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2022 Las Vegas Bowl Odds & Picks – Florida vs Oregon State Prediction

Nick Holz

By Nick Holz in College Football

Published:


Florida Gators running back Trevor Etienne runs with the ball
Nov 12, 2022; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators running back Trevor Etienne (7) runs with the ball as South Carolina Gamecocks defensive back Marcellas Dial (24) defends during the first quarter at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
  • Florida and Oregon State meet in this year’s Las Vegas Bowl on Saturday, December 17th
  • Oregon State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games played
  • Check out all the odds and our predictions for Florida vs Oregon State below

The Florida Gators will do battle with the Oregon State Beavers in this year’s Las Vegas Bowl. Kirk Herbstreit will be joined by the effervescent Pat McAfee on the call for ESPN. Florida vs Oregon State is sure to be a fun affair.

The Gators enter this bowl game after going 6-6 on the season. Florida has dropped two straight games, first against Vanderbilt and then rivals Florida State.

On the flip side, the #14 ranked Oregon State Beavers went 9-3 this year. Most recently defeating the Oregon Ducks 38-34 on November 26th.

The Las Vegas Bowl gets underway from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas on Saturday, December 17th at 2:30pm on ESPN. Until then, check out all the odds and our best bets for Florida vs Oregon State below.

Florida vs Oregon State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Florida +10.5 +290 Over 52.5 (-110)
Oregon State -10.5 -370 Under 52.5 (-110)

Odds as of December 13th at BetMGM. Unlock all the BetMGM Sportsbook bonus codes.

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Oregon State enters the Las Vegas Bowl as 10.5-point favorites. While the total for Florida vs Oregon State sits at 52.5. Presently, 54% of ATS bets are on the Oregon State Beavers to cover.

Florida Betting Trends

Unfortunately for the Gators, star quarterback Anthony Richardson has opted out to prepare for the NFL Draft. Additionally, guard O’Cyrus Torrence, wide receiver Justin Shorter, and defensive tackle Gervon Dexter will sit this one out to prep for the draft. Moreover, the Gators have a ton of players who hit the transfer portal and won’t be available for Saturday’s game.

Luckily, Billy Napier’s squad has a lot of depth to fall back on. Freshman running back Trevor Etienne and his backfield mate Montrell Johnson can churn up yards in a hurry for what has been a dominant Gators rushing attack. Those two will greatly help freshman quarterback Jack Miller, who will make his first career start in the Las Vegas Bowl.

Meanwhile, the Gators defense forced 24 turnovers this season. Good for tenth in the nation. In Florida has any chance of pulling off an upset they will have to win the turnover battle on Saturday afternoon.

While the spread may have moved in the Beavers’ favor since Anthony Richardson opted out, it’s important to note that Florida went 5-0 against the spread as an underdog this season.

Oregon State Betting Trends

Head coach Jonathan Smith will be extremely happy that most of his team is set to compete in this year’s Las Vegas Bowl. Only cornerback Rejzohn Wright (thumb surgery) will miss this game for the 9-3 Beavers.

The Beavers’ recipe for success is simple, run the football and control the clock. Oregon State runs to the ball at a top-20 rate this season, while averaging nearly 200 rushing yards per game. Led by running back Damien Martinez’s 970 yards, this rushing attack is more than capable of controlling the Las Vegas Bowl. Besides, the Gators have been vulnerable against the run all year, surrendering over 177 yards per game on the ground.

Oregon State was a dream for sports bettors this season, as the Beavers covered in 10 of their 12 games. Crucially, the over is 9-2 in the Beavers’ last 11 games played on grass.

Florida vs Oregon State Prediction

With so much turnover on the opposite sideline, Oregon State is rightly favored in the Las Vegas Bowl. However, although their dominant rushing attack should lead to the Beavers controlling this football game, it’s unlikely to lead to a double-digit victory.

Jack Miller is starting his first collegiate game, and the Gators will be shorthanded with so many players in the portal. That being said, Miller will still be surrounded by 4 and 5-star recruits at every skill position, and Florida’s offense is more than capable of putting up points. I like Florida to score just enough points for the over to cash in this one.

Las Vegas Bowl Pick: Florida vs Oregon State OVER 52.5 (-110)

 

Nick Holz
Nick Holz

Sports Content Writer

A sports betting aficionado and graduate of Toronto Film School, Nick covers the NFL, NBA, Soccer, and MMA for SBD. He is also an avid NBA podcaster, and sports betting TikToker. Nick's work has been featured on Bleacher Report.

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