Seahawks vs Commanders Picks, Predictions & Closing Odds

• The Seattle Seahawks visit the Washington Commanders on SNF
• Jayden Daniels is back for Washington but Terry McLaurin remains out
• See my final Seahawks vs Commanders picks and predictions plus closing SNF odds

Sunday Night Football in Week 9 features an important game in the NFC playoff race as the West-leading Seattle Seahawks (5-2, 3-0 away, 5-2 ATS, 4-3 O/U) travel to face the slumping Washington Commanders (3-5, 2-1 home, 3-5 ATS, 3-5 O/U) at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD, at 8:20 pm ET.

Jayden Daniels is back from a hamstring injury that kept him out of Week 8 but Washington remains without WR1 Terry McLaurin as they try to stem a three-game losing skid. On the Seattle side, WR2 Cooper Kupp is officially questionable with a foot injury, and latest reports are that he won’t suit up.

I have set out my top Seahawks vs Commanders picks and predictions for Sunday Night Football in the first section below, followed by the closing odds for SNF and public-betting splits.

Seahawks vs Commanders Expert Picks

While Washington has enjoyed historical success against Seattle and boasts strong home-field performance, the Seahawks’ current form, particularly on the road and as favorites, creates a compelling case for backing the visitors.

ATS Pick: Seattle Seahawks -2.5 (-122)

The Seahawks aren’t just winning on the road; they’re dominating. Seattle enters with a perfect 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread (ATS) record on the road this season. This trend extends beyond 2025, as the Seahawks have won their last 10 consecutive games as road favorites. When positioned as favorites in general, Seattle has proven to be a sound investment, covering the spread in four of five games this season (4-1 ATS).

Conversely, the Commanders have been a bad bet as underdogs. Washington sits at just 1-4 ATS as an underdog this season and 1-5 ATS over their last six. While their 5-1 ATS record in their last six home games is impressive, it’s overshadowed by their inability to cover against quality competition.

Seattle’s recent performances and dominance as a road favorite outweigh Washington’s home-field trends and historical ATS success in this specific matchup. Trust the hot hand and lay the points with the Seahawks.

Game-Total Pick: Under 48.5 (-105)

While Seattle’s offense has been potent (27.6 PPG) and many of their trends point toward high-scoring affairs, Washington’s recent history in primetime games paints a different picture. The under has hit in four of the Commanders’ last five primetime games. The under has also cashed in three of their last four games, overall.

With a moderately high total of 48.5 and significant injuries to top receivers on both teams (Cooper Kupp, Terry McLaurin), points could be harder to come by than oddsmakers anticipate. A final score around 27-20 would see the Seahawks cover while keeping the game total under the number.

Best Player Prop to Bet: Deebo Samuel Over 5.5 Receptions (+100)

With Terry McLaurin out, Deebo Samuel is positioned to become the focal point of Washington’s passing attack. Quarterback Jayden Daniels will likely lean on his most versatile and reliable weapon in crucial situations. Samuel thrives on manufactured touches in the short-to-intermediate areas of the field, making him an ideal safety valve for a QB facing a ball-hawking Seattle secondary.

At nearly even-money, this prop offers excellent value based on projected game script and necessary offensive adjustments due to injury.

SEA Seahawks vs WSH Commanders Closing Odds

A couple hours before kickoff, the spread still ranges from SEA -2.5 to -3.0, but bettors will have to stomach heavy juice (-122) to Seattle at the lower number. On the moneyline, DraftKings has the best price on a Seattle win at -148, while FanDuel has the best price on a Commander victory at +138. The game total ranges from 47.5 to 48.5 with most books settling in between at an even 48.0.

Odds commentary as of 5:59 pm ET. The lines in the table will update automatically with the best-available price if the Sunday Night Football odds move sufficiently before kickoff.

SEA vs WSH Public Betting Splits for SNF

The NFL public betting data clearly supports a side in this matchup, heavily backing the Seahawks on the road: Seattle is getting a staggering 88% of moneyline wagers and 85% of moneyline handle as -148 road chalk.

ATS bettors are also on the ‘Hawks, putting 68% of money and 67% of bets on Seattle to cover the spread.

The game-total splits are the most telling. Only 44% of tickets are on the over, but those 44% of bets account for 65% of O/U handle, a potential indication that sharp money is on the over tonight.