The Boston Bruins and Toronto Maple Leafs will get reacquainted as their Eastern Conference playoff series continues with Game 3 at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto on Monday (7:00 PM ET). The series is knotted at 1-1 after the first two games in Boston. Both teams will be shorthanded for the foreseeable future due to injuries and suspensions.
Back in Toronto, the Maple Leafs are modest favorites for the first time in the series, sitting around -119 on the moneyline, while Boston is at +108 to pick up a win. The total started at 6.0, with the under slightly favored.
Takeaways from Games 1 and 2
The Maple Leafs speed was decisive in Game 1, a 4-1 road win, with Mitch Marner in particular burning the Bruins routinely. Boston adjusted perfectly in Game 2, playing a much more defensively responsible game and putting a huge emphasis on limiting Toronto off the rush.
The result was a dominant 4-1 win of their own, one which saw Boston outshoot Toronto 41-31 and record a 53.5% Corsi. Coach Bruce Cassidy, who was content to have his top line of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, and David Pastrnak go head to head with the Marner/John Tavares line in Game 1, got his big guns away from the Marner line in Game 2.
The move paid immediate dividends. The Bergeron line accounted for two goals and four points while averaging over 20 minutes of ice-time each.
Injuries and Suspensions
The Leafs lost more than just the Game on Saturday. Third-line center Nazem Kadri is suspended for the foreseeable future for cross-checking Jake Debrusk in the face. The length of the suspension has yet to be announced, but as a repeat offender, Kardi is likely going to be banned for the remainder of the series.
The Bruins are dealing with their own man-power issues, but theirs stem from injuries. Debrusk (head), Torey Krug (head), Connor Clifton (UBI), and Marcus Johansson (illness) are all listed as day-to-day. It’s unclear as of Monday morning which of them will be able to suit up tonight.
Bruins vs Maple Leafs Statistical Comparison
|49-24-9 (20-15-6 away)||Record||46-28-8 (23-16-2 home)|
|257 (11th)||Goals For||286 (4th)|
|212 (3rd)||Goals Against||249 (20th)|
|52.89 (5th)||Fenwick %||50.82 (11th)|
|91.23 (7th)||Save %||90.84 (10th)|
|51.14 (14th)||High-Danger Chances %||54.95 (3rd)|
*All stats from regular season.
Road and Home Records
The visiting Bruins had a solid record away from home this year, going 20-15-4 on the road.
The Maple Leafs were solid at home, but were actually better on the road. They went 23-16-2 in Toronto and 23-12-6 away from home.
Streaks and Trends
Dating back to the regular season, Boston is a middling 5-5-0 over the past ten. Toronto is also an uninspiring 3-4-3 over that same span.
When it comes to spread-betting, the Bruins have a 42-42 puckline record. Not great, but better than Toronto, which is 37-47 this season.
Remember that there is no 3-on-3 OT or shootout in the playoffs. They keep playing 5-on-5 until someone scores to break the tie. Teams’ strength 5-on-5 becomes more important come playoff time.