Upcoming Match-ups

From October through June, bettors and fans alike will have NBA basketball on their televisions almost every evening. With so many games available to bet on – how should you pick where to place your wagers?

Looking at the money and bet-percentage splits, of course. We’ll provide you with the data directly from sportsbooks here ahead of games each night during the season so you can see where both the public money and percentage of tickets are concentrated for each game.

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Spread
2024-05-30
Matchup
spread$$Money %Bet %spreadMoney %Bet %moneylineMoney %Bet %totalMoney %Bet %
  ·
Dallas
DAL
@
+5
74%
72%
+5
74%
72%
+165
76%
27%
o209.5
4%
6%
Minnesota
MIN
-4
26%
28%
-4
26%
28%
-175
24%
73%
u209.5
96%
94%
  ·
Full Game Stats
Sascha Paruk
by Sascha Paruk
Updated 26, May, 2024 · 05:34 PM UTC

NBA Public Betting Splits for Sunday, May 26

Tipoff for Game 3 of the Western Conference Final between the Timberwolves and Pacers is set for tonight at 8:10 pm ET on Sunday. The NBA public-betting splits for May 26 include the following:

  • Minnesota is getting a massive 92% of moneyline handle as +114 road underdogs against the Mavericks in what amounts to a must-win game for the Timberwolves. A loss tonight would put Dallas up 3-0, and no NBA team has ever overcome a 3-0 deficit.
  • The public is also hammering the over of 207.5. Both Games 1 and 2 went over 207, averaging 215 PPG.

Looking for the latest NBA odds? Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all games this week here.

Public’s NBA Betting Record

Date Public ATS Record
Third Round (Conf. Finals) 2-3
Second Round 11-12-2
First Round 25-17-2
Play-In Tournament 4-2
2023-24 Regular Season 572-611-43
2022-23 Total (Incl. Playoffs) 616-632-34

What Are NBA Betting Trends and How Do I Use Them?

Every bet placed on NBA games is tracked and entered in to a system at your sportsbook of choice. Using all those transactions, bettors, analysts and fans alike can track trends based off the total number of bets placed and total amount of money bet on any game across the spread, moneyline or over/under total markets.

With that data, you can see the public consensus (as well as where the sharp money is) for every game before placing your bet.

What’s the Difference Between Bet and Money Percentages?

Money percentages – or percent of the handle – refers to the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type.

The money percentage pools all the money wagered on any game together, first sorting it by the type of bet (moneyline, spread, or total points scored), and then breaks down what percentage of the handle is bet on each side.

Whichever side the handle is weighted to can signal the sharp action (if the amount of tickets on that side are low), or if that side is being heavily bet by the public (if the ticket percentage is high).

Bet percentages, meanwhile, are frequently referred to as “% of tickets” or “% of bets”. Tickets are just a term used for all the bets placed.

To get the bet percentage, you look at all the bets placed (regardless of the amount of money risked on each one), again, sorting first by the type of bet, and then look at the percentage of tickets on each side of the game.

This can help identify which side both high-stakes and low-stakes players are trending towards.

Noticing Sharp Action While Betting on the NBA

As broken down above, ticket percentage does not consider the amount risked on each ticket – it just counts each bet placed. If we compare the bet percentage and money percentage of the same team (for the same bet type), you’ll notice the sharp action if the figures aren’t similar.

For example, if the Lakers have 86% of the tickets bet against the spread, but only has 47% of the money, we now know the bets being placed on the Lakers are quite small – or the bets being placed on the opponent are quite large.

A noticeable difference between a team’s bet and money percentages can help signal sharp action. In order to calculate this, just subtract their bet percentage from their money percentage. If the result is a positive number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on this team. If the result is a negative number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on the other team.

While that’s not a 100% accurate formula to determine the sharp action, it can give you a general idea of where the money is.

Know the Trends? Time to Pick an NBA Betting Promo

Now that you’ve looked into NBA public betting trends, you’ll want to make sure you’ve claimed as many sweet sportsbook promos as possible before placing your bets.

Snagging a DraftKings promo code means you can cash in on their sign-up bonus and score daily odds boosts for bigger payouts. FanDuel is another big name in NBA betting, so don’t forget to grab a FanDuel promo code to enhance your betting success.

BetMGM is always dishing out bonus bets, so make sure you sign up with the ‘King of Sportsbooks’ and get the best BetMGM promo code for their $1,000 First Bet Offer. Caesars Sportsbook is no slouch either. Grab the latest Caesars Sportsbook promo code, and don’t forget to check out their Quick Picks that feature prebuilt parlays with boosted odds.

Last but not least, the Bet365 bonus code unlocks a Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets promotion, which you won’t want to miss out on for all your NBA wagers. These huge NBA betting promo codes will help you make the most of your betting experience and boost your chances of bringing home the win.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha was a hockey player in his youth, a lawyer in his capricious mid-20s, and has been at SBD since 2014. He covers everything from college basketball to politics. Sascha has been featured on Newsweek, NPR, Forbes, the USA Today, the Chicago Tribune, the Tampa Bay Times, Fansided, Combat Press, NJ.com, and numerous additional national and regional publications.