NCAAF Public Betting Trends
The 2023 college football season is officially underway, with Week 4 kicking off Thursday, September 21st. By looking at the splits of money and ticket percentages on the week’s biggest games, you can get a sense of where the public is betting each week. Whether you decide to back the public or fade them is your choice, and we’ll be providing the trends and money splits for each matchup.
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Matchup | spread | $$ | Money % | Bet % | spread | Money % | Bet % | moneyline | Money % | Bet % | total | Money % | Bet % |
Kickoff  ··@ 7:30 EDT | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia State GSU @ | +7 | 62% | 59% | +7 | 62% | 59% | +215 | 53% | 9% | o62 | 68% | 64% |
Coastal Carolina CC | -6.5 | 38% | 41% | -6.5 | 38% | 41% | -250 | 47% | 91% | u62.5 | 32% | 36% |
Kickoff  ··@ 7:30 EDT | ||||||||||||
Wisconsin WIS @ | -5.5 | 26% | 49% | -5.5 | 26% | 49% | -220 | 74% | 78% | o53.5 | 69% | 67% |
Purdue PUR | +6 | 74% | 51% | +6 | 74% | 51% | +190 | 27% | 22% | u53.5 | 31% | 33% |
NC State NCST @ | -9.5 | 86% | 81% | -9.5 | 86% | 81% | -350 | 59% | 83% | o47.5 | 14% | 19% |
Virginia-Wise VIRG-W | +9.5 | 14% | 19% | +9.5 | 14% | 19% | +300 | 41% | 17% | u48 | 86% | 81% |
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Boise State BSU @ | -6.5 | 46% | 68% | -6.5 | 46% | 68% | -235 | 86% | 80% | o45 | 74% | 81% |
San Diego State SDSU | +7 | 54% | 32% | +7 | 54% | 32% | +220 | 14% | 20% | u45.5 | 26% | 19% |
Air Force AFA @ | -4.5 | 68% | 68% | -4.5 | 68% | 68% | -196 | 83% | 82% | o46.5 | 4% | 15% |
San Jose State SJSU | +5 | 32% | 32% | +5 | 32% | 32% | +175 | 17% | 18% | u47 | 96% | 85% |
Rutgers RUTG @ | +24.5 | 69% | 73% | +24.5 | 69% | 73% | +1205 | 8% | 3% | o44 | 90% | 91% |
Michigan MICH | -24 | 31% | 27% | -24 | 31% | 27% | -2500 | 92% | 97% | u44.5 | 10% | 9% |
Army ARMY @ | +14 | 36% | 25% | +14 | 36% | 25% | +460 | 0% | 4% | o51 | 90% | 76% |
Syracuse SYR | -13.5 | 64% | 75% | -13.5 | 64% | 75% | -549 | 100% | 96% | u52 | 10% | 24% |
Tulsa TLSA @ | +4 | 31% | 43% | +4 | 31% | 43% | +164 | 7% | 13% | o54.5 | 66% | 60% |
Northern Illinois NIU | -3.5 | 69% | 57% | -3.5 | 69% | 57% | -185 | 93% | 87% | u54.5 | 34% | 40% |
Oklahoma OKLA @ | -14.5 | 94% | 75% | -14.5 | 94% | 75% | -610 | 98% | 91% | o57.5 | 51% | 51% |
Cincinnati CIN | +14.5 | 6% | 25% | +14.5 | 6% | 25% | +470 | 2% | 9% | u57.5 | 49% | 49% |
Florida State FSU @ | -2.5 | 95% | 95% | -2.5 | 95% | 95% | -130 | 78% | 78% | o55 | 72% | 64% |
