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Tigers vs Phillies Odds, Player Props & Picks for Sunday Night Baseball

Sascha Paruk

By Sascha Paruk in MLB Baseball

Published:


Philadelphia Phillies first base Bryce Harper crosses home plate after hitting a homer against the Detroit Tigers
Aug 2, 2025; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Philadelphia Phillies first base Bryce Harper (3) reacts after hitting a two RBI home run against the Detroit Tigers during the eighth inning at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images
  • The Phillies host the Tigers in the rubber match of their three-game series on Sunday Night Baseball
  • A significant pitching mismatch favors the Phillies, with ace-in-the-making Cristopher Sánchez facing struggling Charlie Morton
  • See the DET Tigers vs PHI Phillies odds, player props, and best picks for SNB on August 3rd

The Philadelphia Phillies (62-48, 34-20 home, 47-57-6 O/U) host the Detroit Tigers (65-47, 29-26 away, 56-50-6 O/U) at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA, on Sunday Night Baseball on August 3rd. First pitch for this interleague contest is scheduled for 7:10 pm ET.

The pitching matchup features Philadelphia’s Cristopher Sánchez (9-3, 2.55 ERA) taking on Detroit’s Charlie Morton (7-8, 5.42 ERA) in what is the rubber match of a three-game series. Philadelphia, which owns the best home record in all of baseball, are heavy favorites in the Tigers/Phillies odds.

Jump to: Odds | Pitcher-vs-Batter History | Player Props | Picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Odds

Bet TypeTigersPhillies
Moneyline+150-182
Runline+1.5 (-130)-1.5 (+110)
Total RunsO 8.0 (-115)U 8.0 (-105)

The Phillies are firm -182 home favorites in Sunday’s MLB odds, with the Tigers coming back as +150 road underdogs, which is not unexpected given the lopsided pitching matchup. The vig-free implied win probabilities show the Phillies at 61.7% and Tigers at just 38.3%. The total is set at 8.0 runs, with slightly more juice on the over (-115), reflecting the offensive potential of Citizens Bank Park and Charlie Morton’s recent struggles.

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PHI vs DET Odds Movement

The betting lines for this contest have remained relatively stable, with the most notable adjustment occurring on the runline. The Phillies opened at -1.5 (+115) and have moved to +110, while the Tigers’ +1.5 price has shortened from -137 to -130. This subtle movement suggests some early money came in on the underdog Tigers to keep the game close, making the Phillies’ runline slightly more attractive.

Starting Pitcher-vs-Batter History

Detroit Tigers Batters vs Cristopher Sánchez

PitcherABH2B3BHRRBIBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
J. Jones20000001.000.000.000.000
G. Torres41001101.250.2501.0001.250
Totals61001102.167.167.667.833

Only two current Tigers have faced Sánchez: Gleyber Torres is 1-for-4 but the one hit is a homer. Jahmal Jones is 0-for-2.

Sánchez, a left-hander, thrives on a sinker-changeup combination that generates a high rate of groundballs. This approach could be particularly effective against the Tigers’ right-handed power hitters like Spencer Torkelson, who has shown vulnerability against lefties with similar pitch profiles.

The Tigers’ offense will need to adjust its approach to elevate the ball against Sánchez, a difficult task given his ability to command the lower part of the strike zone.

Philadelphia Phillies Batters vs Charlie Morton

PitcherABH2B3BHRRBIBBKAVGOBPSLGOPS
H. Bader40000001.000.000.000.000
A. Bohm2913100818.448.452.483.934
N. Castellanos212100136.095.208.143.351
B. Harper29121117119.414.561.6211.182
M. Kepler50000111.000.167.000.167
B. Marsh144002609.286.286.7141.000
J.T. Realmuto3811000408.289.308.289.597
K. Schwarber237002367.304.452.5651.017
E. Sosa20000001.000.000.000.000
B. Stott184100236.222.318.278.596
T. Turner233100218.130.167.174.341
Totals21257515352767.269.351.373.724

This matchup heavily favors the Phillies’ offense. Morton, a right-hander who relies heavily on his curveball, faces a lineup built to punish breaking balls in a hitter-friendly park. Left-handed sluggers Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have historically excelled against curveball-heavy pitchers. Morton has been susceptible to left-handed power, which plays directly into the strengths of the Phillies’ lineup at Citizens Bank Park, a venue known for boosting home run numbers for lefties.

