MLB Home Run Picks & Predictions for Dinger Tuesday (July 1)

• We have reached another Dinger Tuesday during the MLB season
• All FanDuel Sportsbook users can claim a 50% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run today
• See below for my favorite home run picks and best bets for Tuesday, July 1

It is the best day of the week to bet on players to hit a home run. Not only are all 30 MLB teams in action, but new and existing FanDuel users can opt in and claim a 50% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run today. With 15 MLB games, the possibilities are endless.

Bettors can use this boost on a player like Aaron Judge, who has six home runs in his career against Kevin Gausman, or Shohei Ohtani, who normally has shorter odds to hit a home run to give them an odds boost. Users can also utilize this profit boost on a longshot home run pick to get even better odds.

Keep reading for my four home run picks for Dinger Tuesday on July 1.

Dinger Tuesday Pick #1: Vinnie Pasquantino (+675 at FanDuel with the 50% Profit Boost)

Vinnie Pasquantino enters Tuesday with 12 home runs, and he has a great opportunity to hit his 13th of the season against Emerson Hancock and the Mariners tonight. Hancock has a 1.9 home run per nine in 2025 and has allowed seven home runs in his last five starts.

He has a 5.40 ERA this season, and at home, it becomes a 5.76 ERA. Hancock has especially struggled vs left-handed batters as 12 of the 15 home runs he has given up in 2025 have come against lefties.

Enter Pasquantino, who is red-hot. He has two home runs over his last 11 games and has at least one hit in eight of his last 11. He has an exit velocity of 91.1 and a hard-hit rate of 44%. 11 of Pasquantino’s 12 home runs this season have come against right-handed pitchers.

Pasquantino is +450 to hit a home run tonight at FanDuel, but with the 50% Dinger Tuesday profit boost, he becomes +675, which is a great value when you consider his power and this pitching matchup. This is my favorite home run bet of the day.

Dinger Tuesday Pick #2: Cam Smith (+540 at FanDuel)

Cam Smith is another hitter who is heating up right now. Smith has two home runs in his three games and four in his last 12. He has multiple hits in three of his last four games and has a hit in six of his last seven. Smith has a 1.178 OPS over the last week and a 1.110 OPS over the last 15 days.

He now gets to play at Coors Field against Chase Dollander, who has a 2.0 home run per nine this season.

Dollanders has given up four home runs in his last four games and has been much worse at home this season. He has an 8.54 ERA at home and has allowed eight of his 14 homers in Colorado. He has given up a similar number of home runs to both right and left-handed batters, but righties are slugging better against him at .471.

Smith has a great hard-hit rate of 47.6%. The MLB odds list the total in this game at O/U 11.5, so runs are expected to be scored. I like for Cam Smith to stay hot against Dollander in Colorado.

FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

Offer

T&Cs

Bet $5 & Get $150 in Bonus Bets if Your Bet Wins

Must be 21+. T&C Apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

LOCK IN PROMO

SIGNUP PROMO

BET $5
GET $150

BET NOW

Dinger Tuesday Pick #3: Brent Rooker (+370 at FanDuel)

Brent Rooker has two home runs in his last seven games and has at least one hit in eight of his last ten. During that span, he has had multiple hits in three games and also has a triple and two doubles in his last ten.

Rooker has been great this season with 17 home runs and has a 91.8 exit velocity with a 47.5% hard-hit rate. 12 of Rooker’s 17 home runs have come against right-handed pitching, and 11 have come on the road.

Tonight, he faces Shane Baz, who has a 1.4 home run per nine and has been worse at home this season at George M Steinbrenner Field. Baz has given up a home run in every home start this season except for his first start of the year. He has a 5.70 ERA at home and has given up eight home runs. Nine of his 15 home allowed have been to right-handed batters.

At +370 odds, Rooker is a good bet to hit a home run tonight against Baz.

Dinger Tuesday Pick #4: Austin Riley (+330 at FanDuel)

Austin Riley has 12 home runs in 2025 and is facing Tyler Anderson tonight, who has a 1.6 home run per nine.

Anderson is much worse on the road, where he spots a 6.36 ERA vs a 2.66 ERA at home. Ten of the 15 home runs that Anderson has allowed this season have been away from Angel Stadium.

Riley has an insane 92.4 exit velocity and a tremendous 52.3% hard-hit rate. He has slowed down, but he has three hits in his last two games and has the power metrics to take advantage of a pitcher like Anderson, who has struggled with the longball on the road.

In a small sample size, Riley has done well against Anderson in his career.

Austin Riley vs Tyler Anderson

In three at-bats, Riley is 2-3 with a double and a home run against Anderson. I believe Riley will have success against Anderson again tonight and hit one over the fence at home.