IND Pacers vs NY Knicks Best Bets, Picks, SGP & Betting Splits for Game 5 (May 29)

• The New York Knicks need a win to stay alive in the ECF against the Indiana Pacers on Thursday
• The Pacers have won six straight road games and lost just once away from home in the playoffs
• See the Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks best bets, picks, and betting splits for Game 5 on May 29

Trailing 3-1 in the best-of-seven series, the New York Knicks (60-38, 30-19 home, 45-49-4 ATS) face a must-win scenario in Game 5 of the Eastern Conference final against the Indiana Pacers (61-35, 27-21 away, 46-48-2 ATS), which tips off at 8:05 pm ET on Thursday at Madison Square Garden in New York.

Despite dropping the first two games of the series at home – and owning an uninspiring 3-5 SU record at home during the postseason – the Knicks are sizable 4.5-point favorites in Thursday’s Pacers vs Knicks odds.

Pacers vs Knicks Game 5 Picks & Best Bets

The Indiana moneyline is as short as +145 at DraftKings, while the game total is as high as 223.5 at DK and FanDuel. It’s imperative to bet this parlay at Caesars, where grouping over 222.5 and the Indiana moneyline spits out a massive +397 SGP. For comparison, if you bet the Indiana moneyline (+145) and the over (223.5), not only would you need an extra point to hit the over, you’d also get a mere +335 odds on your SGP.

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If you don’t have access to Caesars where you live, bet365 has the second-best odds, listing the Pacer moneyline at +155 and the over at 223.5 (-110). Pairing the two yields a two-leg SGP of +386 odds, which is much closer to the odds you’ll find at Caesars but, again, you’ll need an extra point to hit the over.

IND vs NYK Pick #1: Over 222.5 Points

The teams have only gone 2-2 O/U so far in the series, but the two overs soared past the total, while Game 2 stayed under by a single point. Altogether, the Pacers and Knicks are averaging 232.5 PPG in the first four games of the ECF, and that doesn’t include the overtime period they played in Game 1.

It’s also worth noting that two of their three regular-season meetings exceeded 240 points.

IND vs NYK Pick #2: Pacers Moneyline

While the Pacers did need a miraculous comeback in Game 1 – overcoming a nine-point deficit in the final minute – and gave up a 20-point lead in Game 3, my main takeaway from the first 197 minutes of this series is that Indiana is a better, deeper team. Rick Carlisle’s squad has way more ways to hurt you on the offensive end, and Tyrese Haliburton is the exact point guard you would want running the show.

The Knicks, on the other hand, are overly dependent on Jalen Brunson and Karl-Anthony Towns. The pair has played fairly well in the series, but the Knicks still trail 3-1 precisely because their supporting cast isn’t NBA Finals-worthy.

The Pacers smelled blood in the water heading back to Cleveland for Game 5 in round two and didn’t disappoint, overcoming an early 19-point deficit to close out the series (114-105) on the road. I love the value on Indiana doing something similar tonight at MSG at +158 odds, which is just a 38.76% implied win probability and doesn’t give the Pacers the credit they’re due.

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks Public-Betting Splits (Game 5)

Thursday’s NBA public betting splits show some significant trends for Game 5 of the Eastern Conference final. The public’s strongest take is on the total where the vast majority of money and tickets is on over 222.5. As of 3:30 pm ET, 94% of game-total handle and 96% of game-total tickets were on the over.

The public also likes Indiana to close out the series tonight, putting 69% of moneyline handle (and 61% of ML wagers) on the Pacer moneyline, which is as long as +158 at Caesars.

The ATS splits are narrower, though the public is still siding with the underdog Pacers: 60% of ATS handle is currently on Indiana to cover as 4.5-point road underdogs.