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A.I. College Football Picks for Week 3 – Model Riding 7-3 ATS Hot Streak

Brady Trettenero

By Brady Trettenero in College Football

Published:


Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Gunner Stockton
Sep 6, 2025; Athens, Georgia, USA; Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Gunner Stockton (14) in action against the Austin Peay Governors in the fourth quarter at Sanford Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
  • SportRadar’s A.I. model went 7-3 ATS on college football picks last week, though totals proved trickier at 4-6
  • The model still expects lower scores, picking the under in 80% of this week’s top CFB games
  • Below, see A.I. picks for the biggest Week 3 college football games, including ATS predictions

After posting a profitable 7-3 ATS record in Week 2’s marquee games, SportRadar’s A.I. model is back with predictions for Week 3’s loaded slate. The model only went 4-6 on totals last week, but nailed the correct spread in marquee games like Michigan vs Oklahoma and the Border War.

This week features massive matchups with playoff stakes, especially in the SEC and ACC. The model has analyzed everything from Georgia’s trip to Knoxville to Miami hosting red-hot South Florida in the college football odds.

A.I. College Football Picks for Week 3

GameATS PickO/U Pick
Georgia vs TennesseeUGA -3.5Under 49.5
Texas A&M vs Notre DameTAMU +6.5Under 49.5
Florida vs LSUFLA +7.5Under 48.5
Oregon vs NorthwesternORE -27.5Under 48.5
Vanderbilt vs South CarolinaUV +4Under 48.5
Pitt vs West VirginiaWVU +7Under 57.5
Wisconsin vs AlabamaWISC +20.5Under 46.5
Clemson vs Georgia TechGT +3Under 52.5
Arkansas vs Ole MissARK +7Over 61.5
South Florida vs MiamiUSF +17.5Over 56.5

A.I. college football picks record to date:

  • ATS picks: 7-3
  • O/U picks: 4-6

Picks generated on September 10, 2025. Check out the top college football betting apps ahead of Week 3.

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Unders Dominate Week 3 Projections

The model is still leaning toward low-scoring games, picking the under in a whopping eight of 10 top matchups (80%). This follows early-season trends where teams struggle with execution against quality competition.

The Georgia-Tennessee under at 49.5 stands out given both teams’ offensive firepower. But the model factors in Georgia’s elite defense, allowing just 140 passing yards per game, and Tennessee missing two starting defensive backs.

Only Arkansas-Ole Miss and South Florida-Miami project as shootouts. Both feature explosive offenses facing vulnerable defenses, particularly Arkansas averaging 7.5 yards per carry against an Ole Miss defense allowing 181.5 rushing yards per game.

Road Dogs Get Model’s Backing

The A.I. is also picking six road underdogs to cover this week, going against the usual home-field advantage. One of its strongest picks is Texas A&M getting 6.5 points at Notre Dame, even though the line moved down from 7.5.

Marcel Reed’s ability to both run and pass gives the Aggies a real shot in South Bend. Notre Dame had trouble protecting their quarterback against Miami, so if A&M can bring similar pressure, they could keep the game close.

Florida getting 7.5 at LSU might raise eyebrows after their stunning loss to South Florida. But the model sees value in a desperate Gators team facing an LSU offense that’s managed just two passing touchdowns through two games.

Key Matchup Breakdowns

Georgia at Tennessee: The model still favors Georgia, even though the line moved from -5.5 to -3.5. Gunner Stockton is playing his first SEC road game, but Georgia’s defense, which allows just 61.5 rushing yards per game, should slow down Tennessee’s running game.

Clemson at Georgia Tech: Our A.I. fades Clemson completely, backing the home dog Yellow Jackets. The Tigers’ offense has been abysmal, averaging just 288.5 yards per game against Georgia Tech’s 571.5 yards per game average.

South Florida at Miami: The model is taking 17.5 points with a Bulls team coming off a program-defining upset over Florida. Byrson Brown’s dual-threat ability could keep USF within striking distance if Miami overlooks them.

A.I. College Football Picks – Results from Week 2

GameATS PickO/U Pick
Michigan vs OklahomaOKLA -4.5 WINUnder 44.5 WIN
Iowa vs Iowa StateIOWA +3.5 WINUnder 42.5 WIN
Illinois vs DukeILL -3 WINUnder 49.5 LOSS
Kansas vs MissouriMIZ -6.5 WINUnder 50.5 LOSS
Ole Miss vs KentuckyUK +10 WINUnder 50.5 LOSS
Baylor vs SMUSMU -2.5 LOSSUnder 64.5 LOSS
San Jose St vs TexasSJSU +36.5 WINUnder 52.5 WIN
Oregon vs Oklahoma StORE -27.5 WINOver 55.5 WIN
Arizona St vs Miss StateASU -3.5 LOSSOver 58.5 LOSS
Ohio State vs GramblingGRAM +55.5 LOSSUnder 62.5 LOSS

Notable, the A.I. got both picks right in four games last week—Michigan-Oklahoma, Iowa-Iowa State, San Jose State-Texas, and Oregon-Oklahoma State. This suggests that pairing the model’s spread and total picks in parlays could pay off going forward.

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    USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $10, GET $100 IN FANCASH + GAMEDAY GUARANTEE

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY + OVER $200 OFF NFL SUNDAY TICKET!

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD20X & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 20 WAGERS!

  • ESPN BET SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS & ESPN+

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

  • Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

Brady Trettenero
Brady Trettenero

Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor

Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.

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