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North Carolina vs Duke Odds, Predictions & Player Props (Feb 1)

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in College Basketball

Published:


Duke Blue Devils forward Cooper Flagg scoring a layup
Jan 27, 2025; Durham, North Carolina, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Cooper Flagg (2) shoots during the second half against the North Carolina State Wolfpack at Cameron Indoor Stadium. The Blue Devils won 74-64. Mandatory Credit: Rob Kinnan-Imagn Images
  • Arch-rivals North Carolina and Duke renew hostilities in Durham on Saturday night
  • Duke’s 14-game win streak is the longest in the country and 11 of those have been by double-digits
  • See the North Carolina Tar Heels vs Duke Blue Devils odds, predictions, and player props on Feb. 1

One of the fiercest rivalries in college basketball is back in the spotlight on Saturday night as the North Carolina Tar Heels (13-9, 2-4 away, 7-14-1 ATS) visit the #2 Duke Blue Devils (18-2, 12-0 home,12-8 ATS) at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham at 6:30 pm ET. The Blue Devils, who own the longest win streak in Division I at 14 games, are listed as massive favorites over their in-state rivals.

North Carolina vs Duke Odds

TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
North Carolina+14.0 (-110)+700O 148.5 (-110)
Duke-14.0 (-110)-1100U 148.5 (-110)

The UNC vs Duke odds list the Blue Devils as 14-point home favorites and a hyper-short -1100 on the moneyline. The Tar Heels come back at +700 to win on the road. Odds as of Feb. 1 at Caesars. Claim the Caesars Sportsbook promo code to bet on UNC vs Duke today.

The game total is sitting at 148.5 with -110 odds both ways. The Tar Heels are 10-12 over/under this season while the Blue Devils and their stingy defense are 8-12 O/U. Duke rates third in the nation in overall efficiency and defensive efficiency at KenPom, along with fifth on offense. The Tar Heels are 39th overall, 48th on offense and 47th on defense.

UNC lost its third game in its last four on Tuesday, falling 73-65 at Pitt as 3.5-point road underdogs. The Heels led by as many as eight in the first half and by four with just over five minutes to play before the Panthers closed the game on a 14-2 run. Senior guard RJ Davis (17.6 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 4.0 APG) had a team-high 16 points in a losing effort.

YouTube video

The Blue Devils overcame a slow start last time out against another in-state rival, NC State. After falling behind 35-22 late in the first half, Duke went on a 23-2 run to take a lead it wouldn’t surrender. Cooper Flagg (19.9 PPG, 8.0 RPG, 4.1 APG) scored 23 of his game-high 28 points in the second half. He’s now a short -500 betting favorite in the Wooden Award odds for national player of the year.

Fellow freshman Kon Knueppel (13.1 PPG, 3.7 RPG, 2.6 APG) added 19 points, six rebounds, and three steels.

YouTube video

UNC vs DUKE Player Props

PlayerPointsReboundsAssists
Cooper Flagg (DUK)23.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)7.5 (Ov -122 | Un -116)4.5 (Ov -130 | Un -108)
Elliot Cadeau (UNC)10.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)OFF6.5 (Ov +108 | Un -152)
Ian Jackson (UNC)15.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130)OFFOFF
Kon Knueppel (DUK)14.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125)3.5 (Ov -154 | Un +110)OFF
RJ Davis (UNC)16.5 (Ov -120 | Un -110)OFF3.5 (Ov -146 | Un +104)
Seth Trimble (UNC)9.5 (Ov -130 | Un -100)OFFOFF
Tyrese Proctor (DUK)10.5 (Ov -100 | Un -130)OFFOFF

UNC vs Duke player props from FanDuel on Feb. 1. See SBD’s list of the best sports betting apps.

Flagg leads the point totals on Saturday with a massive 23.5 over/under. Davis has the highest total on the UNC side at 16.5, one higher than teammate Ian Jackson (14.7 PPG, 3.5 RPG).

Flagg also has the highest rebound total on the board at 7.5.

North Carolina vs Duke Prediction

The Tar Heels have failed dreadfully to live up to expectations all season. They started the year as the #15 team at KenPom and are at risk of falling out of the top-40 with another loss on Saturday.

But very few of their nine losses have been uncompetitive. The last three have all been single-digit margins and come by a total of ten points.

Each of the last four games between UNC and Duke have been decided by nine points or fewer. NC State raised its game against Duke in an in-state rivalry on Tuesday, and I expect the same from North Carolina in what’s quickly turning into a lost season.

Picks:

  • North Carolina +14 (-110)
  • Flagg under 23.5 points (-110)
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Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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