Looking at Morton’s career numbers against the current Philly lineup, there isn’t a clear advantage either way. But the 41-year-old is in the midst of his worst season since his rookie year in 2008. Marsh and Schwarber have both taken Morton yard twice, in 14 and 23 at-bats, respectively. Harper is the only other Philly hitter with a home run off Morton.

Tigers vs Phillies Player Props

HITTERHITSTOTAL BASESHRRBIRUNS
Bryce Harper (PHI)0.5 (O -240 | U +190)1.5 (O +100 | U -130)+3000.5 (O +135 | U -165)0.5 (O -125 | U -105)
Kyle Schwarber (PHI)0.5 (O -180 | U +145)1.5 (O +120 | U -150)+2300.5 (O +130 | U -160)0.5 (O -150 | U +120)
Trea Turner (PHI)1.5 (O +170 | U -220)1.5 (O +100 | U -130)+6500.5 (O +175 | U -225)0.5 (O -120 | U -110)
Gleyber Torres (DET)0.5 (O -230 | U +180)1.5 (O +145 | U -180)+7000.5 (O +225 | U -300)0.5 (O +145 | U -180)
Spencer Torkelson (DET)0.5 (O -170 | U +140)OFF +4750.5 (O +200 | U -250)0.5 (O +160 | U -200)
Javier Baez (DET)0.5 (O -160 | U +130)OFF+9500.5 (O +290 | U -390)0.5 (O +195 | U -245)
PITCHERSTRIKEOUTSEARNED RUNSWALKS ALLOWEDHITSOUTS
Cristopher Sanchez (PHI)6.5 (O -105 | U -125)1.5 (O -175 | U +135)1.5 O +140 | U -180)5.5 (O -105 | U -125)18.5 (O +130 | U -165)
Charlie Morton (DET)5.5 (O +120 | U -150)2.5 (O -145 | U +115)2.5 O +155 | U -210)5.5 (O +120 | U -150)15.5 (O +110 | U -140)

MLB player props as of August 3, 2025 at bet365.

Bryce Harper’s total bases line at 1.5, which is available at +110 at DraftKings, offers good value. He’s facing a struggling right-hander in a park that favors left-handed power, making an extra-base hit a strong possibility. Similarly, Kyle Schwarber to hit a home run (+230) is an enticing play given his power and the favorable matchup against Morton, whom he’s already taken yard twice.

For the pitchers, Sánchez’s strikeout line of 6.5 is a tough call. He’s more of a groundball artist than a high-strikeout pitcher, making the Under (-125) a logical, albeit expensive, play. A better value may lie in his earned-runs prop: over 1.5 (-182) is high for a pitcher with a 2.55 ERA against a Tigers lineup that’s never seen his stuff and has generally been overperforming compared to expectations all season. The under on his Hits Allowed at 5.5 (-125) aligns with his ability to limit hard contact.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Detroit Tigers Picks & Prediction

  • Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+110) at bet365
  • Over 8.0 (-115) at BetMGM
  • Harper over 1.5 total bases (+110) at DraftKings
  • Sanchez under 1.5 earned runs (+135) at bet365

The foundation of this handicap is the massive disparity on the mound. Sánchez has been a model of consistency for the Philadelphia Phillies, particularly at home where the team is a dominant 34-20 (.630) this season. His 2.55 ERA and groundball-inducing style are the perfect antidote to a Detroit Tigers team that relies on power.

On the other side, Morton has been bleeding runs, sporting a 5.42 ERA and showing extreme vulnerability to left-handed hitters, which the Phillies have in spades. Given the overwhelming pitching advantage, the Phillies’ strong home record, and the Tigers’ struggles as an underdog, backing Philadelphia on the runline offers the best value

The Tigers are 4-1-1 to the over in their last six, overall, while the Phillies have hit the over in three straight and are 6-1-2 O/U in their last night. With the hitter-friendly conditions at Citizens Bank Park and a struggling Morton on the hill against a potent Phillies lineup, runs should be plentiful. The Tigers’ bullpen is also decimated by injuries, which could lead to late-game scoring opportunities for Philadelphia.

Sascha Paruk
Sascha Paruk

Managing Editor

Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.

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