2026-27 College Football Playoff Odds: Notre Dame Heavily Favored

• Odds to make the 2026 College Football Playoff are out for every contender
• Notre Dame (-700) leads the way, with Indiana (-300), Miami (-275), and Oregon (-275) right behind
• See the make and miss CFP odds for all teams

The 2026 season runs back the 12-team College Football Playoff for a third year. The season kicks off August 29th in Week 0. From there, it’s just over three months until the final 12-team field is set.

We’re tracking the odds for teams to make and miss the playoff all season long. Our graphs update regularly, so you can see each team’s chances rise and fall as the games play out.

Selection Day lands on Sunday, December 6th. One change this year: each Power Four champion (ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC) gets an automatic bid, plus the top Group of Six team. Notre Dame grabs an at-large spot if it finishes in the top 12. The four highest-ranked teams earn the byes.

Odds to Make College Football Playoff

• Apr. 28: Notre Dame opens as the runaway favorite to make the field at -700. Indiana (-300), Miami (-275), and Oregon (-275) headline the next group of contenders.

The opening odds show clear tiers. Notre Dame sits alone at the top at -700, or about an 88% chance. The new top-12 at-large rule helps the Irish, and so does a friendly schedule.

The next tier is loaded. Defending champ Indiana (-300), Miami (-275), Oregon (-275), Ohio State (-250), and Georgia (-225) all sit above 69%. Texas (-180) and Texas Tech (-160) round out the favorites.

After that, things tighten up fast. Texas A&M (+115) is close to a coin flip. Alabama (+155) and LSU (+155) actually open as favorites to miss the field, a surprise for two big SEC names.

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College Football Playoff Odds – All Teams

The expanded format keeps plenty of teams in the mix. With seven at-large spots up for grabs, the battle inside the SEC and Big Ten should be a grind all year.

Penn State at +450 stands out. The Nittany Lions made the playoff last year but open well down the board this time. Keep an eye on that number once the season starts.

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Odds as of April 28th, 2026, at BetMGM Sportsbook.

How the 12-Team Playoff Works

The field still takes 12 teams. The four highest-ranked teams get the top seeds and a first-round bye. The other eight play in the first round, with the top seeds hosting on campus.

The five automatic bids go to the four Power Four champions plus the top-ranked Group of Six team. Seven at-large spots fill out the rest. Notre Dame is in line for one of those if it finishes in the top 12.

Want the full bracket picture? Check out our 2026 CFP bracket projections for seeding and matchups.

Indiana enters as the defending champ after a perfect 16-0 run and a 27-21 win over Miami. The Hoosiers will try to become the first repeat champ since Georgia in 2022 and 2023. With this many contenders, expect a few first-time teams to crash the party again.

Archived CFP Odds:

• 2026
• 2025
• 2024
• 2023
• 2022
• 2021