Upcoming Match-ups

From October through June, bettors and fans alike will have NBA basketball on their televisions every evening. With so many games available to bet on – how should you pick where to place your wagers?

Looking at the money and bet percentage splits, of course. We’ll provide you with the data directly from sportsbooks here ahead of games each night during the season so you can see where both the public money and percentage of tickets are concentrated for each game.

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Spread
2023-02-02
Matchup
spread$$Money %Bet %spreadMoney %Bet %moneylineMoney %Bet %totalMoney %Bet %
Tipoff   ··@ 7:00 EST
LA Lakers
LAL
@
-2
82%
79%
-2
82%
79%
-135
82%
72%
o240
59%
60%
Indiana
IND
+3
18%
21%
+3
18%
21%
+135
18%
28%
u240.5
41%
40%
Tipoff   ··@ 7:00 EST
Full Game Stats
Tipoff   ··@ 7:30 EST
Miami
MIA
@
-1.5
50%
53%
-1.5
50%
53%
-130
69%
68%
o215.5
81%
82%
New York
NY
+2
50%
47%
+2
50%
47%
+112
31%
32%
u216
19%
18%
Tipoff   ··@ 7:30 EST
Full Game Stats
Tipoff   ··@ 7:30 EST
Memphis
MEM
@
+6.5
75%
81%
+6.5
75%
81%
+215
46%
17%
o222
83%
86%
Cleveland
CLE
-5.5
25%
19%
-5.5
25%
19%
-225
54%
83%
u223
17%
14%
Tipoff   ··@ 7:30 EST
Full Game Stats
Tipoff   ··@ 8:00 EST
Charlotte
CHA
@
+6.5
43%
50%
+6.5
43%
50%
+200
11%
8%
o236.5
51%
48%
Chicago
CHI
-5.5
57%
50%
-5.5
57%
50%
-225
89%
92%
u237.5
49%
52%
Tipoff   ··@ 8:00 EST
Full Game Stats
Tipoff   ··@ 8:30 EST
New Orleans
NO
@
+5
60%
54%
+5
60%
54%
+165
28%
10%
o223
10%
10%
Dallas
DAL
-4.5
40%
46%
-4.5
40%
46%
-188
72%
90%
u223.5
90%
90%
Tipoff   ··@ 8:30 EST
Full Game Stats
Tipoff   ··@ 9:00 EST
Golden State
GS
@
+12
87%
84%
+12
87%
84%
+460
77%
23%
o232
82%
81%
Denver
DEN
-11.5
13%
16%
-11.5
13%
16%
-588
23%
77%
u232.5
18%
19%
Tipoff   ··@ 9:00 EST
Full Game Stats
Tipoff   ··@ 10:00 EST
LA Clippers
LAC
@
+4
56%
46%
+4
56%
46%
+140
19%
14%
o228.5
81%
89%
Milwaukee
MIL
-1
44%
54%
-1
44%
54%
-116
81%
86%
u231.5
19%
11%
Tipoff   ··@ 10:00 EST
Full Game Stats

NBA Public Betting Splits for Thursday, February 2

Seven games are on the NBA schedule for Thursday, February 2.  The notable public-betting splits include:

  • The Warriors are getting 91% of ATS handle as 11.5-point road underdogs at the first-place Nuggets.
  • Memphis and New Orleans are the public’s favorite underdogs tonight. Memphis is getting 59% of moneyline handle as +200 underdogs at Cleveland. New Orleans is getting 70% of the moneyline handle as +165 underdogs at Dallas.
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Looking for the latest NBA odds? Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all games this week here.

Public’s NBA Betting Record

Date Public ATS Record
Feb. 2 TBD
Feb. 1 6-2
Jan. Total 109-103-8
Dec. Total 101-113-5
Nov. Total 103-104-5
Oct. Total 53-38-2
Season Total 372-360-20
  • January: The public had a bit of a comeback month in January, finishing six games above .500 at 109-103-8. But that’s still only a 51.4 win percentage, which is a profitable percentage for sportsbooks when you factor in the juice.
  • December: December was the public’s worst month of the season to date, going 12 games under .500 (101-113-5). They are now winning at just 50.2% for the season, which is good enough for sportsbooks to make a profit.
  • November: The public came back to earth in November, going one game under .500 ATS (103-104-1), but is still hitting at a 57.2% clip for the year.
  • October: The public got off to a hot start in October, going 53-38-2 ATS,  a 58.2 win percentage that would have had sportsbooks in the red.

What Are NBA Betting Trends and How Do I Use Them?

Every bet placed on NBA games is tracked and entered in to a system at your sportsbook of choice. Using all those transactions, bettors, analysts and fans alike can track trends based off the total number of bets placed and total amount of money bet on any game across the spread, moneyline or over/under total markets.

With that data, you can see the public consensus (as well as where the sharp money is) for every game before placing your bet.

What’s the Difference Between Bet and Money Percentages?

Money percentages – or percent of the handle – refers to the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type.

The money percentage pools all the money wagered on any game together, first sorting it by the type of bet (moneyline, spread, or total points scored), and then breaks down what percentage of the handle is bet on each side.

Whichever side the handle is weighted to can signal the sharp action (if the amount of tickets on that side are low), or if that side is being heavily bet by the public (if the ticket percentage is high).

Bet percentages, meanwhile, are frequently referred to as “% of tickets” or “% of bets”. Tickets are just a term used for all the bets placed.

To get the bet percentage, you look at all the bets placed (regardless of the amount of money risked on each one), again, sorting first by the type of bet, and then look at the percentage of tickets on each side of the game.

This can help identify which side both high-stakes and low-stakes players are trending towards.

Noticing Sharp Action While Betting on the NBA

As broken down above, ticket percentage does not consider the amount risked on each ticket – it just counts each bet placed. If we compare the bet percentage and money percentage of the same team (for the same bet type), you’ll notice the sharp action if the figures aren’t similar.

For example, if the Lakers have 86% of the tickets bet against the spread, but only has 47% of the money, we now know the bets being placed on the Lakers are quite small – or the bets being placed on the opponent are quite large.

A noticeable difference between a team’s bet and money percentages can help signal sharp action. In order to calculate this, just subtract their bet percentage from their money percentage. If the result is a positive number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on this team. If the result is a negative number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on the other team.

While that’s not a 100% accurate formula to determine the sharp action, it can give you a general idea of where the money is.