Clemson CLEM | +2.5 | 5% | 5% | +2.5 | 5% | 5% | +114 | 22% | 22% | u55.5 | 28% | 36% |
Auburn AUB @ | +7.5 | 80% | 44% | +7.5 | 80% | 44% | +245 | 2% | 4% | o51.5 | 70% | 75% |
Texas A&M TAM | -7.5 | 20% | 56% | -7.5 | 20% | 56% | -300 | 98% | 96% | u52.5 | 30% | 25% |
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Kentucky UK @ | -13.5 | 67% | 60% | -13.5 | 67% | 60% | -521 | 95% | 95% | o50 | 86% | 84% |
Vanderbilt VAN | +13.5 | 33% | 40% | +13.5 | 33% | 40% | +410 | 5% | 5% | u50.5 | 14% | 16% |
Virginia Tech VT @ | +5.5 | 45% | 63% | +5.5 | 45% | 63% | +180 | 17% | 10% | o41 | 82% | 81% |
Marshall MRSH | -4.5 | 55% | 37% | -4.5 | 55% | 37% | -198 | 83% | 90% | u41.5 | 18% | 19% |
Western Kentucky WKU @ | +3.5 | 75% | 20% | +3.5 | 75% | 20% | +152 | 29% | 21% | o58.5 | 48% | 50% |
Troy TROY | -3.5 | 25% | 80% | -3.5 | 25% | 80% | -170 | 71% | 79% | u59 | 52% | 50% |
Western Michigan WMU @ | +21 | 45% | 50% | +21 | 45% | 50% | +950 | 7% | 5% | o53.5 | 63% | 65% |
Toledo TOL | -20.5 | 55% | 50% | -20.5 | 55% | 50% | -1205 | 93% | 95% | u54 | 37% | 35% |
Georgia Southern GASO @ | -6.5 | 57% | 50% | -6.5 | 57% | 50% | -240 | 67% | 85% | o60.5 | 55% | 46% |
Ball State BALL | +6.5 | 43% | 50% | +6.5 | 43% | 50% | +210 | 33% | 15% | u61 | 45% | 54% |
UCLA UCLA @ | +4.5 | 79% | 53% | +4.5 | 79% | 53% | +175 | 9% | 4% | o52.5 | 18% | 18% |
Utah UTAH | -4.5 | 21% | 47% | -4.5 | 21% | 47% | -194 | 91% | 96% | u52.5 | 82% | 82% |
Miami MIA @ | -23.5 | 37% | 53% | -23.5 | 37% | 53% | -1695 | 69% | 92% | o48 | 80% | 90% |
Temple TEM | +23.5 | 63% | 47% | +23.5 | 63% | 47% | +1200 | 31% | 8% | u48.5 | 20% | 10% |
Mississippi MISS @ | +7 | 74% | 59% | +7 | 74% | 59% | +230 | 24% | 5% | o54.5 | 63% | 51% |
Alabama ALA | -6.5 | 26% | 41% | -6.5 | 26% | 41% | -260 | 76% | 95% | u55.5 | 37% | 49% |
Boston College BC @ | +14 | 41% | 32% | +14 | 41% | 32% | +460 | 22% | 6% | o54.5 | 42% | 25% |
Louisville LOU | -13.5 | 59% | 68% | -13.5 | 59% | 68% | -599 | 78% | 95% | u54.5 | 58% | 75% |
Florida Atlantic FAU @ | +15.5 | 29% | 29% | +15.5 | 29% | 29% | +590 | 0% | 3% | o45.5 | 93% | 94% |
Illinois ILL | -15.5 | 71% | 71% | -15.5 | 71% | 71% | -649 | 100% | 97% | u45.5 | 7% | 6% |
Louisiana Tech LT @ | +21 | 30% | 52% | +21 | 30% | 52% | +890 | 1% | 4% | o46.5 | 76% | 89% |
Nebraska NEB | -20.5 | 70% | 48% | -20.5 | 70% | 48% | -1205 | 100% | 96% | u47.5 | 24% | 11% |
New Mexico UNM @ | +3.5 | 85% | 33% | +3.5 | 85% | 33% | +146 | 94% | 36% | o49 | 81% | 81% |
