Mitch Marner Next Team Odds: Predicting where Leafs Star will Land in Free Agency
By Brady Trettenero in NHL Hockey
Published:
- Mitch Marner’s time in Toronto is over as he heads straight to unrestricted free agency on July 1st
- Vegas surges to +350 favorite after dramatic odds movement, with Carolina and LA among top contenders
- Check out the full Marner next team odds and our best bets for where the star winger lands
Toronto’s playoff wounds are still fresh, but Mitch Marner’s free agency circus is already in full swing.
DraftKings released their latest odds on the 102-point winger’s next destination, and you can stick a fork in his Maple Leafs career.
Marner and Toronto’s relationship has completely derailed. Elliotte Friedman confirmed that “Marner’s camp is not engaged with them” and expects the winger to test the market, choose his spot, and close the Toronto chapter for good.
So, who wins the Marner lottery? Let’s dig into the betting lines and spot the smartest plays for free agency’s biggest prize.
Mitch Marner Next Team Odds
Vegas leads the pack at +350, with Carolina right behind at +400. Notice Toronto sitting way down at +2500? That’s a 3.8% implied probability. The bookmakers know what’s up.
The star winger’s coming off a career-best 102 points (27 goals, 75 assists) but managed just one assist in Toronto’s final four playoff games. At 28, Marner needs the right situation to chase the Cup while cashing in on what could be his biggest contract.
Odds as of June 20, 2025 at DraftKings. Use this DraftKings promo code when making any NHL futures bet.
Vegas Emerges as Surprise Favorite
The Golden Knights currently sit as +350 favorites to land Marner in free agency despite their usual cap gymnastics. This is a big shift from a month ago when the Western powerhouse didn’t even crack the top-10 favorites.
Vegas currently has $9.62 million in projected cap space, which isn’t exactly Marner money. But where it gets interesting is Alex Pietrangelo’s injury situation, which could blow this whole thing wide open. If Pietrangelo lands on LTIR, suddenly Vegas has the flexibility to make a serious run.
Picture Marner feeding Jack Eichel for the next seven years. That’s a nightmare scenario for Pacific Division defenses. Unlike most teams with cap space, Vegas offers something crucial: an immediate chance to win.
Toronto reportedly discussed a three-team deal at the deadline that would’ve sent Marner to Vegas. The interest is real, and the fit makes too much sense to ignore.
Carolina Makes Perfect Sense
The Hurricanes at +400 are our pick to land Marner. A $100 wager on this outcome at DraftKings right now would return $400 if it comes to fruition.
Rod Brind’Amour’s system would actually suit Marner perfectly. Carolina plays fast, aggressive hockey with an emphasis on puck possession. Marner thrives in transition, and playing alongside Sebastian Aho could create a dynamic duo.
Carolina just watched Mikko Rantanen walk out the door and lost in the Eastern Conference Final…again. They desperately need an elite playmaker and scorer, and Marner fits like a glove. According to David Pagnotta, the Hurricanes’ offer to Marner could exceed $14 million annually. That’s the kind of money that gets deals done.
With over $28.4 million in cap space, Carolina can back up the Brinks truck. They’re a perennial contender that plays disciplined hockey, exactly the kind of environment where Marner could thrive away from Toronto’s microscope.
Remember, Marner refused to waive his no-move clause for Carolina at the deadline. But circumstances change. The pressure’s off, he’s picking his destination, and the Canes offer both money and a legit shot at the Cup.
Top Marner Next Team Pick:
- Carolina Hurricanes (+400)
Dark Horses Worth Your Money
A few teams scream value at their current prices.
The LA Kings at +550 make tons of sense. Marner reportedly has them high on his list, they’ve got the cap space, and they’re ready to compete now. Playing alongside Quinton Byfield could unlock another level for both players.
Don’t sleep on Florida at +1400. Jeff Marek noted something fascinating: Marner looked “really different” playing with Sam Bennett at the 4 Nations tournament. The Panthers might have decisions to make with Brad Marchand and Aaron Ekblad, but if they can create the space, that Marner-Bennett chemistry could be lethal.
The real wildcard? Ottawa at +2500. Elliotte Friedman reported that three Canadian teams are “poking around” on Marner: Ottawa, Montreal, and Calgary. But Pagnotta doesn’t expect Marner to sign with any Canadian team. He wants out of the fishbowl.
Chicago at +1400 has the cap space and Connor Bedard, but they’re years away from competing. Same story with Anaheim at +550 – over $32 million in space, but Marner says he wants to win. These rebuilding teams might have to overpay significantly.
Value Pick:
- Florida Panthers (+1400)
Lead NHL & NCAAF Editor
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
