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2025-26 NFL MVP Odds Tracker – Lamar Jackson Opens as Favorite

Matt McEwan

By Matt McEwan

Updated:


  • NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 NFL season have opened at select sports betting apps
  • Lamar Jackson has opened as a slight favorite over this past season’s MVP Josh Allen
  • Track the NFL MVP odds movement over the course of the season for all contenders

Since 1957, the Associated Press has been presenting a Most Valuable Player award to the NFL’s most deserving candidate – also read as the best quarterback in the league based on the way the voters treat it. The odds to win the 2025-26 NFL MVP have now opened as we head into the NFL offseason. There isn’t expected to be any major movement to the NFL MVP odds until we get to free agency, and then the NFL Draft. But you can take a look at where each player’s NFL MVP odds opened, and what (if any) movement they have experienced so far.

Check out the NFL MVP odds available at our most trusted sportsbooks below; the graphs show each player’s average odds to win NFL MVP.

NFL MVP Odds

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Though Josh Allen won the NFL MVP this past season, it was Lamar Jackson who opened as the NFL MVP favorite for the 2025-26 NFL season. Many argued Jackson should have won the award last season, and sportsbooks have heard those cries loud and clear, as they have given Jackson slightly better odds than Allen to open the offseason.

It is worth noting that Jayden Daniels’ MVP odds opened at +13000 last season, and he has now opened this season as a top five contender. This is the biggest difference of any player year-over-year.

Odds to Win 2025-26 NFL MVP

sport icon Player Best Odds Best Odds Bet365 BetMGM Caesars Sportsbook DraftKings
Jackson, Lamar DraftKings +550 +500 +450 +500 +550
Allen, Josh Caesars Sportsbook +650 +600 +600 +650 +550
Burrow, Joe BetMGM +750 +650 +750 +600 +650
Mahomes, Patrick Caesars Sportsbook +850 +750 +700 +850 +750
Daniels, Jayden Bet365 +1100 +1100 - +1000 +750
Hurts, Jalen Caesars Sportsbook +2000 +1800 - +2000 +1700
Herbert, Justin Caesars Sportsbook +2500 +1600 - +2500 +1800
Stroud, Cj Caesars Sportsbook +2500 +1800 - +2500 +2500
Love, Jordan Bet365 +2500 +2500 - +2500 +2200
Goff, Jared DraftKings +3000 +2500 - +2800 +3000
Williams, Caleb Bet365 +3300 +3300 - +3000 +2800
Purdy, Brock DraftKings +3500 +2500 - +3000 +3500
Mayfield, Baker Caesars Sportsbook +3500 +3300 - +3500 +2500
Prescott, Dak Caesars Sportsbook +4000 +3300 +3500 +4000 +3500
Lawrence, Trevor DraftKings +4500 +3300 - +4000 +4500
Murray, Kyler Bet365 +5000 +5000 +5000 +4000 +2800
Barkley, Saquon Bet365 +5000 +5000 - +5000 +5000
Tagovailoa, Tua DraftKings +5000 +4000 - +4500 +5000
Stafford, Matthew Bet365 +5000 +5000 - +5000 +5000
Nix, BO Bet365 +6600 +6600 - +6000 +3500
Maye, Drake Bet365 +6600 +6600 - +6000 +4500
Penix Jr, Michael Bet365 +6600 +6600 - +6000 +6000
Darnold, Sam Caesars Sportsbook +7000 +6600 - +7000 +6000
Rodgers, Aaron Bet365 +8000 +8000 - +6000 +5000
Young, Bryce Bet365 +8000 +8000 - +7000 +8000

Lamar Jackson is currently getting +550 odds to win NFL MVP this coming season. He is seen as the NFL MVP favorite by all sportsbooks. The +550 odds mean Jackson has a 15.4% chance to win the award, according to the sportsbooks. A $20 bet on Jackson at his current price would stand to profit $110 and return $130.

It shouldn’t be surprising to see a lengthy list of quarterbacks behind Jackson in the NFL MVP odds. After all, it has really become a QB-dominated award. The top five NFL MVP contenders for 2025-26 after Jackson are as follows: Josh Allen (+625), Joe Burrow (+725), Patrick Mahomes (+800), and Jayden Daniels (+1100).

*NFL MVP odds above are updated every 1-2 hours from the top sportsbooks, including but not limited to DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM; if you’re not already registered with DraftKings, get the best DraftKings Sportsbook promo available when signing up.

There are many great sportsbooks out there with huge promos if you’re looking to bet on NFL MVP. One of the best sign-up offers comes from claiming the Bet365 bonus code, which unlocks a choice between two great offers. If you’re looking for powerful odds boosts to pump your winnings on NFL MVP futures, then we recommend going with a FanDuel promo code. And if you’re on the hunt for frequent bonus bets, then keep an eye out for a BetMGM promo code, as they might have just what you’re looking for.

