Twins vs Tigers Odds, Picks, Predictions & Player Props for Sunday Night Baseball

• The Tigers send ace Tarik Skubal to the mound against Minnesota’s Chris Paddack on Sunday Night Baseball (June 29)
• Detroit is 15 games over .500 at home while the Twins are eight games under on the road
• See the Twins vs Tigers odds plus my favorite MIN vs DET pick for SNB tonight

Reigning AL Cy Young-winner Tarik Skubal leads his Detroit Tigers (52-32, 29-14 home, 43-38-3 O/U) against Chris Paddack and the Minnesota Twins (40-43, 18-26 away, 37-42-4 O/U) in an AL Central showdown on Sunday Night Baseball on June 29th (7:10 pm ET).

With their ace on the bump, the Tigers are heavy favorites Sunday’s MLB odds to take the rubber-match of this three-game set at Comerica Park in Detroit.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Odds

On the moneyline, the Tigers are currently priced at -278, which amounts to a 73.54% implied win probability. The Twins come back as +225 underdogs (30.77% implied win probability) while the run total is sitting at 7.5 with the under favored at -125.

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Skubal’s electric first half has staked him to a sizable lead in the AL Cy Young odds. He’s looking to become the first back-to-back winner in either league since Jacob deGrom (NL 2018, 2019) and the first in the American League since Pedro Martinez in 1999 and 2000.

MIN vs DET Odds Movement

The Twins vs Tigers betting markets have seen some interesting shifts. The Tigers opened as even larger favorites at -286 on the moneyline before settling at the current -278, indicating some buy-in on the underdog Twins at a big price. The runline has seen similar movement, with the juice on the Tigers -1.5 easing from -125 to -120.

The most significant movement has come on the total. After opening at a flat 7.0 runs, the line has been pushed up to 7.5. However, the juice has flipped dramatically. Over 7.5 is now plus-money (+105), while under 7.5 is priced at -125. This is a classic case of reverse line movement; despite public betting pushing the number up, sharp money appears to be backing the under, forcing bookmakers to make it a more expensive bet. This action is likely driven by respect for Tarik Skubal’s ability to shut down any offense, even with a warm forecast.

Detroit Tigers Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Injury Report

Minnesota Twins Career Statistics vs Tarik Skubal

Tarik Skubal has absolutely owned the Minnesota Twins. In 22 career at-bats, the current members of the Twins lineup are collectively hitless against him. This level of dominance is rare and gives the Tigers a monumental advantage before the game even begins.

The Tigers have limited history against Chris Paddack, but they’ve found some success in their small sample size, drawing a couple of walks and a home run from Javy Baez.

Detroit Tigers Career Statistics vs Chris Paddack

The shortest odds to hit a home run in this game belong to Detroit’s Riley Greene at +383. Greene leads the Tigers with 18 homers on the season, one more than Spencer Torkelson, who’s priced at +500.

MIN Twins vs DET Tigers Batter Props

No one on the Twins is shorter than +525 to go yard. Skubal has allowed just eight home runs this season, but two of those came last time out against the Athletics in an 11-4 Detroit victory.

MIN Twins vs DET Tigers Pitcher Props

Skubal’s strikeout prop is listed at 7.5 with the over slightly favored. He had stayed under 7.5 in four straight starts until his last start, when he recorded eight against the Athletics in 6.0 innings. For the season as a whole, he’s gone over 7.5 in nine starts and stayed under in seven.

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins Picks & Prediction

There is a massive chasm between the starting pitchers. Tarik Skubal isn’t just winning games; he’s dominating them with a 2.29 ERA and an arsenal that has completely baffled the Minnesota Twins. The historical batter-vs-pitcher data is staggering – over the last two seasons, the Minnesota lineup has a .000 batting average against the Detroit ace.

Paddack hasn’t been great this season, nor against the Detroit lineup over his career, but the Tigers will really have to mash to get this total over 7.5 the way Skubal has been dominating.

With that in mind, my favorite bet tonight is under 7.5. While the odds are as short as -125 at BetMGM, I found a -115 price at FanDuel.

Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-115)