GA Tech vs Duke Prediction, Preview, Line & H2H History

• #12 Georgia Tech puts their perfect record on the line at Duke in CFB Week 8
• The Blue Devils are 3-point favorites after opening at -1.5
• See below for the GA Tech vs Duke prediction, line, and H2H history

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The ACC title race will be in the spotlight on Saturday afternoon when undefeated #12 Georgia Tech visits unranked Duke. Kickoff is set for noon ET on ESPN from Wallace Wade Stadium in Durham, NC.

Georgia Tech rolled past Virginia Tech 28-23 last week to stay perfect at 6-0. Duke (4-2) enjoyed a bye week after dismantling Cal 26-3 on October 5.

Both teams sit at 3-0 in ACC play, making this a massive game for conference championship positioning.

Keep reading for my Georgia Tech vs Duke prediction and preview, plus the latest betting line for CFB Week 8.

GA Tech vs Duke Prediction

Brady Trettenero

Sports Betting Dime • October 18, 2025 at 6:06am

Pick

Odds

Over +59.5

Over/Under

CFB • Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Duke Blue Devils

-114 on Underdog Sportsbook

SCHEDULED • 10/18/2025

See all 1 picks

Betslip #1760767606821-481c-499

Both teams can score, and both defenses have serious problems. That’s the recipe for a shootout Saturday in Durham, and exactly where I’m heading with my GA Tech vs Duke prediction.

Duke has put up 38-plus points in three straight wins, while Georgia Tech averages 36.7 points per game. These offenses rank 23rd and 24th nationally in scoring.

GA Tech vs Duke Offensive Stats

Now, let’s look at the defensive numbers. Georgia Tech allows 169.5 rushing yards per game, ranking 104th nationally. Duke freshman Nate Sheppard has forced 19 missed tackles on just 56 carries. He should have a field day.

Yellow Jackets vs Blue Devils Defensive Stats

Duke’s pass defense, meanwhile, ranks 116th nationally, surrendering 252.7 yards per game through the air. Their secondary graded at just 43 in coverage through the first four weeks. That was dead last in the country. They’ve improved recently, but Georgia Tech will test them.

Haynes King struggles when blitzed. His passing grade drops 20 points under pressure, according to PFF. Duke defensive coordinator Manny Diaz will bring heat, but blitzing leaves the secondary vulnerable to big plays.

The trends love the Over. Duke games have gone Over in five of six this season, and the Over is also 5-0 in Blue Devils’ home games. The Over is 4-0 in Georgia Tech’s last four against winning teams.

Keeping it rolling 💨

Game 7 Combo vs Duke#StingEm 🐝 pic.twitter.com/PeiiDuDWzV

— Georgia Tech Football (@GeorgiaTechFB) October 16, 2025

Both teams struggle on third down defensively. Duke ranks 109th nationally, allowing 43.8% conversions. Georgia Tech, meanwhile, sits at 39.5%, ranking 78th. When offenses stay on the field, scoring follows.

Darian Mensah has been outstanding for Duke. He’s completing 69.8% of his passes with 15 touchdowns and just two interceptions. His 306.3 passing yards per game leads the ACC.

The total opened at 59.5, and sharp money pushed it to 60.5 at most books. That slight but notable move tells you where the smart bettors landed. Perfect weather conditions on Saturday help both passing attacks.

In a game with ACC Championship implications, expect both teams to empty the playbook. I’m predicting GA Tech vs Duke soars over the total.

• Georgia Tech vs Duke Predicted Score: Duke 35 – Georgia Tech 31
• Georgia Tech vs Duke Pick: Over 59.5 (-114 at Underdog)

GA Tech vs Duke Preview

Georgia Tech is 6-0 for just the second time since joining the ACC in 1979. The last time they started this well was 2011.

But let’s be honest about their schedule. Their best win is a 30-29 overtime victory against 4-2 Wake Forest. They beat Colorado 27-20 and Clemson 24-21, but neither team has been great this year.

Duke’s two losses came out of conference to Illinois and Ole Miss. Since then, they’ve outscored ACC opponents 128-57 in three games. The offense has found its rhythm.

These teams play completely different styles. Georgia Tech runs the ball 40.5 times per game, ranking 24th nationally. They average 238 rushing yards with Haynes King (440 yards, 9 TDs), Jamal Haynes (380 yards, 3 TDs), and Malachi Hosley (384 yards, 5 TDs) all contributing.

Duke prefers the air. Darian Mensah has four receivers with 15-plus catches, including Que’Sean Brown. The Blue Devils average just 27:52 in time of possession (112th nationally). They want quick strikes, not long drives.

Darian Mensah was in a completely different stratosphere against Cal. Pinpoint placement account for multiple areas of competing defensive leverage, maximizing YAC placement and just extraordinary touch on the football.

Clinic tape imho.pic.twitter.com/dV2GXYMLz9

— Nick Martin (@themicknartin) October 9, 2025

Mensah’s PFF passing grade of 90.8 ranks fourth nationally. King’s 82% adjusted completion rate ranks second in the nation. Both quarterbacks have been excellent, but King has one major issue. His passing grade drops 20 points when blitzed, and Manny Diaz loves to bring pressure.

Duke’s pass rush has 22 sacks through six games. Vincent Anthony Jr. leads with 6.5 sacks and 17 pressures. Georgia Tech has allowed 18 sacks, worst in the ACC. That’s a problem waiting to happen.

Weather looks perfect for Saturday. Sunny skies with temperatures around 67 degrees at kickoff mean both passing attacks should be at full strength.

This game decides a lot. The winner controls their path to the ACC Championship Game in Charlotte. Both teams are 3-0 in conference play, so this is the tiebreaker. Georgia Tech can still make the playoff at 11-1, even with a loss here, if they win out. Duke needs to win out and take the ACC title for any playoff chance.

Georgia Tech vs Duke H2H History

Georgia Tech has won four straight in this series, including last year’s 24-14 victory in Atlanta. The Yellow Jackets held Duke to just 74 rushing yards in that game.

Duke’s last win came in 2019, a 41-23 home victory. The Blue Devils are 21-23 all-time at home against Georgia Tech.

Recent games have been close. Three of the last four meetings were decided by 10 points or less, including a 2022 overtime thriller.

Georgia Tech vs Duke Lines

Odds as of Friday, October 17 at consensus CFB betting apps. Be sure to browse the best betting sites before locking in your Georgia Tech vs Duke picks.

Sharp money moved this line quickly. Duke opened as 1.5-point favorites before jumping to -3 at DraftKings, hitting that key number. The total shift has been less dramatic, inching from 59.5 to 60.5. However, some books haven’t budgeted on that initial number.

The Over has hit in five of Duke’s six games this season. Georgia Tech games have gone Over in four of their last six on the road.

GA Tech is getting 75% of spread bets and 78% of the money on our College Football Public Betting Trends. That reverse line movement suggests there is sharp action on Duke covering the number.