Massachusetts MASS | -3.5 | 15% | 67% | -3.5 | 15% | 67% | -170 | 6% | 64% | u49.5 | 19% | 19% |
Brigham Young BYU @ | +8.5 | 80% | 56% | +8.5 | 80% | 56% | +275 | 0% | 2% | o54.5 | 88% | 82% |
Kansas KU | -8.5 | 20% | 44% | -8.5 | 20% | 44% | -334 | 100% | 98% | u55 | 12% | 18% |
Texas Tech TTU @ | -6 | 80% | 63% | -6 | 80% | 63% | -230 | 99% | 91% | o54.5 | 50% | 44% |
West Virginia WVU | +6.5 | 20% | 38% | +6.5 | 20% | 38% | +200 | 1% | 9% | u55.5 | 50% | 56% |
Colorado COLO @ | +21 | 85% | 79% | +21 | 85% | 79% | +740 | 2% | 10% | o70.5 | 70% | 53% |
Oregon ORE | -20.5 | 15% | 21% | -20.5 | 15% | 21% | -952 | 98% | 90% | u70.5 | 30% | 47% |
Maryland MD @ | -7.5 | 83% | 76% | -7.5 | 83% | 76% | -300 | 98% | 93% | o52.5 | 50% | 78% |
Michigan State MSU | +7.5 | 17% | 24% | +7.5 | 17% | 24% | +250 | 2% | 7% | u52.5 | 50% | 22% |
Duke DUKE @ | -21.5 | 81% | 71% | -21.5 | 81% | 71% | -1587 | 70% | 90% | o44.5 | 93% | 88% |
UConn UCONN | +21.5 | 19% | 29% | +21.5 | 19% | 29% | +1100 | 30% | 10% | u45.5 | 7% | 12% |
Ohio OHIO @ | -12.5 | 86% | 67% | -12.5 | 86% | 67% | -481 | 94% | 92% | o44.5 | 97% | 97% |
Bowling Green BGSU | +13.5 | 14% | 33% | +13.5 | 14% | 33% | +420 | 6% | 8% | u45 | 3% | 3% |
Texas-San Antonio UTSA @ | +21 | 9% | 17% | +21 | 9% | 17% | +860 | 0% | 2% | o58.5 | 44% | 38% |
Tennessee TENN | -20.5 | 91% | 83% | -20.5 | 91% | 83% | -1351 | 100% | 98% | u59.5 | 56% | 62% |
Oklahoma State OKST @ | +3.5 | 3% | 21% | +3.5 | 3% | 21% | +146 | 22% | 11% | o36 | 79% | 82% |
Iowa State ISU | -3.5 | 97% | 79% | -3.5 | 97% | 79% | -165 | 78% | 89% | u36.5 | 21% | 18% |
Rice RICE @ | -2.5 | -- | -- | -2.5 | -- | -- | -135 | 8% | 41% | o58 | 37% | 37% |
South Florida USF | +2.5 | -- | -- | +2.5 | -- | -- | +122 | 92% | 59% | u58.5 | 63% | 63% |
Central Michigan CMU @ | +15.5 | 11% | 11% | +15.5 | 11% | 11% | +500 | 12% | 2% | o0 | 9% | 6% |
South Alabama USA | -14.5 | 89% | 89% | -14.5 | 89% | 89% | -629 | 88% | 98% | u49.5 | 91% | 94% |
Eastern Michigan EMU @ | +6.5 | 29% | 10% | +6.5 | 29% | 10% | +205 | 7% | 2% | o52.5 | 19% | 15% |
Jacksonville State JVST | -6 | 71% | 90% | -6 | 71% | 90% | -240 | 93% | 98% | u53.5 | 81% | 85% |
Georgia Tech GT @ | +4 | 56% | 25% | +4 | 56% | 25% | +165 | 46% | 11% | o59.5 | 35% | 35% |
Wake Forest WAKE | -3.5 | 44% | 75% | -3.5 | 44% | 75% | -180 | 54% | 89% | u60.5 | 65% | 65% |
Liberty LIB @ | -10 | 14% | 14% | -10 | 14% | 14% | -385 | 96% | 89% | o53.5 | 14% | 14% |
Florida International FIU | +10.5 | 86% | 86% | +10.5 | 86% | 86% | +325 | 4% | 11% | u54.5 | 86% | 86% |
