New York Jets vs Denver Broncos – Odds, Lines, Spread, and Picks NFL Week 7

• The Denver Broncos host the surging New York Jets in Week 7 NFL action
• Russell Wilson (hamstring) will be a game-time decision
• See the Jets vs Broncos odds ahead of their Week 7 clash, and our pick below

If you were thinking Wilson at QB would give a boost to a pretty good defense and be the right mix for success, you were right.

Only, it’s not the Denver Broncos and their $245-million man Russ, it’s second-year man Zach and the New York Jets.

The Jets will look for their fourth straight win when they travel to Denver to take on a Broncos squad that is statistically one of the worst offenses in the NFL.

Even with Russell Wilson (hamstring) ailing and a gametime decision, sportsbooks couldn’t get to listing the Jets as a road favorite, so instead they’ve made it as close to a pick’em as possible, installing the Broncos as a 1-point favorite.

Jets vs Broncos Odds

Odds as of October 22nd from Barstool Sporstbook. 

Bettors aren’t backing the home team, according to NFL Betting Trends,  where 76% of the bets against the spread are on New York, and an even higher 83% of the wagers on the moneyline. It should also be noted the highest percentage of wagers is on the total, where 89% are taking the under on an ultralow 38 points.

Kickoff goes Sunday (October 23) from Empower Field at Mile High at 4:25pm ET, in a game that can be seen live on CBS.

New York Betting Outlook

Unlike in Denver, where Russell Wilson was brought in to push the Broncos to contenders, Zach Wilson has no expectations, and the Jets are asking him to limit mistakes and make plays where possible.

Breece Hall to the HOUSE 👀 (via @NFL) pic.twitter.com/iekjf4iyA3

— NFL Rookie Watch (@NFLRookieWatxh) October 16, 2022

His team lifted him last time out in an impressive 27-10 win over the Packers in Green Bay. Wilson went just 10-for-18 for 110 yards with no TD passes or interceptions, and was sacked twice.

Breece Hall did some heavy lifting in Wisconsin, carrying 20 times for 116 yards and a score. New York also got Grade A production from their special teams, blocking a punt and returning for a score to make it 17-3, essentially putting the game on ice.

Former Arizona safety Will Parks scored his first NFL touchdown today! pic.twitter.com/vSAP7OHFBs

— Justin Spears (@JustinESports) October 16, 2022

The defense did the rest, limiting Aaron Rodgers to 246 yards passing and a score and also forcing a fumble, while holding AJ Dillon and Aaron Jones to a combined 60 yards in 19 carries.

The Jets have actually won three of four games on the road this year, averaging 27.3 points per game, which is a full seven points better than their output at MetLife Stadium.

Denver Betting Outlook

It’s safe to say the honeymoon period with Denver and Russell Wilson is over, and fans probably don’t like what they see.

A 19-16 OT loss to the Chargers last week was the Broncos’ third straight defeat, and it’s the fifth time in six games they’ve failed to score more than 20 points.

2022 Denver Broncos –

Offense: League-worst 1.2 TDs scored per game

Defense: League-best 1.0 TDs allowed per game

— Mike Clay (@MikeClayNFL) October 18, 2022

Denver currently ranks 32nd in scoring, putting up a paltry 14.8 points per contest, and almost all of that falls at the feet of Wilson, who was supposed to be an upgrade from every QB post Peyton Manning.

Where he usually shines is in play action, but he’s been brutal: according to PFF, Wilson is completing just 52.2% of his play-action shots, which ranks 28th of 30 qualifying passers. Russ is also completing only 34.5% of his passes on deep balls (20+ yards downfield).

Russell Wilson throws early in practice: pic.twitter.com/qQ3C9Xy3I8

— Andrew Mason (@MaseDenver) October 21, 2022

In the prior three years, he was completing at a 70% clip in play-action, while topping 38% on those deep balls.

To make matters worse, he’s battling hamstring and shoulder injuries and might not be able to play, which would turn the reins to Brett Rypien.

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Jets vs Broncos Pick

Who knows where Denver could be with even an average offense. The Broncos are fourth in scoring defense, surrendering only 16.5 points per game. They’re also third in total yards, fifth in pass defense, tied for fourth in sacks and first in red zone D.

The Jets aren’t Denver-level dominant on D, but they’re a respectable 12th in pass yards against, 14th in sacks and 11th in rushing yards, and during their three-game fun run, no team has topped 20 points.

This one is nuts….

The Jets outscored the Packers 10-0 in the 4th quarter and are now +48 in the 4th quarter. That is the 2nd-best 4th-quarter point differential by ANY team through 6 games in the last decade, only behind the 2016 Broncos (+57).

Nuts, right? #Jets

— Rich Cimini (@RichCimini) October 16, 2022

This will mark the third straight season these teams have met, and Denver has won both, including last year’s 26-0 shutout.

In fact, New York is 1-6 against the spread in the last seven head-to-heads, and 1-4 ATS in their last five Denver trips.

Sorry, though: until Denver proves it can put up points, they’re prime for another letdown.

The Pick:  

• Jets +1 (-113); 1 unit to win 0.88 units
• Overall: 5-5 ATS, 1-0 O/U, -2.94 units