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MLB Home Run Picks & Predictions for Dinger Tuesday (September 9)

Zach Reger

By Zach Reger in MLB Baseball

Published:


Kerry Carpenter rounding the bases after hitting a home run
Sep 3, 2025; Detroit, Michigan, USA; Detroit Tigers outfielder Kerry Carpenter (30) celebrates after he hits a three run home run in the seventh inning against the New York Mets at Comerica Park. Mandatory Credit: Rick Osentoski-Imagn Images
  • It’s Dinger Tuesday at FanDuel
  • All FanDuel users can claim a 30% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run tonight
  • See below for my home run picks and predictions for Dinger Tuesday on September 9

There are just a few Dinger Tuesdays left in the MLB regular season, so we have to make them count.

All FanDuel users, both new and existing, can opt in and claim a 30% profit boost to use on any player to hit a home run tonight.

I won with Lenyn Sosa at +470 last Dinger Tuesday, so keep reading for my home run picks today.

Home Run Picks Today

I have three MLB home run picks for today.

PlayerOddsSportsbookStart Time
Kerry Carpenter+520FanDuel Sportsbook7:05 pm ET
Romy Gonzalez+420FanDuel Sportsbook10:05 pm ET
Max Muncy+320FanDuel Sportsbook10:10 pm ET

Home Run Pick #1: Kerry Carpenter (+520 at FanDuel with 30% Profit Boost)

My favorite home run pick today is Kerry Carpenter. His odds at FanDuel are originally +400, but with the 30% profit boost, he is now +520 to go yard against Will Warren and the Yankees.

Warren has given up a home run in each of his last three starts and has especially struggled against lefties.

Left-handed batters have hit 11 of the 17 home runs that he has allowed. Warren has also given up more home runs at Yankee Stadium than on the road, which is great for Carpenter to hit one into the short porch.

Carpenter is slugging .500 in the month of September and has been crushing right-handed pitching. He has hit 21 of his 23 home runs this year off righties and is slugging .529 against them.

He has a 91.5 exit velocity and a 47.1% hard-hit rate, making Carpenter a great bet to homer tonight.

Home Run Pick #2: Romy Gonzalez (+420 at FanDuel)

My next home run pick is Romy Gonzalez for the Red Sox. He has just eight home runs this year, but he has a great opportunity to hit another tonight against the A’s.

Jeffrey Springs takes the mound for the Athletics, and he has really struggled at home this year at the minor league ballpark. 15 of his 26 homers allowed have come in Sacramento.

Right-handed batters have hit 23 home runs off him this year, and Gonzalez has had success against lefties.

Six of his eight home runs have come off left-handed pitchers, and he is slugging .597 against them this season.

Gonzalez has not homered in a while, but he is still hitting the ball well. He is batting .423 in September and has four multi-hit games this month.

He has an insane exit velocity of 93.1 and an absurd 56.9% hard-hit rate. It is time for him to go yard tonight at a minor league ballpark.

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Home Run Pick #3: Max Muncy (+320 at FanDuel)

My last home run pick of the day is Max Muncy. Muncy is facing German Marquez, whom he has had a lot of success against in his career.

Max Muncy vs German Marquez

Stat CategoryValue
AB34
Hits8
HR4
AVG.235
OBP.342
SLG.613

In 34 at-bats against Marquez, Muncy has hit four home runs and is slugging .613. I believe he can hit another one off Marquez tonight.

Marquez has given up at least one home run in seven straight starts and has allowed eight total over his last six starts. Left-handed batters have hit 10 of the 16 home runs that he has given up this season.

Muncy is slugging .546 against righties and has hit 15 of his 17 home runs off them this year. He is also slugging .587 at home, hitting 13 homers at Dodger Stadium.

He has a 91.5 exit velocity and a 52.3% hard hit rate. Bet on Muncy to go yard against Marquez again tonight at home.

Zach Reger
Zach Reger

Social Media Manager; Sports Betting Personality & Handicapper

Zach has been involved in the sports betting industry for three years. After starting to bet on sports in college, Zach was interested in how it can make any game interesting. The trends, line movement, and finding unique angles to predict the outcomes of games captivated Zach to get more involved.

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