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NBA Public Betting Trends – Daily Bet and Money Percentages



Latest NBA Basketball News, Picks & Analysis


Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk

Updated:

NBA Public Betting Splits for Monday, January 20th

MLK Day brings a packed eight-game NBA slate with tip-offs running from noon ET to 10:30 pm ET. The notable NBA public-betting splits on January 20th include the following:

  • The red-hot Clippers have the highest ATS split on Monday, getting 91% of ATS handle as 5.5-point home favorites over the Bulls.
  • The public’s favorite game total on MLK Day is over 223.0 in the matinee between the Pistons and Rockets, which has received 89% of O/U handle as of 9:45 am ET.
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Looking for the latest NBA odds? Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all games this week here.

Public’s NBA Betting Record

Date Public ATS Record
January 20 TBD
January 19 6-1
January 18 3-3
January 17 3-5-1
January 16 2-2-1
January 15 5-6
January 14 4-3
January 13 2-4
January 12 5-4
January 11 3-0-1
January 10 4-3
January 9 3-4
January 8 5-3
January 7 4-3
January 6 7-2
January 5 3-3
January 4 4-5
January 3 5-4
January 2 4-2
January 1 5-3
December 98-101
November 100-120
October 38-32-1
2024-25 Regular Season 314-313-11
2022-23 Total (Incl. Playoffs) 616-632-34

What Are NBA Betting Trends and How Do I Use Them?

Every bet placed on NBA games is tracked and entered in to a system at your sportsbook of choice. Using all those transactions, bettors, analysts and fans alike can track trends based off the total number of bets placed and total amount of money bet on any game across the spread, moneyline or over/under total markets.

With that data, you can see the public consensus (as well as where the sharp money is) for every game before placing your bet.


What’s the Difference Between Bet and Money Percentages?

Money percentages – or percent of the handle – refers to the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type.

The money percentage pools all the money wagered on any game together, first sorting it by the type of bet (moneyline, spread, or total points scored), and then breaks down what percentage of the handle is bet on each side.

Whichever side the handle is weighted to can signal the sharp action (if the amount of tickets on that side are low), or if that side is being heavily bet by the public (if the ticket percentage is high).

Bet percentages, meanwhile, are frequently referred to as “% of tickets” or “% of bets”. Tickets are just a term used for all the bets placed.

To get the bet percentage, you look at all the bets placed (regardless of the amount of money risked on each one), again, sorting first by the type of bet, and then look at the percentage of tickets on each side of the game.

This can help identify which side both high-stakes and low-stakes players are trending towards.


Noticing Sharp Action While Betting on the NBA

As broken down above, ticket percentage does not consider the amount risked on each ticket – it just counts each bet placed. If we compare the bet percentage and money percentage of the same team (for the same bet type), you’ll notice the sharp action if the figures aren’t similar.

For example, if the Lakers have 86% of the tickets bet against the spread, but only has 47% of the money, we now know the bets being placed on the Lakers are quite small – or the bets being placed on the opponent are quite large.

A noticeable difference between a team’s bet and money percentages can help signal sharp action. In order to calculate this, just subtract their bet percentage from their money percentage. If the result is a positive number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on this team. If the result is a negative number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on the other team.

While that’s not a 100% accurate formula to determine the sharp action, it can give you a general idea of where the money is.


Know the Trends? Time to Pick an NBA Betting Promo

Now that you’ve looked into NBA public betting trends, you’ll want to make sure you’ve claimed as many sweet sportsbook promos as possible before placing your bets.

Snagging a DraftKings promo code means you can cash in on their sign-up bonus and score daily odds boosts for bigger payouts. FanDuel is another big name in NBA betting, so don’t forget to grab a FanDuel promo code to enhance your betting success.

BetMGM is always dishing out bonus bets, so make sure you sign up with the ‘King of Sportsbooks’ and get the best BetMGM promo code for their $1,000 First Bet Offer. Caesars Sportsbook is no slouch either. Grab the latest Caesars Sportsbook promo code, and don’t forget to check out their Quick Picks that feature prebuilt parlays with boosted odds.

Last but not least, the Bet365 bonus code unlocks a Bet $1, Get $200 in Bonus Bets promotion, which you won’t want to miss out on for all your NBA wagers. These huge NBA betting promo codes will help you make the most of your betting experience and boost your chances of bringing home the win.

SBD has also created a page dedicated to tracking the daily odds boosts at every North American sportsbook.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD2DYW TO BET $1 & DOUBLE YOUR WINNINGS YOUR NEXT 10 BETS

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 FOR UP TO $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS + 2ND CHANCE TD CASH BACK

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $250 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)


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