Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Week 5 Odds, Picks & Player Props

• The Dallas Cowboys visit the winless New York Jets in Week 5
• The Jets haven’t beaten an NFC team since 2023
• See my favorite Cowboys vs Jets picks and predictions, plus the best player prop to target and the closing DAL/NYJ odds

Dak Prescott and the resurgent offense of the Dallas Cowboys (1-2-1, 2-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U) travel to East Rutherford to take on the winless New York Jets (0-4, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U) at MetLife Stadium at 1:00 pm ET on FOX today. This game presents a stark contrast in offensive philosophies, with Dak Prescott’s aerial assault for Dallas squaring off against a Jets offense that leans heavily on the ground game with Justin Fields under center.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures as high as 85°F with minimal wind, creating perfect conditions for offense. Below, I have set out the Cowboys vs Jets odds, the main player props and, lastly, my picks for this afternoon’s game.

Jump to: Odds || Player Props || Picks

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Closing Odds

The Cowboys vs Jets spread and moneyline have barely budged since the lines opened last Sunday. Dallas, which opened as a 1.5-point road favorite and -122 on the moneyline, can still be found at those same prices. The Jets, who opened as +104 underdogs, are as long as +120 now. Removing the juice, the moneyline prices give the Cowboys 53.3% implied win probability, compared to 46.7% for the Jets.

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There’s been significant upward movement on the game total, which opened at 45.5 and is now as high as 48.5 at DraftKings.

DAL vs NYJ Significant Injuries

Dallas will still be without star receiving CeeDee Lamb (ankle) as well as two starter on the offensive line: center Cooper Beebe (ankle) and right guard Rob Jones (neck). But Jones has been out all season and Beebe since Sep. 15, so Dallas is used to their absences by this point.

KaVontae Turpin (foot), widely regarded as the most-dangerous return man in the league, is also out. CB Malik Hooker (toe) was placed on IR.

The Jets also have two offensive linemen on the IR: right guard Alijah Vera-Tucker (triceps) and center Gus Hartwig (undisclosed). On defense, nickelback Michael Carter II is out with a concussion.

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Player Props

NFL player props as of October 5 at MGM.

Dak Prescott is averaging a whopping 281.3 passing yards per game, making his prop of 236.5 yards look very attainable. But if Dallas isn’t playing from behind, like they were for much of Weeks 2, 3, and 4, his attempts could go way down.

Justin Fields’ line of 187.5 is more modest, reflecting the Jets’ run-first scheme. However, against the NFL’s worst pass defense, there’s a strong possibility he surpasses this total if the game script turns into a shootout.

Breece Hall’s rushing prop of 67.5 yards is a standout bet. The Jets’ entire offense flows through him, and he’s facing a bottom-tier run defense.

For the Cowboys, George Pickens should see an increased target volume again with other Lamb sidelined, making his receiving yards prop of 73.5 an attractive play against a Jets secondary that has been solid but is now dealing with injuries.

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets Picks & Prediction

• Over 48.0 (-110) at bet365
• Dallas Cowboys moneyline (-120) at ESPN
• Breece Hall Over 67.5 Rushing Yards (-111) at DraftKings

The main theme of Dallas games for the entire season – save for a weird second half against Philadelphia in Week 1 – has been points. Dallas games are averaging an insane 61.5 PPG this season, while Jets games are averaging 52.5. The Dallas defense took a major step back with the departure of Micah Parsons, and the New York defense isn’t the stout unit many thought it wasn going to be.

Justin Fields has proven capable of leading a few drives each game and the Jets’ run-first approach has a good chance to find success against a subpar Dallas front seven. Points shouldn’t be hard to come by today.

In addition to the over, I’m also targeting the Dallas moneyline. Last week’s 40-40 tie with Green Bay should be a massive confidence-booster for Dak Prescott and company. They routinely torched an elite Green Bay defense and while today’s game is on the road in an outdoor stadium, the weather is near-perfect, and some early Dallas points could take already-dejected New York fans out of the game early.

My final bet today is Hall over 67.5 rushing yards. He’s coming off an 81-yard, 14-carry game against Miami and should see the requisite workload to cash this early.