Oregon State ORST @ | -2.5 | 84% | 76% | -2.5 | 84% | 76% | -141 | 76% | 65% | o58.5 | 46% | 42% |
Washington State WSU | +3 | 16% | 24% | +3 | 16% | 24% | +125 | 24% | 35% | u59 | 54% | 58% |
Arkansas ARK @ | +17.5 | 69% | 46% | +17.5 | 69% | 46% | +605 | 0% | 1% | o54.5 | 78% | 89% |
Louisiana State LSU | -17.5 | 31% | 54% | -17.5 | 31% | 54% | -901 | 100% | 99% | u55.5 | 22% | 11% |
Southern Mississippi SOMIS @ | -6.5 | -- | -- | -6.5 | -- | -- | -265 | 94% | 95% | o48.5 | 92% | 96% |
Arkansas State ARST | +7 | -- | -- | +7 | -- | -- | +225 | 6% | 5% | u49 | 8% | 4% |
Arizona ARIZ @ | -11.5 | -- | -- | -11.5 | -- | -- | -435 | 67% | 96% | o59.5 | 36% | 32% |
Stanford STAN | +12.5 | -- | -- | +12.5 | -- | -- | +340 | 33% | 4% | u61 | 64% | 68% |
Colorado State CSU @ | +3 | 35% | 16% | +3 | 35% | 16% | +136 | 17% | 18% | o52 | 56% | 56% |
Middle Tennessee MTU | -2.5 | 65% | 84% | -2.5 | 65% | 84% | -145 | 84% | 82% | u52.5 | 44% | 44% |
Sam Houston State SHSU @ | +12.5 | 65% | 67% | +12.5 | 65% | 67% | +365 | 0% | 1% | o38 | 81% | 98% |
Houston HOU | -12 | 35% | 33% | -12 | 35% | 33% | -450 | 100% | 99% | u38.5 | 19% | 2% |
Appalachian State APP @ | +3 | 5% | 38% | +3 | 5% | 38% | +130 | 1% | 12% | o42.5 | 84% | 95% |
Wyoming WYO | -2.5 | 95% | 63% | -2.5 | 95% | 63% | -140 | 99% | 88% | u43.5 | 16% | 5% |
Charlotte CHAR @ | +28 | 6% | 12% | +28 | 6% | 12% | +2000 | 4% | 5% | o49 | 95% | 89% |
Florida FLA | -27.5 | 94% | 88% | -27.5 | 94% | 88% | -5000 | 96% | 95% | u49.5 | 5% | 11% |
Nevada NEV @ | +17.5 | 40% | 30% | +17.5 | 40% | 30% | +600 | 1% | 2% | o59 | 46% | 42% |
Texas State TXST | -17 | 60% | 70% | -17 | 60% | 70% | -901 | 100% | 98% | u59.5 | 54% | 58% |
Texas TEX @ | -14.5 | 65% | 79% | -14.5 | 65% | 79% | -649 | 99% | 96% | o51.5 | 97% | 97% |
Baylor BAY | +15.5 | 35% | 21% | +15.5 | 35% | 21% | +490 | 1% | 4% | u51.5 | 3% | 3% |
Minnesota MINN @ | -11.5 | 60% | 83% | -11.5 | 60% | 83% | -441 | 99% | 96% | o38.5 | -- | -- |
Northwestern NW | +12 | 40% | 17% | +12 | 40% | 17% | +370 | 2% | 4% | u39.5 | -- | -- |
UAB UAB @ | +42 | 30% | 63% | +42 | 30% | 63% | -- | -- | -- | o53.5 | -- | -- |
Georgia UGA | -41.5 | 70% | 37% | -41.5 | 70% | 37% | -- | -- | -- | u54.5 | -- | -- |
Akron AKR @ | +17 | 17% | 17% | +17 | 17% | 17% | +640 | 0% | 1% | o46 | 82% | 89% |
Indiana IND | -16.5 | 83% | 83% | -16.5 | 83% | 83% | -800 | 100% | 99% | u46.5 | 18% | 11% |
Buffalo BUFF @ | +9.5 | -- | -- | +9.5 | -- | -- | +285 | -- | -- | o58.5 | 32% | 32% |
