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NBA Public Betting Trends – Daily Bet and Money Percentages


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Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk

Updated:

NBA Public Betting Splits for Sunday, March 8th

Sunday brings a massive 10-game slate in the NBA, starting two marquee matchups the Celtics/Cavaliers and Knicks/Lakers. The most-significant NBA public-betting splits for March 8th include the following:

  • The Bulls are the public’s favorite ATS bet on Sunday, getting 74% of handle and 74% of tickets as 2.5-point road favorites against the NBA-worst Kings.
  • The public’s favorite game-total bet on Sunday is over 218.5 in the nightcap between the Hornets and Suns in Phoenix; the over has attracted 86% of O/U handle on 91% of bets as of 1:30 pm ET.
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Looking for the latest NBA odds? Get current spreads, totals, and moneyline odds for all games this week here.

Public’s NBA Betting Record

DatePublic ATS Record
March 72-4
March 65-2
March 55-4
March 45-1
March 36-4
March 22-2
2025-26 Total506-556-7
2024-25 Total (Incl. Playoffs)682-648-21
2023-24 Total (Incl. Playoffs)616-632-34

Every bet placed on NBA games is tracked and entered in to a system at your sportsbook of choice. Using all those transactions, bettors, analysts and fans alike can track trends based off the total number of bets placed and total amount of money bet on any game across the spread, moneyline or over/under total markets.

With that data, you can see the public consensus (as well as where the sharp money is) for every game before placing your bet.


What’s the Difference Between Bet and Money Percentages?

Money percentages – or percent of the handle – refers to the total amount of money wagered on an event, often broken down by bet type.

The money percentage pools all the money wagered on any game together, first sorting it by the type of bet (moneyline, spread, or total points scored), and then breaks down what percentage of the handle is bet on each side.

Whichever side the handle is weighted to can signal the sharp action (if the amount of tickets on that side are low), or if that side is being heavily bet by the public (if the ticket percentage is high).

Bet percentages, meanwhile, are frequently referred to as “% of tickets” or “% of bets”. Tickets are just a term used for all the bets placed.

To get the bet percentage, you look at all the bets placed (regardless of the amount of money risked on each one), again, sorting first by the type of bet, and then look at the percentage of tickets on each side of the game.

This can help identify which side both high-stakes and low-stakes players are trending towards.


Noticing Sharp Action While Betting on the NBA

As broken down above, ticket percentage does not consider the amount risked on each ticket – it just counts each bet placed. If we compare the bet percentage and money percentage of the same team (for the same bet type), you’ll notice the sharp action if the figures aren’t similar.

For example, if the Lakers have 86% of the tickets bet against the spread, but only has 47% of the money, we now know the bets being placed on the Lakers are quite small – or the bets being placed on the opponent are quite large.

A noticeable difference between a team’s bet and money percentages can help signal sharp action. In order to calculate this, just subtract their bet percentage from their money percentage. If the result is a positive number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on this team. If the result is a negative number, you’ve got larger bets being placed on the other team.

While that’s not a 100% accurate formula to determine the sharp action, it can give you a general idea of where the money is.


Now that you’ve looked into NBA public betting trends, you’ll want to make sure you’ve claimed as many sweet sportsbook promos as possible before placing your bets.

Snagging a DraftKings promo code means you can cash in on their sign-up bonus and score daily odds boosts for bigger payouts. FanDuel is another big name in NBA betting, so don’t forget to grab a FanDuel promo code to enhance your betting success.

BetMGM is always dishing out bonus bets, so make sure you sign up with the ‘King of Sportsbooks’ and get the best BetMGM promo code for their welcome bonus. Caesars Sportsbook is no slouch either. Grab the latest Caesars Sportsbook promo code, and don’t forget to check out their Quick Picks that feature prebuilt parlays with boosted odds.

The Bet365 bonus code unlocks another great promotion, which you won’t want to miss out on for all your NBA wagers. If you’re looking for something fresh, try out theScore Bet promo code (formerly the ESPN BET promo code) as well. These huge NBA betting promo codes will help you make the most of your betting experience and boost your chances of bringing home the win.

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  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

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  • DRAFTKINGS T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER or 1-800-522-4700, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Bet must settle by and Token expires 3/15/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 3/8/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&CS, time limits and exclusions apply.

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.