Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds & Matchup Stats

Toronto

48-21-8

Tampa Bay

45-29-8

April 11, 2023

7:00 PM EDT

Amalie Arena

Closing Odds

Matchup				Bet %	Money %	Consensus
Toronto	+188	+195	+180	27%
Tampa Bay	-230	-230	-225	73%

This game was played on April 11, 2023. Closing Odds were accurate as of 7:00 pm. Check out upcoming NHL Odds.

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Predicted Score

3.58 - 3.32

Our formula predicts the Toronto Maple Leafs will beat the Tampa Bay Lightning by a score of 3.58–3.32.

Win Probability

33.3% - 66.7%

The Lightning have a 66.7% chance of beating the Maple Leafs based off the odds.

Pick

Toronto To Win

Maple Leafs COVER the +1.5 spread and the total is OVER 6.5

SportsBettingDime’s formula is picking the Maple Leafs (+1.5) to cover the spread, and has the total going Over 6.5.

Consensus
Picks

27%

73%

58%

42%

54%

46%

MLATSO/U

58% of the bets placed against the spread are on the Maple Leafs ; the moneyline splits show 73% of the moneyline bets are on the Lightning at -230 odds; 54% of the public bets are on the Over ().

Trends

Toronto

Tampa Bay

RETURN ON INVESTMENT: LAST 10 GAMES

Apr.6DateApr.24

ATS

OVER

UNDER

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Toronto

RETURN ON INVESTMENT: LAST 10 GAMES

Apr.6DateApr.24

ATS

OVER

UNDER

KEY INSIGHT: Available exclusively for SBD Plus users. Login or Register for FREE.

Tampa Bay

RETURN ON INVESTMENT: LAST 10 GAMES

Apr.6DateApr.24

ATS

OVER

UNDER

KEY INSIGHT: Available exclusively for SBD Plus users. Login or Register for FREE.

Understanding Return on Investment Trends

SBD Sharp measures the profitability of teams over time. A positive percentage indicates that betting the team has been profitable in recent games. Visit SBD Sharp for a detailed explanation of ROI trends or register for your free SBD Plus account account today.

Futures Trackers

Track the Stanley Cup odds all season and see how Toronto and Tampa Bay compare to the top contenders.

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Stats

Records

Toronto

Tampa Bay

48-29

Overall

45-37

21-13

Away/Home

27-7

18-14Udog/Fav33-20

Each team's record on the moneyline, spread, and over/under, with home and road splits for each.

Team Leaders

Auston Matthews

Brayden Point

Goals

Assists

Points

Compare key stats for each team's most impactful players.

Head to Head

Toronto

Tampa Bay

Goals Per Game

3.4

Shots Per Game

Power Play %

25.9%

Faceoff Win %

53.1%

51.5%

Goals Against Per Game

2.7

3.1

Shots Against Per Game

Penalty Kill %

82%

80%

Penalty Minutes Per Game

8.2

12.1

Penalty Minutes Drawn Per Game

8.3

12.2

Directly compare team stats for the most important metrics.

Injuries

Toronto

Tampa Bay

Player	Status
Erik Gustafsson Day To Day	Upper Body 04/11/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Matt Murray Day To Day	Head 04/11/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Sam Lafferty Day To Day	Undisclosed 04/11/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Bobby McMann Out	Knee 03/24/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Jake Muzzin Out For Season	Spine 02/22/2023 @ 12:00AM EST
Nicholas Robertson Out For Season	Shoulder 01/16/2023 @ 12:00AM EST
Victor Mete Out	Lower Body 12/09/2022 @ 12:00AM EST

Toronto

Player	Status
Erik Gustafsson Day To Day	Upper Body 04/11/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Matt Murray Day To Day	Head 04/11/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Sam Lafferty Day To Day	Undisclosed 04/11/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Bobby McMann Out	Knee 03/24/2023 @ 12:00AM EDT
Jake Muzzin Out For Season	Spine 02/22/2023 @ 12:00AM EST
Nicholas Robertson Out For Season	Shoulder 01/16/2023 @ 12:00AM EST
Victor Mete Out	Lower Body 12/09/2022 @ 12:00AM EST