Dodgers vs Mets Player Props & Picks for Sunday Night Baseball

• The Los Angeles Dodgers visit the New York Mets on Sunday Night Baseball on May 25
• The Mets won last night but are just 3-6 in their last nine games
• See the Dodgers vs Mets player props and picks for SNB tonight

Two of the top-five favorites in the World Series odds meet on Sunday Night Baseball on May 25 when the Los Angeles Dodgers (32-20, 13-12 away, 28-22 O/U) visit the New York Mets (31-21, 18-6 home, 18-33 -1 O/U) at Citi Field at 7:10 pm ET.

The matchup on the mound, at least on the surface, heavily favors the home team, with the Mets’ Kodai Senga (1.43 ERA) facing the Dodgers’ Landon Knack (6.17 ERA). Yet Sunday’s MLB odds show the Dodgers and Mets in a virtual toss-up. Caesars lists NYM as a slight -115 home favorite with LAD coming back at -105.

Dodgers vs Mets Player Props for Sunday Night Baseball

The shortest odds to go long tonight belong, as expected, to Shohei Ohtani (+205), Pete Alonso (+220), and Francisco Lindor (+270). Ohtani’s 17 homers are one of the MLB lead, shared by Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber. Alonso had stalled on nine and hasn’t gone deep since May 5th, a drought of 16 games.

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Dodgers vs Mets Pick #1: Mookie Betts Over 0.5 Hits

My first pick tonight is Mookie Betts (.259 average, 8 HR, 30 RBI) to record at least one hit, which bettors can find at -185 at bet365. Betts has five plate appearances against Senga and he’s registered four hits, including a home run and a double, plus one walk. Senga has literally never gotten Betts out.

None of that damage came this season, when Senga has posted a 1.43 ERA and become a top-ten favorite in the Cy Young odds. But the 32-year-old righty has an xERA of 3.18) and xFIP of 4.13. He was overdue for some regression and it started last time out, when he allowed three runs on five hits and three walks over 6.0 IP against Boston.

• Pick: Betts over 0.5 hits (-185) at bet365

LAD vs NYM Player Prop Pick #2: Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs

My second pick is Alonso’s homer-less drought to stretch to 17 games, which has a price tag of -270 at bet365. (It’s as short as -350 at ESPN Bet.) Alonso is 1-for-1 against Knack but the hit was a single.

Knack has surrendered a ton of longballs this season and has generally been hit pretty hard. Yet, while Senga is primed for negative regression, Knack is due for some positive regression. Despite a 6.17 ERA, the righty’s xFIP is actually lower than his counterpart’s (4.00).

But obviously this is more of an Alonso fade than a vote of confidence in the Dodger starter. Not only has Alonso failed to homer in 16 straight games, he’s only managed three doubles in that span, and watched his average sink all the way from .349 to .292. Alonso was as short as +621 in the NL MVP odds on May 7 but had faded to +1733 by May 23.

Alonso has never hit for average, so there were no expectations he’s stay above .300 for long. But it’s stunning to see his power evaporate the way it has. Alonso is fifth among active players in at-bats per home run (14.16) and has averaged 42.4 home runs per 162-game season over his six-plus-year career.

But his current slump has gone on long enough that I’m prepared to put money on the notion that something’s not right in Alonso-ville.