Upcoming Match-ups

Predators
vs
Stars

Game Preview

Starts: Mon. Apr 22nd @ 8:30 pm EST

Consensus Picks

?
Displays which side the public is betting
NAS
15%
Picks
85%
DAL
+1.5
15%
ATS
85%
-1.5
U
50%
5.0
50%
O

SBD Predicted Score

?
A statistically-based calculation predicting how many points each team will score
NAS Score DAL
2.82 - 2.93

Current Predators vs Stars Odds

Odds History
NAS
DAL
Moneyline Spread Total
+120 2.20 6/5 0.45 +1.5 -240 1.42 5/12 0.71 O 5.0 +105 2.05 21/20 0.49
-140 1.71 5/7 0.58 -1.5 +200 3.00 2/1 0.33 U 5.0 -125 1.80 4/5 0.56
Moneyline Spread Total
+115 2.15 23/20 0.47 - -
-135 1.74 20/27 0.57 - -
Moneyline Spread Total
- - -
- - -
Moneyline Spread Total
+115 2.15 23/20 0.47 +1.5 -255 1.39 20/51 0.72 O 5 +105 2.05 21/20 0.49
-135 1.74 20/27 0.57 -1.5 +205 3.05 41/20 0.33 U 5 -125 1.80 4/5 0.56

Matchup Overview

The Nashville Predators will try to stave off elimination tonight when they visit the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center (8:30 pm ET).

Dallas leads the best-of-seven series 3-2 after winning a pivotal Game 5 on the road in Nashville on Saturday (5-3).

Opening Odds for Game 6

Nashville opened as a slight underdog at +100 on the moneyline. The Stars opened at -120 on home ice and the line looks to be moving in their direction after a rather dominant Game 5 performance.

Series Scores

Game 1: Dallas 3 – 2 Nashville

Game 2: Dallas 1 – 2 Nashville  (OT)

Game 3: Nashville 2 – 1 Dallas

Game 4: Nashville 1 – 5 Dallas

Game 5: Dallas 5 – 3 Nashville

Stars vs Predators Statistical Comparison (Reg. Season)

Nashville
VS
Dallas

50-25-7 (22-15-4 away) Record 38-30-14 (24-14-3 away)
289 (2nd) Goals For 258 (10th)
223 (9th) Goals Against 244 (16th)
53.25 (4th) Fenwick % 50.06 (15th)
90.31 (21st) Save % 90.68 (12th)
53.29 (8th) High-Danger Chances %  50.89 (17th)

Series Takeaways So Far

The biggest takeaway from the first five games is that Dallas has been better in arguably the two areas that matter most: (1) in net and (2) first line performance.

Ben Bishop is outplaying Pekka Rinne (and Juuse Saros) by a decent margin. Bishop has a .935 SV% and 3.83 Goals Save Above Average (GSAA). Rinne is sub .900  in save percentage (.883) and has a brutal -4.14 GSAA. The only goalie who’s been worse in the playoff is Andrei Vasilevskiy, who’s Lightning were swept in four.

Rinne was particularly bad in Game 4, a 5-1 rout. The Stars chased him with four first-period goals.

When it comes to offense, Jamie Benn (1 G, 6 PTS), Alexander Radulov (4 G, 5 PTS) and Tyler Seguin (2 G, 5 PTS) have dominated almost every time they’ve been on the ice. On the Nashville side, the first line of Filip Forsberg (1 G, 2 PTS), Ryan Johansen (1 G, 2 PTS) and Viktor Arvidsson (0 PTS) has been invisible for most of the series, while their vaunted top-four defenseman have surrendered a lot more scoring chances than usual.

Roman Josi, Ryan Ellis, and PK Subban are a combined -5 in the series.

If Rocco Grimaldi (3 G) continues to be this team’s most dangerous player on offense, the Predators will have a hard to winning Game 6, let alone making a deep playoff run.

Betting Trends and Streaks

Dating back to the last five games of the regular season, Nashville is 6-3-1 in its last ten games, while Dallas is almost identical at 6-2-2 over that same stretch.

When it comes to spread-betting, the Predators are a terrible 33-54 against the puckline, which stands in stark contrast to Dallas’s 46-41 record this season.

Be sure to remember that overtime in the postseason is 5-on-5 and there are no shootouts. It’s 5-on-5 until someone scores to break the tie. Teams’ strength 5-on-5 becomes more important come playoff time.