NFL ATS Records & Over/Unders – See All NFL Team Trends
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By Matt McEwan
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The above data table, which features NFL trends ATS or NFL team betting trends, display which NFL teams are the best and worst against the spread (NFL ATS records), which teams go over and under the total most often (NFL over/under records), and which teams have been the most and least profitable on the moneyline this season.
You can also use the “all situations” dropdown to view how teams have performed (whether it’s ATS, over/under, and moneyline) at home / on the road, as favorites/underdogs, and then every combo of those two situations together. We will be adding more situations in the near future as well as historical data prior to this season.
(To be very clear, you will not find anything on this page around public betting trends. You can check out our NFL public betting percentages for that data.)
A couple notes when viewing the full league stats at the top of the table: (1) moneyline and spread records in all situations are always going to be a 50-50 split, since every game has a team who wins/convers and one who does not. These records are much more valuable when you switch away from all situations and get into something specific. (2) When viewing over/unders for all situations, which is very valuable, you will have to divide the wins, losses, and pushes by two, since it is taking the sum of all teams’ records below. But each game played only features one over or under.
2023-24 NFL Team Trends
Here are some quick league-wide NFL trends:
- Unders hit in 145 of the 272 games played this regular season, which is a 53.3% rate
- Home teams went 151-121 straight up, but just 128-130-14 against the spread this regular season
- Favorites went 183-89 straight up, but just 135-123-14 against the spread during the regular season
- Home favorites were 114-52 straight up, but just 82-77-7 ATS in the regular season
- Road favorites were 69-37 straight up but 53-46-7 ATS in the regular season
2023 NFL ATS Standings – Best Teams Against the Spread
Following the conclusion of the regular season, these were the best NFL teams against the spread:
- Detroit Lions (12-5)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (11-6)
- Baltimore Ravens (11-6)
- Las Vegas Raiders (10-5-2)
- Dallas Cowboys (10-6-1)
Now here are the worst teams against the point spread:
- Carolina Panthers (4-11-2)
- Atlanta Falcons (5-12)
- New England Patriots (5-11-1)
- Los Angeles Chargers (5-11-1)
- New Orleans Saints (6-10-1)
NFL Over/Under Records
These are the teams who have gone over the total the most:
- Detroit Lions (11-6)
- Indianapolis Colts (10-6-1)
- Cleveland Browns (10-6-1)
- Arizona Cardinals (10-7)
- Green Bay Packers (10-7)
Now the teams who have gone under the total the most:
- Carolina Panthers (5-11-1)
- Las Vegas Raiders (5-11-1)
- New Orleans Saints (6-11)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (6-11)
- New York Giants (6-11)
Most Profitable NFL Teams Betting the Moneyline in 2023-24
Finally, the most profitable teams on the moneyline:
- Houston Texans (10-7 SU, +5.00 units)
- Cleveland Browns (11-6 SU, +4.87 units)
- Baltimore Ravens (13-4 SU, +4.63 units)
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-7 SU, +4.53 units)
- Green Bay Packers (9-8 SU, +3.09 units)
The above assumes you bet 1 unit on their moneyline each game.
What Is an NFL ATS Record?
The abbreviation “ATS” stands for “against the spread.”. An “ATS record” is simply how each team has performed against the point spread. Betting against the spread is a very popular type of bet where sportsbooks aim to even the playing field in any matchup. The point spread requires the favorite to not only win the game, but to win it by at least a certain amount of points in order for you to win your bet. The underdog, on the other hand, can still lose the game and you may win your bet, as long as they haven’t lost by more than the spread.
With it being so popular, it is important to know how each team has fared against the spread, also known as their ATS record. So, while a team may be 7-3 straight up, maybe they’re only 4-6 ATS because they didn’t cover the spread in some of those wins.
What Does “Straight Up” Mean in NFL?
You’ll often see the phrase “straight up” when looking at NFL team trends. This is just a way of differentiating a team’s win-loss record, which is referred to as “straight up” and does not consider a spread, from their ATS record. Straight up is often abbreviated to “SU” as well. So, next time you see that, understand you are just looking at the standard win-loss record for a team before you finalize any wagers on NFL betting apps.
What Is an NFL Over/Under Record?
An “NFL over/under record,” which you may also see presented as an NFL O/U record or NFL totals record, refers to how many times a team has gone over the total points line set in their games. Sportsbooks offer an over/under, or game total, for each NFL game and the bet does not require you to pick one team or the other, rather to decide if the total points scored between the two teams will be over or under a certain number. This guide has everything you need to understand totals betting further if you’re still uncertain.
NFL over/under records are displayed in a similar way to straight up or ATS records, but it is not the standard “win-loss.” Instead, the first number is how many time’s that team has gone over the total and the second is how many times they have gone under. For example, if a team’s over/under record is 3-6, that means they have gone over the total in three games and under the total in six.
What Does Profitability in NFL Betting Mean?
Profitability in NFL betting refers to how much money you would have made betting on a specific team. When it comes to profitability in ATS or over/under betting, we can generally see profitability well by just looking at the team’s record.
Generally speaking, the odds associated with any NFL ATS or over/under bet are -110, meaning each win is worth the same amount of money, assuming you have bet the same amount of money each time. So, we can rationally say that a team who is 8-5 ATS has been more profitable than a team who has been 6-7 ATS. One other thing to keep in mind with ATS and over/under profitability is that simply winning more than you lose is not enough to be profitable. Your break-even mark is 52.38%, which is equal to the implied probability associated with -110 odds. In order to be profitable betting against the spread or betting totals, you need to win more than 52.38% of your picks.
However, when we talk about profitability when betting the moneyline, it’s a totally different story. Moneyline odds can be dramatically different from one game to another, meaning one win could be worth a lot more than another win. For example, betting the Chiefs to beat the Bears in Week 3 would not have paid you much at all, whereas betting the Cardinals to upset the Cowboys would have been a big payday for you. So, simply looking at a team’s straight up record does not tell you how profitable they have been on the moneyline, as a 2-6 team might be more profitable than a team who is 6-2. You need to view ROI (return on investment) for each one of their wins and take the sum, which we do for you above.