Warriors vs Timberwolves Betting Odds, Prediction, Picks & Trends for Game 5

• Still without Steph Curry, the Warriors are double-digit road underdogs at the Timberwolves in a must-win Game 5
• Anthony Edwards has scored 30-plus in back-to-back games while jacking up 49 shots
• See the Warriors vs Timberwolves Game 5 odds, plus my favorite Golden State/Minnesota picks on Wednesday

Trailing 3-1 in the best-of-seven series, the season is on the line for the Golden State Warriors (46-45-3 ATS) on Wednesday night when they visit the Minnesota Timberwolves (45-45-1 ATS) at the Target Center in Minneapolis at 8:40 pm CT/9:40 pm ET. Missing Steph Curry for all but 12 minutes of Game 1, the Warriors put up admirable efforts in Games 3 and 4 at home but surrendered halftime leads in both games.

Despite winning Game 1 on the road mostly without Curry, the Warriors vs Timberwolves Game 5 odds heavily favor Minnesota ending the series tonight.

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds

The T-wolves are currently 10.5-point home favorites against the spread and a short -550 on the moneyline, which gives Minnesota an 84.62% implied win probability. The Warriors are +400 longshots (20% implied win probability) to force a Game 6, which Curry could return for. The game total is sitting at 203.0 with -110 odds each way in tonight’s NBA odds.

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Minnesota is now as short as +550 in the NBA championship odds, trailing only odds-on favorite OKC (-120) and New York (+500).

The first four games of the series have been split 2-2 O/U. The teams stayed under by 17 points in Game 1 (a 99-88 GSW win) but went over by eight points in Game 2 (a 117-93 MIN win). The under hit again in Game 3 by 6.5 points (102-97 MIN) while the over cashed easily in Game 4 (117-110 MIN, 25.5 points over the total of 201.5).

The winning team has covered in three of four. The Warriors lost Game 3 by five points, covering as 5.5-point home underdogs.

GSW vs MIN Betting Trends

Golden State is now 5-6 against the spread in the postseason (and 45-48-1 ATS including regular season). Minnesota is 7-3 ATS thanks to covering four of five against the Lakers in round one (and 45-46 ATS including regular season).

The Warriors are 5-6 O/U in the playoffs and an even 48-46 O/U dating back to the regular season. The Wolves are 4-5 O/U in the postseason and 48-43 O/U including regular season games.

Wednesday’s NBA public betting splits show the Warriors getting a ton of love on the moneyline as heavy underdogs. As of 2:16 pm ET, Golden State is getting 81% of moneyline handle, along with 80% of ATS handle. The public is also betting heavily on the under, with 91% of O/U handle on under 203.0 at the moment.

Warriors vs Timberwolves Prediction & Picks for Game 5

• Warriors first-half moneyline (+260) at Caesars
• Butler over 26.5 points (+175) at bet365
• Sascha Paruk’s NBA playoff betting record: 12-17 (-1.5 units). All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise

Golden State has had a penchant for strong starts of late. Dating back to Game 7 against Houston, Golden State has had a halftime lead in four of its last five games. That includes double-digit halftime leads in two of three road games. The Wolves were 3-2 on the first-half moneyline against the Lakers.

Steve Kerr has the pieces to contend with Minnesota with or without Curry. Their Game 1 victory was three-quarters Curry-less, and they’ve won the first two quarters in back-to-back games without their leading scorer. They haven’t shown the depth to keep up over a full 48 minutes, but I expect Golden State’s best punch early on again in a must-win Game 5.

I backed “Playoff” Jimmy Butler to go over 26.5 in Game 4 to disastrous results, but I’m betting on Butler again in Game 5, this time to hit the 30-point plateau at significant plus-money. He was shockingly unaggressive in Game 4 and it cost Golden State dearly. He took just nine field-goal attempts and was a team-worst -30 while on the court.

He earned the “Playoff” nickname largely thanks to his exploits in elimination games, and round one against Houston was a good example. He only scored 20 points but shot over 50% from the field while dishing out a team-high seven assists and grabbing eight rebounds. It was another very good performance in the clutch. Without Curry on the floor in Game 5, expect Butler to take it on himself to try to keep Golden State’s season alive.