Bills vs Cowboys Spread Opens at Dallas -6.5 for Thanksgiving Clash

• The Dallas Cowboys fell to 6-5 after losing at the New England Patriots on Sunday
• The point spread climbed as high as Dallas -7.5 but is now down to -7
• Check our preview below with a prediction on how the betting line could shift this week

The Dallas Cowboys once again struggled when forced to step up in competition. After losing 13-9 to the New England Patriots on Sunday night, they’ll now test themselves against another team with a winning record. The Cowboys are a 6.5-point favorite over the Buffalo Bills on Thanksgiving. Which way will this line move by Thursday?

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys Odds

Odds taken Nov. 24

Cowboys Turned Back by Patriots

After losing to the Patriots on Sunday, the Cowboys fell to 0-4 against teams with a winning record. Once again, they started slow, trailing the Patriots 10-0 before they notched their first points of the game, and they were never able to recover from there.

The Cowboys have been mired by early-game mistakes and the same was the case on Sunday. They missed a field goal on their second drive, had a punt blocked on their next one and threw an interception after that. They were also just 2-of-13 on third downs, and committed seven penalties for 50 yards.

The Cowboys were shut down by the Patriots’ defense ? pic.twitter.com/I3EXxD8uHt

— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) November 25, 2019

About the only good news here is that while the Bills are a team with a winning record, they’re viewed as a team that’s taken advantage of an easy schedule. Buffalo lost on the road at Cleveland in their last road game, so the Cowboys should feel like they have a manageable opponent in front of them.

Bills Beat Broncos to Improve to 8-3

While the Cowboys loss dropped them to 6-5, the Bills moved up to 8-3 with a win over the Denver Broncos. It was a fairly easy win for the team as they scored a field goal on their second drive and never trailed from there.

Once again, it was a manageable game for quarterback Josh Allen, who really didn’t have to do that much. He finished the day 15-of-25 for 185 yards, two touchdowns and a pick. The ground game did the heavy lifting as Devin Singletary picked up his first 100-yard rushing game and the team finished with 244 yards on the ground.

Devin Singletary finishes well here. Hit the hitter first and set your next move off it. pic.twitter.com/LxpwLsPriR

— Matt Waldman (@MattWaldman) November 25, 2019

The Bills have not faced too many quality teams this season and clearly, the oddsmakers don’t feel that they’re as good as their 8-3 record might indicate. However, they’ve won the games they’re supposed to win, and other than the loss to the Philadelphia Eagles, have yet to lose by more than six. Bettors may see value here.

Which Way Will the Line Move?

Although the betting line currently sits at Cowboys -7, I’m expecting to see Bills money throughout the week to push this down to +6.5. Dallas hasn’t looked good against playoff-caliber teams and while the Bills may not be as good as their record suggests, bettors will probably feel like they’re the superior team.

NEW ENGLAND WINS

The @Patriots hold on for the win over Dallas! pic.twitter.com/5c9piIH3FN

— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) November 25, 2019

If the Cowboys were laying -4 or -5, it might lead to some Cowboys action. At +7, a lot of bettors will probably side with the team that has the better record here. I would expect a Cowboys win here but maybe the Bills keep this within the big spread.