UL Lafayette ULL | -9 | -- | -- | -9 | -- | -- | -350 | -- | -- | u59.5 | 68% | 68% |
Memphis MEM @ | +6.5 | 50% | 38% | +6.5 | 50% | 38% | +196 | 0% | 4% | o51.5 | -- | -- |
Missouri MIZZ | -6 | 50% | 63% | -6 | 50% | 63% | -230 | 100% | 96% | u51.5 | -- | -- |
Mississippi State MSST @ | +6.5 | 18% | 21% | +6.5 | 18% | 21% | +205 | 0% | 9% | o48.5 | 88% | 92% |
South Carolina SOCAR | -6.5 | 82% | 79% | -6.5 | 82% | 79% | -250 | 100% | 91% | u48.5 | 12% | 8% |
Iowa IOWA @ | +15 | 56% | 24% | +15 | 56% | 24% | +490 | 0% | 1% | o40 | 81% | 98% |
Penn State PSU | -14.5 | 44% | 76% | -14.5 | 44% | 76% | -649 | 100% | 99% | u40.5 | 19% | 2% |
Ohio State OSU @ | -3 | 45% | 57% | -3 | 45% | 57% | -159 | 96% | 90% | o55.5 | 74% | 67% |
Notre Dame ND | +3.5 | 55% | 43% | +3.5 | 55% | 43% | +136 | 4% | 10% | u55.5 | 26% | 33% |
UCF UCF @ | +4.5 | 42% | 58% | +4.5 | 42% | 58% | +175 | -- | -- | o52.5 | 31% | 31% |
Kansas State KSU | -3.5 | 58% | 42% | -3.5 | 58% | 42% | -180 | -- | -- | u53 | 69% | 69% |
James Madison JMU @ | -6.5 | -- | -- | -6.5 | -- | -- | -245 | 97% | 88% | o52.5 | 50% | 50% |
Utah State USU | +6.5 | -- | -- | +6.5 | -- | -- | +205 | 3% | 13% | u52.5 | 50% | 50% |
North Carolina UNC @ | -7.5 | 36% | 72% | -7.5 | 36% | 72% | -295 | 77% | 89% | o50 | 4% | 4% |
Pittsburgh PITT | +7.5 | 64% | 28% | +7.5 | 64% | 28% | +240 | 23% | 11% | u50.5 | 96% | 96% |
UNLV UNLV @ | -2.5 | 97% | 98% | -2.5 | 97% | 98% | -130 | 9% | 50% | o49.5 | 94% | 94% |
UTEP TEP | +2.5 | 3% | 2% | +2.5 | 3% | 2% | +115 | 91% | 50% | u50.5 | 6% | 6% |
California CAL @ | +21 | 23% | 24% | +21 | 23% | 24% | +800 | 1% | 3% | o59.5 | 36% | 32% |
Washington WASH | -20.5 | 77% | 76% | -20.5 | 77% | 76% | -1099 | 99% | 97% | u60.5 | 64% | 68% |
Southern California USC @ | -34.5 | 48% | 34% | -34.5 | 48% | 34% | -10000 | 99% | 95% | o61.5 | 61% | 65% |
Arizona State ASU | +35.5 | 53% | 66% | +35.5 | 53% | 66% | +2400 | 1% | 5% | u62 | 39% | 35% |
Kent State KENT @ | +28 | -- | -- | +28 | -- | -- | +1800 | 0% | 5% | o48.5 | 96% | 90% |
Fresno State FRES | -27.5 | -- | -- | -27.5 | -- | -- | -4000 | 100% | 95% | u49.5 | 4% | 10% |
New Mexico State NMSU @ | +3 | 3% | 18% | +3 | 3% | 18% | +130 | 13% | 14% | o57 | 30% | 35% |
Hawai'i HAW | -3 | 97% | 82% | -3 | 97% | 82% | -150 | 87% | 86% | u57.5 | 70% | 65% |
Betting splits above are updated hourly; the data presented is an average of the public bets and public money from multiple North American and global sportsbooks.
