Minnesota Vikings vs Cleveland Browns Picks, Player Props, Best Bets & Odds

• The Minnesota Vikings meet the Cleveland Browns in London in Week 5
• The game total has plummeted nearly a touchdown since the Vikings/Browns odds were first posted
• Below, see the Vikings vs Browns picks, player props, and updated odds

The NFL’s International Series heads to London for a Week 5 clash between the Minnesota Vikings (2-2, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U) and Cleveland Browns (1-3, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday, October 5th, at 9:30 am ET.

Both teams will start backup QBs, one out of necessity, the other out of desperation. On the Minnesota side Carson Wentz makes his third straight start in place of injured JJ McCarthy. Cleveland has benched unproductive veteran Joe Flacco in favor of diminutive third-round rookie Dillon Gabriel, who has just four career pass attempts on his resume.

Wentz (38.8 QBR) hasn’t been spectacular under center for the Vikings and was largely exposed by a good Pittsburgh defense last week, at least while the game was still close early on. Nonetheless, the Vikings vs Browns odds have established Minnesota as a sizable favorite.

Go to: MIN vs CLE Odds || MIN vs CLE Props || MIN vs CLE Picks

Vikings vs Browns Odds for London Game

As of Friday night, the Vikings were 3.5-point neutral-field favorites and -188 or shorter on the moneyline. The Browns were as long as +180 to win. The game total had plummeted about as much as you’ll ever see in an NFL game. After opening at 41.5, it’s as low as 35.5 at FanDuel currently.

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Without the juice, the currently moneyline prices give the Vikings about a 63.8% win probability, and the Browns the remaining 36.2%.

Now that the O/U has sunk six points, there has been some buy-back on the over. The NFL public betting percentages show 69% of handle and 60% of tickets on over 35.5.

MIN Vikings vs CLE Browns Player Props

NFL player props as of October 3 at MGM.

Wentz’s passing yards prop is set at 199.5, well below his average of 261.5 through two games. He was forced to throw 46 passes last Sunday when Minnesota fell behind 21-6 to the Steelers at halftime. Cleveland’s offense isn’t likely to open a big lead, which means the secondary won’t be sagging off in the second half like Pittsburgh’s did. Against a tough Browns pass defense and behind a battered offensive line, the under (-133) is more appealing.

Dillon Gabriel’s line is 180.5 yards in his first NFL start. His interception prop is juiced heavily to over 0.5 (-200).

Quinshon Judkins has a rushing prop of 74.5 at BetMGM but it’s as low as 71.5 elsewhere. He faces a Minnesota run defense that is among the league’s worst, making the over a strong consideration. The big question here is whether Gabriel can make the Minnesota defense respect the pass, or if the Vikings will be able to stack the box against the Cleveland ground game.

On the other side, Jordan Mason’s line of 67.5 yards seems high against the NFL’s top-ranked run defense (70.3 YPG). Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards prop is set at a modest 68.5, a number he can certainly eclipse, but the tough matchup and potential pressure on Wentz add risk.

Minnesota Vikings vs Cleveland Browns Picks & Prediction

• Under 36.5 (-115) at Fanatics
• Cleveland Browns +4.5 (-115) at DraftKings
• Judkins Over 71.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at Underdog

This game projects as a gritty, low-scoring battle where field position and turnovers will be paramount. Despite the Minnesota Vikings’ offensive firepower with Justin Jefferson, their heavily injured offensive line is a massive concern against a Browns defensive front that can generate pressure. Pressure was key to Pittsburgh’s early success against Wentz last week, forcing the mistake-prone pivot into two costly interceptions. This vulnerability should neutralize Minnesota’s biggest advantage and keep the game close.

Cleveland’s clearest path to victory is to lean on its ground game. Running back Quinshon Judkins will face a Vikings defense that has been hemorrhaging yards on the ground (130.3 per game, ninth-worst in the NFL). If the Browns can establish the run, they can control the clock, protect their rookie quarterback, and keep Minnesota’s offense on the sideline.

This strategy aligns perfectly with the overwhelming betting trends pointing to a low-scoring game. The under has cashed in the Browns’ last four home games and eight of their last nine as a small underdog.

While the Vikings are the more talented team, the combination of their offensive line injuries, Cleveland’s elite run defense, and the Browns’ potential to control the game on the ground makes the +3.5 spread on the home underdog the best ATS play.