Early Jake Paul vs Chavez Jr Prediction & Latest Fight Odds

• Jake Paul currently sits as -600 favorite over +450 underdog Julio César Chávez Jr.
• Odds have shifted dramatically since opening at -300 for Paul, now reaching -700 in 2-way markets
• See our early Paul vs Chávez Jr. prediction, along with the latest odds, below

Two boxing worlds collide on Saturday June 28, 2025, at the Honda Center in Anaheim, California. YouTuber turned boxer Jake “El Gallo De Dorado” Paul takes on former WBC middleweight champion Julio César Chávez Jr. in a 10-round cruiserweight bout.

The current Jake Paul vs Julio César Chávez Jr. odds at BetMGM list the 28-year-old Paul as a substantial -600 favorite. Despite being a former world champion with vastly more experience, the 39-year-old Chávez Jr. enters as a +450 underdog in what Paul describes as his toughest test to date.

We’ve broken down the latest Paul vs Chávez Jr. odds and have an early prediction for what could be a defining moment in Paul’s controversial boxing career.

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Early Jake Paul vs Chavez Jr. Prediction

When the betting markets first opened, Jake Paul was installed as a -300 favorite against Chávez Jr. at +240. The line has since moved heavily in Paul’s direction, with BetMGM now showing him at -600 in the three-way market and -700 in the two-way market, with Chávez Jr. at +450 and +400, respectively.

While Chávez Jr.’s experience and boxing pedigree can’t be dismissed, I’m leaning toward a Paul victory by knockout in the middle rounds.

At 6’1″ with a 76″ reach, Paul will have physical advantages over the 6’0″ Chávez Jr. with his 73″ reach. Paul is also 11 years younger and has been significantly more active, fighting roughly every 4-5 months compared to Chávez Jr.’s average of one fight per year.

Look for Paul to use his size and youth to pressure Chávez Jr., whose chin has shown vulnerability in recent years. The cruiserweight limit of 200 pounds should benefit Paul, who weighed 228 pounds for his Tyson fight, while Chávez Jr. came in at just 164 pounds against Uriah Hall.

Chávez Jr.’s name value and experience make him Paul’s most legitimate boxing opponent yet. The son of Mexican boxing legend Julio César Chávez Sr. once held the WBC middleweight title and has faced elite opposition like Canelo Álvarez and Sergio Martinez.

But if this fight plays out as expected, I see Paul overwhelming Chávez Jr. with his size and power in the middle rounds. Chávez Jr.’s inactivity and spotty training history suggest he’ll struggle with Paul’s aggression and work rate.

My prediction is that Paul will start cautiously, respect Chávez Jr.’s experience early, but gradually wear him down with his jab and overhand right. Look for Paul to score a stoppage between rounds 7-9 as Chávez Jr. fades.

• Early Pick: Jake Paul by KO/TKO in Rounds 7-9

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Updated Paul vs Chavez Odds

Since opening, the Jake Paul vs Julio César Chávez Jr. odds have shifted heavily in Paul’s direction. After initially being set as a -300 favorite, Paul has been bet up to -600 in the three-way market and -700 in the two-way market at BetMGM. Meanwhile, Chávez Jr. has moved from his +240 opening price to +450.

The oddsmakers are giving Paul about an 86% implied probability to win based on his -600 moneyline odds. For Chávez Jr., the +450 comeback price puts his implied probability around 18%.

The big change shows how much faith bettors have in Paul’s youth, size, and recent performance compared to Chávez Jr.’s experience and background. At 39, with an inconsistent career trajectory and a prime that peaked over a decade ago, Chávez Jr. is viewed by bookmakers as another carefully selected opponent for Paul’s boxing journey.

As fight night approaches, there’s a chance we’ll see money come in on Chávez Jr. at these appealing odds. But for now, the betting markets view this as Paul’s fight to lose.

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Odds as of May 15, 2025, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Ready to place your bets on Jake Paul vs Julio César Chávez Jr.? Check out our best online sportsbook for placing boxing bets.

Paul vs Chavez Jr. Fight Details

• Fight Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
• Start Time: Main card begins at 9:00 p.m. ET, with main event likely around 11:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Honda Center in Anaheim, California
• How To Watch: DAZN Pay-Per-View

This professional bout will feature standard professional boxing rules with some notable specifications:

• Ten three-minute rounds
• 200-pound cruiserweight limit
• 10-oz gloves
• Co-main event: Gilberto “Zurdo” Ramirez vs. Yuniel Dorticos for WBA and WBO cruiserweight titles

With both fighters carrying knockout power and plenty to prove, this clash between boxing worlds should be must-see TV.