, and this was a guy touted as an MVP candidate through LA’s 11-1 start.

He’s passed for under 200 yards the last two games, and has thrown for 216 yards or less in five of the last six games.

The scouting report Dallas had last week is still true this week – we’ll see if the Rams O-line can keep the pocket clean to give Goff the best chance to succeed.

Rams vs Saints Statistical Comparison

Rams
VS
Saints

32.9 (2nd) PPG 31.5 (3rd)
421.1 (2nd) YPG 379.2 (8th)
139.4 (3rd) Rushing YPG 126.6 (6th)
282 (5th) Passing YPG 252.6 (12th)
24.0 (20th) PPG Allowed 22.1 (14th)
358.6 (19th) YPG Allowed 349.1 (14th)
122.3 (23rd) Rushing YPG Allowed 80.2 (2nd)
236 (14th) Passing YPG Allowed 268.9 (29th)
+11 (4th) Turnover Differential +8 (7th)

*Stats are from the 2018 NFL regular season

New Orleans Saints

Sure, they didn’t cover, but you needed to watch the divisional playoff game to see how the Saints thoroughly thrashed the Eagles en route to the NFC title tilt.

Philadelphia found pay dirt twice in their first three drives, and that was about it. No really, that was it.

Since Week 7, this unit is allowing an impressive 16.9 points per game, and have sacked the opposing QB 28 times. They’re solid at each level, and the outstanding play of Marshon Lattimore keyed the comeback.

The talented second-year pro was also Johnny-on-the-spot, ending the St. Nick Foles run of dominance and vaulting New Orleans into the final four.

This will be the big test for the Saints: despite their recent struggles, the Rams are still the second-highest scoring team in the NFL, and averaged the second-most yards per game.

We’re going to find out just how stout their second-ranked rush defense is (80.2 ypg), as Los Angeles laid waste to the Cowboys run D – considered a Dallas strength, and ranked 5th in the league.

Offensively, once Brees and company got it going, they were unstoppable.

Rams defensive coordinator Wade Phillips will be put into the vice like the Eagles’ Jim Schwartz was: blitz Brees and get ripped for big plays, or rush four and hope someone gets home, unless you want to watch Brees slow drip you to death with accuracy.

Schwartz went with option 2, and felt the wrath.

As mentioned, Thomas is probably the best receiver going in football right now. Even though he’s the clear top option in their passing attack, he still caught 12 balls for 171 yards and a TD.

The defenses on both sides are too strong right now to make this a shootout, but this should be one of the best played games we will see all year – with massive stakes on the line too.

Rams & Saints Recent Trends

Rams Trends Saints Trends
LAR is 6-2 SU on the road NO is 7-2 SU at home
LAR is 6-6-1 ATS after a win NO is 9-4 ATS after a win
LAR is 10-3 SU in conference games NO is 10-3 SU in conference games
LAR is 4-4 ATS on the road NO is 4-5 ATS at home