May 15 NBA Player Props – Over/Unders and Picks for Game 7 Suns vs Mavericks & Bucks vs Celtics

• The NBA Playoffs continue on Sunday (May 15) with a pair of Game 7’s
• A full menu of NBA player props are available for both contests
• See below to find out where we think the betting value lies

Game 7 is the theme of the day in the NBA as two teams look to punch their ticket to the conference finals. In the East, the Celtics look to oust the defending champs, while out West, the Suns get their second opportunity to close out the Mavericks.

Both contests should make for very enjoyable sweats, and there’s no better way to get action down than in the player props market. A full menu of props is available for both matchups, so check out the odds below plus a few bets to target.

NBA Player Props – Sunday, May 15

Odds as of May 15th at DraftKings Sportsbook.

We’ll kick things off with a bet from the Bucks and Celtics matchup, where Boston’s Jayson Tatum isn’t getting nearly enough credit for the amount of opportunity he’s seeing.

Pick #1: Jayson Tatum Over 43.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists

The Celtics are 5.5-point favorites over the defending champs, and there’s no way they come close to covering that number without a monster game from Tatum.

The 24-year-old has played exceptionally well over the past three games, averaging 37 points, 4.5 assists and 9 rebounds per contest. He’s logging 42 minutes per game in the series, and has launched an average of 28 shots per contest in his last three outings.

JAYSON TATUM, BAG TALK.
(via @NBATV) pic.twitter.com/X9Hm6EDW1h

— SLAM (@SLAMonline) May 14, 2022

A big difference between this series and the regular season is the amount of three’s he’s attempting. Tatum is averaging two more three-point attempts against Milwaukee then he did in the regular season, and he’s fresh of burying seven triples in Game 6.

His 4.5 assist per game average is exactly in line with what he’s been producing all year, but he’s seeing an uptick in rebounding numbers without Robert Williams III.

In three games without Boston’s starting center this series, Tatum is pulling down 9.3 boards. Williams is currently questionable for Game 7 with knee soreness, but even if he does play, it’s doubtful he’s anywhere close to 100%. That should put more rebounding responsibility on Tatum once again.

Pick: Jayson Tatum Over 43.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-110)

Pick #2: Jae Crowder Under 10.5 Points

Our next target is the under on Jae Crowder’s point total. The Suns are currently 6.5-point favorites over the Mavericks, and you can bet the game plan isn’t to get Crowder a plethora of looks.

Crowder is the fifth option out of Phoenix’s starting five, a fact emphasized by his lack of opportunity this series. He’s taken seven or fewer shots in four of the six games, and has launched just 10 shots total in the past two games.

Not surprisingly, he’s fallen short of double-digit points in both outings, as he has in exactly half of his postseason games so far.

Jae Crowder is the worst man. pic.twitter.com/j7ARHA58Y9

— The Pettiest Laker Fan 🤫 (@ThePettiestLA) May 8, 2022

Another reason to be pessimistic about Crowder’s point prospects, is the amount of foul trouble he’s found himself in lately. He racked up five fouls in Game 6 after fouling out of Game 5. That’s drastically reduced his playing time, and if he’s asked to matchup or switch onto Luka Doncic frequently in Game 7, the fouls will continue to pile up.

Pick: Jae Crowder Under 10.5 Points (-105)