Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs Player Props, Betting Lines, Picks & Predictions (Aug 19)

• Winners of 15 of their last 16 games, the Brewers look to continue their dominance over the Cubs on Tuesday
• The pitching matchup pits Chicago’s Matthew Boyd against Milwaukee’s Chad Patrick
• See the Brewers vs Cubs player props, betting lines, picks, and predictions

Behind standout starter Matthew Boyd (11-6, 2.46 ERA), the Chicago Cubs (70-54, 38-24 home) look to halt a recent slide as they host Chad Patrick (3-7, 3.52 ERA) and the red-hot Milwaukee Brewers (79-45, 37-25 away) in the first game of a doubleheader on Tuesday at Wrigley Field (1:20 pm ET/2:20 pm ET).

The Cubs were shutout 7-0 in the series-opener yesterday and now trail Milwaukee by nine games in the NL Central but still hold a four-game cushion on a Wild Card berth. Below, I will set out the main Brewers/Cubs player props and odds, followed by my picks for Tuesday’s matinee.

Go to: Player Props | Game Odds | Starting Pitchers-vs-Batter History | Picks

Brewers vs Cubs Player Props (Aug 19)

Player props as of 10:25 am ET at DraftKings. Read SBD’s guide to online casino apps if you’re interested in learning about iGaming.

Boyd’s strikeout line is set at 4.5. While his ERA is elite, he faces a Brewers team that can put the ball in play. The value may lie with the under, especially given the high juice on the over. Chad Patrick’s earned runs line is a low 1.5, a testament to the Cubs’ recent offensive woes. Given that Chicago was shut out yesterday and is averaging just 2.1 RPG over its last eight games, the under on Patrick’s earned runs at +130 is an intriguing play.

From the batter props, Seiya Suzuki has a home run against Patrick in a small sample size, making his +425 odds to go deep a tempting longshot. For the Brewers, Willson Contreras has absolutely owned Boyd in their limited meetings (1 HR, 2.667 OPS), making his total-bases prop one to watch closely.

Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines

Tuesday’s MLB odds favor the Cubs at -154, largely due to the pitching matchup with Boyd on the mound. However, the Brewers present significant value as +127 underdogs given their exceptional recent form. The vig-free moneyline prices give the Cubs a 57.9% implied win probability, and the Brewers just 42.1%. The total is set at a low 7.0 runs, influenced by Boyd’s impressive ERA and potentially pitcher-friendly weather conditions at Wrigley Field.

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MIL vs CHC Odds Movement

The betting market has seen some noteworthy shifts for this divisional matchup. The Cubs opened as -137 favorites, and money has come in on the home team, pushing their line to -154. Conversely, the Brewers opened at +112 and have faded to +127, offering increased value for backers of the hot hand. This movement is against the MLB public betting consensus, which slightly favors the Brewers.

The most significant movement has occurred on the total. After opening at 7.5 runs, the line has dropped a half-run to 7.0. This sharp decline indicates that significant money, likely from professional bettors, is backing the under. This is likely driven by the forecast of wind blowing in at Wrigley Field, a factor that historically suppresses offense, combined with the Cubs’ recent offensive ineptitude. While 88% of public bets are on the over, the line movement tells a different story, creating a classic public-vs-sharps showdown on the total.

Starting Pitcher-vs-Batter History

With Patrick being a rookie, there isn’t much history between him and the Cubs lineup, but he has made one previous start against Chicago.

Chicago Cubs Career Statistics vs Chad Patrick

Back on June 17th, the Cubs got to Patrick for four runs on six hits and two walks over 5.0 innings. Suzuki had the lone homer on the day for Chicago in a 5-3 win. Altogether the Cubs strung together six hits (four for extra bases) in just 21 at-bats against Patrick, good for a .286 average and elite .919 OPS.

Kyle Tucker accounted for two of the doubles but he won’t be in Tuesday’s lineup. The former Astro has been benched due to a brutal offensive slump.

Milwaukee Brewers Career Statistics vs Matthew Boyd

A few Brewers have a sizable history against Boyd, and it mostly favors the pitcher. Boyd has limited the current Milwaukee lineup to a .226 average and .645 OPS. Willson Contreras has the strongest stats against the Chicago righty, going 3-for-6 with a home run and no strikeouts.

Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Prediction

• Brewers moneyline (+127)
• Under 7.0 runs (+103)
• Contreras over 1.5 total bases (+130)

The primary factor in this game is the stark contrast between the starting pitchers and the teams’ current form. Matthew Boyd has been an ace for the Chicago Cubs, posting a fantastic 2.46 ERA and an 11-6 record. On paper, he gives Chicago a decisive advantage over Chad Patrick and his 3.52 ERA. However, baseball is often a game of momentum, and no team has more of it than the Brewers. Milwaukee is on a torrid 15-1 run and has been particularly dominant on the road, going 10-1 in their last 11 away games.

While Boyd is a formidable opponent, the Brewers lineup has been relentless. They also mashed Boyd the only time they faced him this season, back on June 28 (five runs on six hits and five walks over 5.0 innings). On the other side, the Cubs’ offense has gone ice cold over the past two weeks.

Despite the market pushing the line toward the Cubs, the value lies with the underdog Brewers. For the total, the under is the stronger play. The total has already dropped from 7.5 to 7.0 due to expected winds blowing in at Wrigley. The under has also hit in nine of the Cubs’ last ten games and in all ten of their recent home contests.