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Looking for the latest NFL odds? – Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all upcoming games this week here.

Here are some notes on the NFL MVP odds movement:

  • [February 7] NFL MVP odds for the 2025-26 NFL season opened almost immediately after the past season’s award was handed out. Lamar Jackson opened as the 2025-26 NFL MVP favorite with +525 odds, just slightly better than Josh Allen’s +575 odds. It is worth mentioning that Jayden Daniels opened last season with +13000 odds to win the MVP, and opened this season with +1050 odds, the fifth-best on the board. Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes also opened with short odds, rounding out the top five contenders.
  • A quarterback has won each of the last 12 NFL MVP awards
  • Since 2001, only three non-QBs have won the award – all were running backs
  • Since 2001, only one player has won NFL MVP without their respective team winning at least 11 games – Adrian Peterson’s Vikings won 10 games in 2012

Top Contenders by Position

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Of the 68 NFL MVP awards handed out, 47.5 have gone to quarterbacks – Brett Favre and Barry Sanders shared the honors in 1997. Looking to the remaining 20.5, 17.5 of them were running backs, two were defensive players, and one was a placekicker.

  • Alan Page (1971) and Lawrence Taylor (1986) were the two defensive players to win the award
  • Mark Moseley (1982) was the lone kicker to win an MVP, after he nailed an NFL-high 20 field goal attempts – he attempted 21 – for Washington
  • Jim Brown won the first two MVP awards in 1957 and 1958
  • The most recent RB to be named MVP was Adrian Peterson in 2012

Odds For Previous NFL MVP Winners

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Aaron Rodgers leads all active players with four NFL MVPs. Rodgers still trails Peyton Manning, who holds the all-time record with five.

Last 10 NFL MVP Winners

Year NFL MVP Pos Team Record
2024 Josh Allen QB Bills 13-4
2023 Lamar Jackson (2) QB Ravens 13-4
2022 Patrick Mahomes (2) QB Chiefs 14-3
2021 Aaron Rodgers (4) QB Packers 13-4
2020 Aaron Rodgers (3) QB Packers 13-3
2019 Lamar Jackson QB Ravens 14-2
2018 Patrick Mahomes QB Chiefs 12-4
2017 Tom Brady (3) QB Patriots 13-3
2016 Matt Ryan QB Falcons 11-5
2015 Cam Newton QB Panthers 15-1

Josh Allen is the reigning NFL MVP, as he beat out Lamar Jackson at the NFL Honors to take home his first MVP award.

Teams with Most NFL MVP Winners

NFL Team Number of MVP Winners Most Recent MVP Winner
Green Bay Packers 9.5 Aaron Rodgers (2021)
Indianapolis Colts 8.5 Peyton Manning (2009)
San Francisco 49ers 5 Steve Young (1994)
Cleveland Browns 4 Brian Sipe (1980)
Los Angeles Rams 4 Kurt Warner (2001)

Thanks to Aaron Rodgers’ most recent NFL MVP award, the Packers have taken over as the team with the most NFL MVPs. The Colts had five MVP winners during their time in Baltimore – Johnny Unitas accounted for three – but Peyton Manning provided four more when they moved to Indianapolis.

You may be a little surprised to see Cleveland on here, but keep in mind the NFL MVP has been awarded since 1957. Jim Brown won the first two and added a third in 1965.

Thanks to the Greatest Show on Turf, the Rams are the only team to win the award in three consecutive seasons – Brett Favre won it for the Packers in three straight, but he shared the award in 1997 with Barry Sanders.

Teams with No NFL MVP Winners

Teams with no MVP Winners Notable Players with “MVP-Type” Seasons
Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald/Carson Palmer/Kurt Warner/Jake Plummer
Houston Texans Arian Foster/Andre Johnson/JJ Watt
Jacksonville Jaguars Mark Brunell/Fred Taylor/Maurice Jones-Drew
New Orleans Saints Drew Brees/Alvin Kamara
New York Jets Curtis Martin/Joe Namath
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Brad Johnson(?)/Tom Brady

Patrick Mahomes was the first Kansas City Chief to ever win the NFL MVP award in 2018, and Lamar Jackson became the first ever Raven to win it in 2019.

The city of Baltimore did get to see five MVPs when they had the Colts, though.


Archived MVP Odds:

Matt McEwan
Matt McEwan

Editor-in-Chief; Sports Betting Expert

With nearly a decade working in the industry, Matt is a seasoned sports betting veteran. He got his start with SBD in 2016 and worked his way up the ladder to become the Editor-in-Chief. Along the way he has done everything from reviewing sportsbooks to creating proprietary sports betting tools.

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