Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons Public-Betting Splits & Injury Reports
By Ryan Potts in NFL News
Published:
- The Bills look to bounce back after losing on Sunday night
- The public expects the Bills to roll in a high-scoring game
- Read below for the Bills vs Falcons public-betting splits and final injury reports on Oct. 13
The Buffalo Bills (4-1) and Atlanta Falcons (2-2) open a Week 6 Monday Night Football doubleheader at 7:15 PM ET on Oct. 13. The Bills look to maintain their division lead while the Falcons look to inch closer to the NFC South-leading Bucs.
The Bills are road favorites in the MNF odds, and the public expects them to cover the 3.5-point spread. The public also expects a higher-scoring game with two explosive offenses and two shaky defenses squaring off.
Bills vs Falcons Public-Betting Splits
As of Monday morning, the ATS handle is favoring the Bills in the NFL public betting splits. The Bills are getting 56% of the ATS handle as 3.5-point road favorites, but a respectable 76% of the bets are coming in on the road team. The Falcons are getting 44% of the handle, with only 24% of the bets. In other words, more bettors have bet on the Bills to cover, and Bills spread bettors have bet larger sums. My colleague Chris Amberley is fading the public, backing the Falcons to cover +4.5 in his Bills vs Falcons Picks & Predictions.
The moneyline is nearly a sweep for the Bills. Buffalo has received 96% of the moneyline handle with 94% of all bets placed. On the other hand, the Falcons are getting 4% of the moneyline handle spread across 6% of the bets.
The public is backing the over. The over accounts for 67% of the total handle on 67% of bets. The over accounts for 33% of the total handle with 33% of bets.
Looking for more MNF bets to tail? Check out:
- John Hyslop’s Bills/Falcons SGP
- Sascha Paruk’s Bills vs Falcons Player Props & Touchdown Bets
BUF Bills vs ATL Falcons Injury Reports
Buffalo’s defense continues to be compromised, missing three pieces. While Damar Hamlin is no longer starting like he did last season, he has been a key special team player for the 2025 squad. Without Hamlin, rookie Jordan Hancock will take a larger role.
Matt Milano is missing his third game of the season, an unfortunate trend after a fairly healthy 2017-2022 stretch. He has played in just 12 of the last 40 games for Buffalo. Dorian Williams is slated to be Buffalo’s second linebacker next to Terrel Bernard.
T.J. Sanders has been quiet through his first four NFL games, but the second-round pick will be missed as a freaky athlete on the inside. Without Sanders, watch for rookie Deone Walker to make his mark.
Buffalo’s offensive injuries are much more minor. If Dalton Kincaid is compromised, the Bills will break out two tight end sets with Dawson Knox and rookie Jackson Hawes.
Curtis Samuel has only three catches on the season, but he did score a touchdown last week. In his two games played, he has played 42% of Buffalo’s offensive snaps.
The Falcons will be without four players, including three defensive players and two interior linemen. Atlanta allowed 147 rushing yards in their last game, and Buffalo could take advantage of a squishy interior. Without Ta’Quon Graham and LaCole London, the onus is on David Onyemata to have an out-of-body performance.
Darnell Mooney will be missed as the No.2 wide receiver in the offense. Expect for Kyle Pitts to assume the role as No.2 exterior pass catcher while Bijan Robinson picks up some slack as a threat out of the backfield.
With Clark Phillips ruled out and both Billy Bowman and Natrone Brooks questionable, the Falcons’ depth will be tested. Jessie Bates will need a strong game, and rookie Xavier Watts will need to dip into his ball-hawking capabilities.
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