Game 5 Stars vs Jets Prediction, Betting Lines & How to Watch (May 15)

By Chris Amberley in NHL Hockey
Published:

- The Jets are -125 moneyline favorites over the Stars in Game 5 of their second-round playoff series
- Dallas owns the shortest odds to win the Stanley Cup at +270
- See my Game 5 Stars vs Jets Game prediction below, plus betting lines and how to watch
The Jets are on the brink of elimination tonight as they host the Stars in a pivotal Game 5 showdown. Dallas leads the best-of-seven series 3-1 in the NHL playoff bracket, but online sportsbooks are expecting Winnipeg to push this to a Game 6 at the very least. I agree, as the Jets have posted better puck possession numbers and expected goals than their opponent so far.
Stars vs Jets Prediction
- Winnipeg Jets Moneyline (-125)
On the scoresheet, Winnipeg was outplayed in Dallas dropping Games 3 and 4 by a combined score of 8-3. A closer look at the advanced numbers, however, tell different story.
Game 3 was the most evenly played contest all series from a puck possession standpoint, with the Stars holding the advantage in scoring chances and expected goals. The Jets absolutely dominated Game 4 though, holding a major advantage in Corsi For (60.44 vs 39.56), expected goals (2.35 vs 1.78) and shots on goal (32 vs 24).
The Stars Jake Oettinger stood on his head to secure a series stranglehold, but there’s lots of positives for Winnipeg to take home. For the series, The Jets hold the advantage in corsi for, expected goals and high dangers chances. The biggest differences have been the play in net, and Winnipeg’s inability to capitalize with the man advantage.
DAL vs WPG Series Advanced Stats
Once again, the Jets will need more from Connor Hellebuyck. He underwhelmed in Games 3 and 4, but was very good in the series first two games. The Vezina trophy odds contender allowed only three goals on 45 shots, shutting out the Stanley Cup odds favorites in Game 2. Winnipeg was sensational in the regular season at home, allowing fewer than 2 goals per game.
As for the powerplay struggles, it’s not due to a lack of opportunity. The Jets are just 1-for-15 in the series, and are 0-for-11 converting high danger pp chances. That’s bound to regress back in their favor, and I’m betting that happens tonight.
Another positive Winnipeg can take from Game 4 is they held Mikko Rantanen without a shot for the first time all playoffs. Rantanen leads the postseason in scoring with 19 points, and is a heavy favorite to win the Conn Smythe. Shutting him down again will be key in Game 5, and I predict the Jets will do so en route to keeping their season alive.
Game 5 Stars vs Jets Betting Lines
I’m betting Winnipeg on the moneyline tonight, with the best odds currently available from Caesars at -125. Dallas comes back as a +105 underdog, while the total sits at 5.5.

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Per the NHL public betting trends, 57% of bettors agree with my Jets wager as of Thursday afternoon. Total wise, 68% of the money is backing the over, despite three of the series four games producing five goals or less.
How to Watch Stars vs Jets Game 5
Puck drop for Game 5 is scheduled for 9:30pm ET at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg, MB. TNT/truTV and Max will provide the American coverage, while Sportsnet will handle Canadian broadcast duties. The Jets are 5-1 in their own barn this postseason, outscoring their opponents by 9 goals.
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Sports Writer
As SBD's resident Swiss Army Knife, Chris covers virtually every sport including NFL, PGA, NBA, MLB, NCAAB, NCAAF and the Olympics. A true grinder, he'd rather pick off small edges in the player props market than swing for the fences with a 5-leg parlay.