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College Football Betting Trends
Week 4 of the 2023 College Football season begins Thursday night with a matchup between Georgia State and Coastal Carolina before concluding with a full slate of games on Saturday. Some of the significant Week 4 College Football public betting splits include:
- Colorado is once again a top consensus public pick against the spread — this time against Oregon. Deion Sanders and the Buffs are receiving 80% of the ATS handle as +21 road underdogs against the Ducks.
- In the marquee Ohio State vs Notre Dame, the public is siding with the Buckeyes. OSU is getting 69% of the handle as -3 road favorites in Dublin against the Irish.
- The most bet game total right now is the over/under of 44.5 points in Michigan vs Rutgers, as the “over” is getting 100% of the wagers. Bettors are aware this Wolverines team put up 50-plus points on the Scarlett Knights last season.
What are Consensus Picks and College Football Betting Trends?
Every bet placed on a college football game is tracked and entered into a system at your sportsbook of choice. Using all those transactions, bettors, analysts and fans alike can track trends based off the total number of bets placed and total amount of money bet on any game across the spread, moneyline or over/under total markets.
With that data, you can see the public consensus (as well as where the sharp money is) for every game before placing your bet.
How NCAAF Bet and Money Percentages Differ
Money percentages – or percent of the handle – refers to the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type.
The money percentage pools all the money wagered on any game together, first sorting it by the type of bet (moneyline, spread, or total points scored), and then breaks down what percentage of the handle is bet on each side.
Whichever side the handle is weighted to can signal the sharp action (if the amount of tickets on that side are low), or if that side is being heavily bet by the public (if the ticket percentage is high).
Bet percentages, meanwhile, are frequently referred to as “% of tickets” or “% of bets”. Tickets are just a term used for all the bets placed.
To get the bet percentage, you look at all the bets placed (regardless of the amount of money risked on each one), again, sorting first by the type of bet, and then look at the percentage of tickets on each side of the game.
This can help identify which side both high-stakes and low-stakes players are trending towards.
Noticing Sharp Action While Betting College Football
As broken down above, ticket percentage does not consider the amount risked on each ticket – it just counts each bet placed. If we compare the bet percentage and money percentage of the same team (for the same bet type), you’ll know something is up if they are not relatively similar.
For example, if Alabama has 78% of the tickets bet against the spread, but only has 50% of the money, we now know the bets being placed on Alabama are quite small – or the bets being placed on Ole Miss are quite large.
A noticeable difference between a team’s bet and money percentages can help signal sharp action. In order to calculate this, just subtract their bet percentage from their money percentage. If the result is a positive number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on this team. If the result is a negative number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on the other team.
While that’s not a 100% accurate formula to determine the sharp action, it can give you a general idea of where the money is.
College Football Public Betting FAQ
What is public betting on college football?
Public betting refers to the amount of money (and number of wagers) the public has placed on each team (and each game total) for the upcoming week. If the public is heavily backing e.g. the home or road team against the spread, it indicates that the public and the oddsmakers disagree on what the spread should be.
What percentage of college football teams cover the spread?
As with ATS betting in any two-team sport, 50% of teams cover and 50% of teams lose ATS (excluding pushes, that is, where the difference in the final score is equal to the spread; last season, only 13 games ended in a push).
How often does the favorite cover the spread in NCAAF?
In the 2021 season, the favorite covered 442 games ATS and lost 422 games ATS, which equals a 51.16% win percentage against the spread .
Who is the public betting on college football?
The short answer is that the public loves favorites and big names. Teams like Alabama, Ohio State, Georgia, and Clemson tend to get a disproportionate amount of both wagers and handle, even as massive double-digit favorites.