LSU vs Vanderbilt Score Prediction, Spread & H2H History

By Zach Reger in College Football
Published:

- #10 LSU travels to #17 Vanderbilt in CFB Week 8
- The Commodores are short, 1.5-point favorites at home
- See below for the LSU vs Vanderbilt spread, head-to-head history, plus my picks and prediction
We have a Top 20 matchup taking place in Nashville, TN, on Saturday, October 18. #10 LSU heads on the road to face #17 Vanderbilt in an SEC showdown. Kickoff for this game is scheduled for noon ET.
LSU defeated South Carolina at home 20-10 last week, while Vanderbilt had a bye week. The Commodores lost to Alabama 30-14 in their last game.
A win here would go a long way for both of these teams looking to make the College Football Playoff.
Keep reading for the latest LSU vs Vanderbilt odds and my picks for CFB Week 8.
LSU vs Vanderbilt Spread
Odds as of Friday, October 17 at BetMGM. Be sure to claim the best BetMGM promo code before locking in your LSU vs Vanderbilt picks.

This spread has moved a lot. It opened at LSU -3.5, then quickly moved towards Vanderbilt. The Commodores moved from +3.5 to +1.5, and then eventually flipped to the favorite. The betting line continued to move towards Vanderbilt, getting them up to -2.5 before the spread moved back towards LSU. The spread now sits at Vanderbilt -1.5.
The total in this game has moved slightly. The O/U opened at 49.5 and is now 48.5.
LSU vs Vanderbilt H2H History
Unsurprisingly, LSU has owned this series. The Tigers are 25-7-1 all-time against Vanderbilt, and they have won ten in a row. The Commodores have not beaten LSU since 1990, when Vanderbilt won 24-21 at home. Since 2004, LSU is 4-2-1 against the spread against the Commodores.
LSU vs Vanderbilt Prediction
LSU started the season in a big way with a road victory over Clemson. It looked like their defense finally caught up to their offense, but now, a few weeks into the season, LSU is all defense. They are allowing just 11..83 points per game, and Ole Miss is the only team that has put up more than 400 yards against them.
The Tigers have been trying to figure out how to move the ball offensively, and Garrett Nussmeier has been disappointing. He threw two interceptions last week and has thrown five over his last five games.
In two road games this season, the Tigers have scored just 18 points per game. Vanderbilt has held teams to just 19.3 points per game. They have not faced the schedule that LSU has, but that number is still impressive.
This game will be a clash of Vanderbilt’s offense vs LSU’s defense. Whichever unit has the better game will get the win.
Vanderbilt is fourth in the SEC in rushing yards per game, putting up over 208 yards on the ground. Diego Pavia has been good through the air for this team, but he is also the leading rusher for this team, and the Vanderbilt offense is averaging 43.2 points per game.
If the Commodores go up early, it will be difficult for LSU’s struggling offense to keep up.
Pavia has had turnover issues himself, but I expect him to be better this week, coming off the bye. The Alabama game was a lot closer than the final score indicated.
The Commodores are 2-1 against the spread as a favorite and are 2-1 ATS at home this season. Vanderbilt is a good team, and they are favored in an SEC game for a reason.
While I believe Vanderbilt can cover the short spread, the moneyline odds of -120 still provide enough value for me to bet, which will still give us a win in a one-point game.
This should be a close game, and I believe Vanderbilt gets a huge win at home in CFB Week 8, beating LSU for the first time since 1990.
- LSU vs Vanderbilt Predicted Score: Vanderbilt 24 – LSU 20
- LSU vs Vanderbilt Pick: Vanderbilt ML (-120)
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Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper
Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.