The Colorado Avalanche can snuff out the Calgary Flames’ season on Friday when they visit Calgary at the Scotiabank Saddledome in Game 5 of their best-of-seven series (10:00 pm ET).
The Avalanche put the Flames on the brink of elimination with a thrilling, come-from-behind 3-2 overtime win in Game 4 on Wednesday night.
Opening Odds for Game 5
The Flames are sizable favorites for Game 5, opening at -175, while the Avalanche are +155 road underdogs.
Game 1: Colorado 0 – 4 Calgary
Game 2: Colorado 3 – 2 Calgary
Game 3: Calgary 2 – 6 Colorado
Game 4: Calgary 2 – 3 Colorado
Avalanche vs Flames Statistical Comparison (Reg. Season)
|38-30-14 (17-16-8 away)||Record||50-25-7 (26-10-5 home)|
|258 (10th)||Goals For||289 (2nd)|
|244 (16th)||Goals Against||223 (9th)|
|50.06 (15th)||Fenwick %||53.25 (4th)|
|90.68 (12th)||Save %||90.31 (21st)|
|50.89 (17th)||High-Danger Chances %||53.29 (8th)|
The Series Takeaways So Far
The Avalanche have been full value for their 3-1 series lead. Since being outplayed and getting blanked in Game 1 (4-0), they have dominated this matchup. They outshot Calgary 39-37 on the road in Game 2, and when they returned home to Denver, the ice was tilted like the Leaning Tower of Pisa.
Colorado fired 108 shots combined at Mike Smith in Games 3 and 4, while limiting Calgary to just 66. If not for Smith’s heroics in net, Calgary would not have even forced OT in Game 4.
Because Calgary held a 2-0 lead in that game with just 12 minutes to play, many Flames fans feel their team deserved a better fate than returning home in a 3-1 hole. But the Avalanche were clearly the better team on Wednesday.
The difference in this series has been that Colorado’s top line (Nathan MacKinnon-Mikko Rantanen-Gabriel Landeskog) have accounted for 14 points, including both OT winners, while Calgary’s top line (Johnny Gaudreau-Sean Monahan-Elias Lindholm) have just 5 points combined.
Colorado is not a deep team, but they don’t need to be with MacKinnon/Rantanen/Landeskog averaging over 25 minutes per night (including OT).
The addition of 2019 Hobey Baker-winner Cale Makar to the backend has provided a significant boost, as well. The 20-year-old has a ludicrous 65.9% Fenwick in his first two career NHL games, while playing just over 17 minutes per game.
Betting Trends and Streaks
When it comes to recent performance, Colorado has been lighting it up. The Avalanche are 7-2-1 in their last ten going back to the regular season. Calgary, on the other hand, is a middling 4-4-2 over that same ten-game stretch.
In terms of the puckline, the Avalanche are have gone an outstanding 45-41, just ahead of the Flames at 44-42.