Gear up for a tight one. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers opened as slight 3.0-point favorites over the Washington Redskins in their Week 10 matchup at Raymond James Stadium. Kickoff is set for 1:00 PM EST on November 11th.
Washington’s offense relies on its ability to run the ball. It hasn’t gotten them very far, as they only score 20.0 points per game, but without their success on the ground, it would be even less. The Redskins average 121.9 yards per game on the ground (10th), led by Adrian Peterson. The RB has rushed for 604 yards (5th) and four TDs this season.
Meanwhile, Alex Smith and the passing game sit a woeful 24th overall at 222.0 YPG. Smith has at least been careful with the ball, as usual, with a 9:3 TD-to-INT ratio.
The Redskins will have to get back to featuring Peterson in order to leave Tampa with a win. Their Week 9 setback to Atlanta showed how bad this offense is without a run game. They managed just 14 points while Peterson was limited to just 17 yards on nine carries.
Washington’s defense has been excellent most of the season due to its ability to stuff the run. They only spot their opponent 89.4 rushing yards per game (5th), compared to 254.1 through the air (20th). The Redskins’ stinginess against the run has led to them allowing a respectable 21.5 PPG (9th).
That number was lower before Week 9 when they were torched for 38 points by Matt Ryan and the Falcons, and Washington is in tough this week against a Tampa Bay offense that has had no issue finding the endzone.
Thanks to a lethal passing game, the Buccaneers are scoring 28.6 points per game (7th). Ryan Fitzpatrick has been exceptional for Tampa Bay this season, tossing for 1,793 yards with a 17:7 touchdown-to-interception ratio, good for a 112.9 passer rating.
Fitzpatrick has a number of weapons to work with on the outside, first and foremost Mike Evans. His go-to receiver has caught 47 passes for 786 receiving yards (4th) and 4 TDs this season.
The Buccaneers have needed this kind of production from Fitzpatrick and his receivers, as they have not been able to efficiently move the ball on the ground. Led by Peyton Barber, Tampa Bay averages a pitiful 3.8 yards per carry (29th in the league).
The Buccaneer defense has been downright abhorrent. They’re allowing a shameful 34.4 PPG (32nd), largely thanks to the 107.1 rushing yards per game they surrender (15th). Tampa Bay better be prepared for a healthy dose of Adrian Peterson in Week 10.