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Best Home Run Props to Bet Today – Get a +4552 HR Parlay on Tuesday, June 17th

John Hyslop

By John Hyslop in MLB Baseball

Published:


Jun 16, 2025; West Sacramento, California, USA; Athletics first baseman Nick Kurtz (16) tosses his bat after hitting a walk off home run against the Houston Astros during the ninth inning at Sutter Health Park. Mandatory Credit: Ed Szczepanski-Imagn Images
  • The MLB is back with a jam-packed slate for Tuesday, June 17
  • To celebrate, I’m thinking we should lock in and throw down some dinger bets
  • See below for my +4552 home run parlay today

We made it to Tuesday and damn it, that means home runs. The last time we were together, Matt Olson let us down big time, but Corbin Carroll came through when he was priced at +480. That’s a good thing. Obviously, we want both guys we bet to hit dingers, but if only one does, that’s cool too. Lucky for us, today is Dinger Tuesday. Every single team is playing today, so we’ve got options. On slates like this, we need to remember to be as thorough as possible. We can’t afford to pick the wrong guys and ruin our Dinger Tuesday. I’ve taken the liberty of going through every possible thing that could possibly happen today and found two guys that are definitely going yard. Felt like the right thing to do.

Please remember if you’re going to play these two bets, play both legs straight for a 1/4 unit as well as a 1/2 unit two-leg parlay. That way, you’re only risking one unit, and you’ll profit with just one player going yard.

MLB Home Run Parlay Today (June 17)

PickOdds
Evan Carter HR+450
Nick Kurtz HR+470
Two-Leg Parlay+4552 (With Boost)

Altogether, both legs of today’s home run parlay generate +4552 odds at FanDuel, meaning a $100 bet would profit $4,552 if both legs hit.

CAESARS SPORTSBOOK


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MLB odds as of June 17 at FanDuel. Check out the top MLB betting sites for the 2025 season.

Tuesday HR Parlay Leg #1 – Evan Carter to Hit a Home Run

I can already smell the cash on this one, people. It smells good too. When we’re looking for our home run bets, sometimes it’s best to grab an “undercover guy.” The books rarely see a move like that coming. With that in mind, I can tell you with certainty, Evan Carter is the best “undercover guy” on the slate tonight.

Just look at how he abuses fastballs from righties.

PitchCarter Barrel Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Lugo Hard-Hit Rate vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball13%50%

Obviously, we’ll need a little help from the opposing pitcher on this thing, and we’ll get it from Seth Lugo. On the season, he’s given up 12 home runs in only 70 full innings of work. That’s not great. But what’s great for us is the fact that nine of those bombs came from the bats of left-handed hitters. Evan Carter is left-handed. He also smokes everything Lugo throws, so we’re in a great spot here. This almost feels too easy.

  • The Bet: Evan Carter to Hit a Home Run (+450) – FanDuel
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Tuesday HR Parlay Leg #2 – Nick Kurtz to Hit a Home Run

What we need now is a guy who will 100% come through for us. Someone we can trust with our Dinger Tuesday lives and that guy is Nick Kurtz. This kid is absolutely on fire at the moment and it’s like the books don’t even care. They’re still pricing him in the him +400s. Just nasty work by them.

Look at what this kid has been doing to four-seam fastballs

PitchKurtz Barrel Rate vs RHP (L30 Days)Alexander Barrel Rate vs LHB (2025)
Four-seam Fastball36%21%

The haters are going to say that this guy can’t hit a home run tonight because he hit one in each of the last two games. That’s just crazy talk by the haters. We’re talking Nick Kurtz here, people. The man has already hit four home runs in four games before. Keep in mind he’s been in the majors for like two months. He’ll see Jason Alexander tonight, who gave up three dingers in the last game he played. We’re good here. Enjoy the cash, people. Feels right.

  • The Bet: Nick Kurtz to Hit a Home Run (+470) – FanDuel

John Hyslop

John has spent the past 20+ years betting sports on a daily basis and is considered by many to be a walking sports betting encyclopedia. From obscure player props to sides and totals, if there is an angle, John will find it.

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