Braves vs Phillies Game 3 Predictions & Odds

Published: October 13, 2022 at 9:05 am EDT

Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola throwing a pitch — Oct 8, 2022; St. Louis, Missouri, USA; Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Aaron Nola (27) throws a pitch in the first inning against the St. Louis Cardinals during game two of the Wild Card series for the 2022 MLB Playoffs at Busch Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

The Braves hit the road to face the Phillies in Game 3 of the NLDS on Friday
Philadelphia is a -120 home favorite with Aaron Nola on the mound
Keep reading for the odds, preview, and Braves vs Phillies Game 3 prediction

The Atlanta Braves and Philadelphia Phillies are currently tied 1-1 in the NLDS heading to the City of Brotherly Love on Friday for a pivotal Game 3. This is the first postseason contest at Citizens Bank Park since 2011. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:37 PM ET.

The Braves have yet to announce who will start for them, but it’s likely between rookie Spencer Strider and veteran Charlie Morton. The Phils meanwhile send Aaron Nola to the hill.

Braves vs Phillies Odds

Team	Moneyline	Runline	Total
Atlanta Braves	+100	+1.5 (-210)	Ov 7.5 (+100)
Philadelphia Phillies	-120	-1.5 (+175)	Un 7.5 (-120)

Odds as of October 13th at Caesars Sportsbook. Use this Caesars Sportsbook bonus code to wager on Game 3.

Philadelphia heads home as a slight -120 betting favorite, while the game total is sitting at 7.5 with the under also slightly favored at -120.

Atlanta vs Philadelphia Probable Pitchers

As previously mentioned, Brian Snitker is undecided on his Game 3 starting pitcher. He did say that Strider would pitch “at some point” on Friday though, whether it’s from the get-go or in relief. The youngster was phenomenal for the Braves this season, going 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA. The 23-year-old also struck out more than 30% of the hitters he faced.

Brian Snitker did not announce a starting pitcher for Game 3. The Braves are weighing all the scenarios.

One certainty: Spencer Strider will be used. The Braves are just deciding how they will use him, Snitker said.

— Justin Toscano (@JustinCToscano) October 13, 2022

As for Morton, he didn’t fare as well in 2022, posting a 4.34 ERA in 31 starts to go with a 9-6 record. The right-hander has allowed nine earned runs across his previous two outings, last taking the bump on October 2nd. There’s an argument for both guys to get a chance here, but we’ll see.

Braves manager Brian Snitker said team hasn't decided on a Game 3 starter. Charlie Morton and Spencer Strider are both possibilities. Strider was available to pitch last night if he was needed, Snitker said. So Braves confident he is healthy and ready to go.

— Maria Torres (@maria_torres3) October 13, 2022

Nola’s regular season record of 11-13 doesn’t jump off the page, but the numbers at large were very good. He compiled a 3.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, and struck out 235 in 205 innings for Philly while conceding only 28 walks.

RED OCTOBER⚾️ Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola says he's talked with some players about postseason baseball at Citizens Bank Park. He's told it's one of the worst places to be an opponent, but one of the best atmospheres 🤝https://t.co/qJsR57z6Ho pic.twitter.com/1oynVgL8ha

— CBS Philadelphia (@CBSPhiladelphia) October 13, 2022

The 29-year-old consistently pounds the strike zone and we saw just that in the Wild Card Series, throwing 6.2 frames of scoreless baseball against the Cardinals. Matchup-wise, Nola owns a 3.67 ERA against Atlanta this year in five starts.

Braves Even NLDS

Atlanta went into Wednesday’s Game 2 needing a win badly in order to avoid an 0-2 hole and needless to say, they made it happen. Kyle Wright threw an absolute gem, giving up just two hits and zero runs in six innings. In fact, the Braves staff allowed just three hits in total in the 3-0 victory.

d’Arn-YES!#Back2Battle pic.twitter.com/SfhlGI4mro

— Atlanta Braves (@Braves) October 13, 2022

At the dish, Atlanta got it done with fundamental baseball. Matt Olson, Austin Riley, and Travis D’Arnaud all had RBI singles. They did just enough to get to Phillies stud Zack Wheeler who enjoyed a good outing too, just not as stellar as Wright.

Phillies Will Be Fired up for Game 3

The first playoff home game in over a decade is surely going to fire up the Phillies, there is no question about it. But after a tremendous offensive performance in the series opener, Philadelphia was atrocious at the plate on Wednesday.

One thing we didn't consider was that even though the Phillies had Zack Wheeler going tonight, their offense is physically allergic to scoring runs for him when he's on the mound and lose just as many games as they win with him.

— John Stolnis (@JohnStolnis) October 13, 2022

Sure, Wright was on point, but three hits in nine innings and no runs is simply not good enough. It really wasted a solid showing from Wheeler, who did his best to keep the Phils in the game. Morton is a guy they’ll love to face as he’s struggled against Philly this year, but Strider has carved up this lineup, owning an ERA under one.

ATL vs PHI – Last 10 Games

Date	Home Team	Away Team	Score
10/12/22	Braves	Phillies	ATL, 3-0
10/11/22	Braves	Phillies	PHI, 7-6
09/25/22	Phillies	Braves	ATL, 8-7
09/24/22	Phillies	Braves	ATL, 6-3
09/23/22	Phillies	Braves	PHI, 9-1
09/22/22	Phillies	Braves	PHI, 1-0
09/18/22	Braves	Phillies	ATL, 5-2
09/17/22	Braves	Phillies	ATL, 4-3
09/16/22	Braves	Phillies	ATL, 7-2
08/03/22	Braves	Phillies	PHI, 3-1